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Bulls at Knicks

NBA · Friday, Apr 3 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final CHI 96 – NY 136
← NBA / Apr 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI1625312496
NY38403028136
Team box
CHI·NY
35-81
field goals
48-91
11-35
3-pointers
15-39
15-26
free throws
25-28
36
rebounds
54
24
assists
30
16
turnovers
9
48
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
OG AnunobyNY313182
Collin SextonCHI291921
Jalen BrunsonNY3017110
Mitchell RobinsonNY2317110
Leonard MillerCHI281460
Tre JonesCHI261338

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +47
CHI +47
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 47 · CHI 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 23%, NY 77% · Updated Apr 3

Expected margin
NY by 10.5
Expected score
NY 121.8 – 111.3 CHI
Expected total
233.1
BullsThe matchupKnicks
+334Our fair odds−334
111.3Expected points121.8
−0.41Power rating+0.59
116.5Points / game116.8
121.4Allowed / game110.7
46.9FG%47.5
36.03P%37.4
45.1Rebounds / game46.1
29−47Season record50−28
2−8Last 107−3
Anfernee Simons · Jalen Smith
Noa Essengue · Zach CollinsOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · NY chance
Our model fair23.0%77.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+33423%————
NYNew York Knicks−33477%————
SpreadNY by 10.5
CHIChicago Bulls+10.5our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−10.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.1
Over233.1our total————
Under233.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 10.5 expected
Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%
← CHI wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more68%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more53%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.1 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.548%
Total over 243.529%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·NY
Apr 1 vs IND
last game
Apr 1 at MEM
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 3, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHINick Richards · right elbow; sprainQuestionable
CHIGuerschon Yabusele · left ankle; sprainProbable
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; tightnessProbable
CHILachlan Olbrich · bilateral plantar fascia; fascitisProbable
CHIMac McClung · right abdominal; tightnessProbable
CHITre Jones · right ankle; sprainProbable
New York Knicks
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · right elbow; right elbow impingementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 76+ games
CHI·NY
−0.41
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
116.5
points / game
116.8
121.4
points allowed / game
110.7
29−47
season record
50−28
18−21
home record
28−9
11−26
away record
22−19
L5
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
7−3
46.9
FG%
47.5
36.0
3P%
37.4
45.1
rebounds / game
46.1
28.5
assists / game
27.4
15.1
turnovers / game
13.8
52.4
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

CHI · NY · 150 days
Chicago BullsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 6−4
Feb 22at CHINY 105 − 99
Nov 2, 2025at NYNY 128 − 116
Oct 31, 2025at CHICHI 135 − 125
Feb 20, 2025at NYNY 113 − 111
Jan 4, 2025at CHICHI 139 − 126
Nov 13, 2024at NYCHI 124 − 123
Apr 14, 2024at NYNY 120 − 119
Apr 9, 2024at CHINY 128 − 117
Apr 5, 2024at CHICHI 108 − 100
Jan 3, 2024at NYNY 116 − 100

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Apr 1vs IND126 − 145L
Mar 30at SA114 − 129L
Mar 28at MEM124 − 125L
Mar 27at OKC113 − 131L
Mar 25at PHI137 − 157L
Mar 23vs HOU132 − 124W
Mar 19vs CLE110 − 115L
Mar 18vs TOR109 − 139L
Mar 16vs MEM132 − 107W
Mar 13at LAC108 − 119L

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Apr 1at MEM130 − 119W
Mar 31at HOU94 − 111L
Mar 29at OKC100 − 111L
Mar 26at CHA103 − 114L
Mar 24vs NO121 − 116W
Mar 22vs WSH145 − 113W
Mar 20at BKN93 − 92W
Mar 17vs IND136 − 110W
Mar 15vs GS110 − 107W
Mar 13at IND101 − 92W