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Grizzlies at Pistons

NBA · Friday, Mar 13 · 6:30 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final MEM 110 – DET 126
← NBA / Mar 13

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM35262326110
DET37313028126
Team box
MEM·DET
38-89
field goals
50-92
15-41
3-pointers
12-35
19-24
free throws
14-18
33
rebounds
52
20
assists
36
17
turnovers
19
36
points in paint
74
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen DurenDET2830130
Javon SmallMEM232333
Ty JeromeMEM252113
Cam SpencerMEM301925
Cade CunninghamDET3017815
Olivier-Maxence ProsperMEM221711

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +22
MEM +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 22 · MEM 5lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 28%, DET 72% · Updated Mar 13

Expected margin
DET by 7.5
Expected score
DET 119.5 – 112.0 MEM
Expected total
231.5
GrizzliesThe matchupPistons
+261Our fair odds−261
112.0Expected points119.5
−0.23Power rating+0.56
115.8Points / game117.2
118.3Allowed / game109.6
46.2FG%48.1
35.53P%34.7
43.7Rebounds / game45.8
23−42Season record47−18
2−8Last 105−5
Brandon Clarke · Ja Morant
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · Santi Aldama
Scotty Pippen Jr.OutWendell Moore Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · DET chance
Our model fair27.7%72.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+26128%————
DETDetroit Pistons−26172%————
SpreadDET by 7.5
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+7.5our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−7.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.5
Over231.5our total————
Under231.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 7.5 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 50 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%
← MEM wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more60%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more45%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.5 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.549%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GTy Jeromestarted
GCam Spencerstarted
FOlivier-Maxence Prosperstarted
FTaylor Hendricksstarted
FCedric Cowardstarted
Detroit Pistons
GJavonte Greenstarted
GMarcus Sasserstarted
GCade Cunninghamstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·DET
Mar 12 vs DAL
last game
Mar 12 vs PHI
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 13, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right calf; strainOut
MEMJa Morant · left elbow; ucl sprainOut
MEMKentavious Caldwell-Pope · right 5th finger; surgery recoveryOut
MEMSanti Aldama · right knee; injury managementOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · right great toe; sesamoiditisOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; surgery recoveryOut
MEMWalter Clayton Jr. · right ankle; sprainDoubtful
MEMGG Jackson · right foot; sorenessQuestionable
MEMJaylen Wells · right shoulder; contusionQuestionable
MEMTaj Gibson · return to competition reconditioningQuestionable
Detroit Pistons
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETAusar Thompson · right ankle; sprainDoubtful
DETChaz Lanier · g league - on assignmentQuestionable
DETIsaac Jones · g league - two-wayQuestionable
DETJalen Duren · right knee; sorenessQuestionable
DETTobias Harris · left hip; sorenessQuestionable
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayQuestionable
DETCaris LeVert · left wrist; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 65+ games
MEM·DET
−0.23
rating (0 = average)
+0.56
115.8
points / game
117.2
118.3
points allowed / game
109.6
23−42
season record
47−18
12−20
home record
25−8
11−22
away record
22−10
L6
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
5−5
46.2
FG%
48.1
35.5
3P%
34.7
43.7
rebounds / game
45.8
28.7
assists / game
26.8
15.2
turnovers / game
15.0
49.7
points in paint / game
57.3

Rating Trend

MEM · DET · 129 days
Memphis GrizzliesDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 1−9
Nov 3, 2025at MEMDET 114 − 106
Apr 5, 2025at DETMEM 109 − 103
Nov 27, 2024at MEMMEM 131 − 111
Apr 5, 2024at MEMMEM 108 − 90
Apr 1, 2024at DETMEM 110 − 108
Dec 6, 2023at DETMEM 116 − 102
Dec 9, 2022at MEMMEM 114 − 103
Dec 4, 2022at DETMEM 122 − 112
Feb 10, 2022at DETMEM 132 − 107
Jan 6, 2022at MEMMEM 118 − 88

MEM · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Mar 12vs DAL112 − 120L
Mar 10at PHI129 − 139L
Mar 9at BKN115 − 126L
Mar 7vs LAC120 − 123L
Mar 4vs POR114 − 122L
Mar 3at MIN110 − 117L
Mar 1at IND125 − 106W
Feb 27at DAL124 − 105W
Feb 25vs GS112 − 133L
Feb 23vs SAC114 − 123L

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Mar 12vs PHI131 − 109W
Mar 10at BKN138 − 100W
Mar 8at MIA110 − 121L
Mar 7vs BKN105 − 107L
Mar 5at SA106 − 121L
Mar 3at CLE109 − 113L
Mar 1at ORL106 − 92W
Feb 27vs CLE122 − 119W
Feb 25vs OKC124 − 116W
Feb 23vs SA103 − 114L