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Celtics at Knicks

NBA · Thursday, Apr 9 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final BOS 106 – NY 112
← NBA / Apr 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS29243023106
NY26282731112
Team box
BOS·NY
38-84
field goals
43-80
16-43
3-pointers
15-35
14-16
free throws
11-15
42
rebounds
30
23
assists
29
11
turnovers
7
32
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Josh HartNY352613
Jalen BrunsonNY3725110
Jayson TatumBOS4024138
Payton PritchardBOS362336
Baylor ScheiermanBOS302040
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3016124

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +13
BOS +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 13 · BOS 7lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 52%, NY 48% · Updated Apr 9

Expected margin
BOS by 0.9
Expected score
BOS 108.5 – 107.6 NY
Expected total
216.1
CelticsThe matchupKnicks
−108Our fair odds+108
108.5Expected points107.6
+0.92Power rating+0.62
114.6Points / game116.9
106.9Allowed / game110.4
46.8FG%47.6
36.53P%37.3
46.5Rebounds / game46.2
54−25Season record52−28
8−2Last 107−3
Jaylen BrownOut (1 each)Tyler Kolek

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · NY chance
Our model fair51.9%48.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−10852%————
NYNew York Knicks+10848%————
SpreadBOS by 0.9
BOSBoston Celtics−0.9our margin————
NYNew York Knicks+0.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 216.1
Over216.1our total————
Under216.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 0.9 expected
Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%
← BOS wins byNY wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more42%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more29%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

216.1 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 206.569%
Total over 216.548%
Total over 226.529%
Total from 207 to 22639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FJayson Tatumstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·NY
Apr 7 vs CHA
last game
Apr 6 at ATL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 9, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJaylen Brown · left achilles; tendinitisOut
BOSDerrick White · right knee; contusionQuestionable
BOSNeemias Queta · right toe; sprainQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYTyler Kolek · right oblique; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 79+ games
BOS·NY
+0.92
rating (0 = average)
+0.62
114.6
points / game
116.9
106.9
points allowed / game
110.4
54−25
season record
52−28
28−11
home record
29−9
26−14
away record
23−19
W4
streak
W3
8−2
last 10
7−3
46.8
FG%
47.6
36.5
3P%
37.3
46.5
rebounds / game
46.2
24.5
assists / game
27.5
12.3
turnovers / game
13.8
44.6
points in paint / game
47.8

Rating Trend

BOS · NY · 156 days
Boston CelticsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 6−4
Feb 8at BOSNY 111 − 89
Dec 2, 2025at BOSBOS 123 − 117
Oct 24, 2025at NYNY 105 − 95
May 16, 2025at NYNY 119 − 81post
May 14, 2025at BOSBOS 127 − 102post
May 12, 2025at NYNY 121 − 113post
May 10, 2025at NYBOS 115 − 93post
May 7, 2025at BOSNY 91 − 90post
May 5, 2025at BOSNY 108 − 105post
Apr 8, 2025at NYBOS 119 − 117

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Apr 7vs CHA113 − 102W
Apr 5vs TOR115 − 101W
Apr 3at MIL133 − 101W
Apr 1at MIA147 − 129W
Mar 30at ATL102 − 112L
Mar 29at CHA114 − 99W
Mar 27vs ATL109 − 102W
Mar 25vs OKC119 − 109W
Mar 22vs MIN92 − 102L
Mar 20at MEM117 − 112W

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Apr 6at ATL108 − 105W
Apr 3vs CHI136 − 96W
Apr 1at MEM130 − 119W
Mar 31at HOU94 − 111L
Mar 29at OKC100 − 111L
Mar 26at CHA103 − 114L
Mar 24vs NO121 − 116W
Mar 22vs WSH145 − 113W
Mar 20at BKN93 − 92W
Mar 17vs IND136 − 110W