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Bulls at Clippers

NBA · Friday, Mar 13 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final CHI 108 – LAC 119

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI28292823108
LAC33302927119
Team box
CHI·LAC
42-95
field goals
46-96
12-41
3-pointers
9-32
12-13
free throws
18-24
48
rebounds
46
23
assists
28
15
turnovers
6
56
points in paint
70
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC332843
Bennedict MathurinLAC282662
Tre JonesCHI302112
Josh GiddeyCHI39201110
Matas BuzelisCHI3418112
Leonard MillerCHI361483

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +14
CHI +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 14 · CHI 1lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 32%, LAC 68% · Updated Mar 13

Expected margin
LAC by 7.0
Expected score
LAC 118.2 – 111.2 CHI
Expected total
229.4
BullsThe matchupClippers
+213Our fair odds−213
111.2Expected points118.2
−0.36Power rating+0.23
115.9Points / game113.4
120.2Allowed / game112.6
46.9FG%48.4
36.33P%36.2
45.0Rebounds / game40.8
27−39Season record33−32
3−7Last 106−4
Anfernee Simons · Jaden Ivey
Mac McClung · Noa Essengue
Zach Collins
OutBradley Beal · Darius Garland
John Collins · Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · LAC chance
Our model fair31.9%68.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+21332%————
LACLA Clippers−21368%————
SpreadLAC by 7.0
CHIChicago Bulls+7our margin————
LACLA Clippers−7our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.4
Over229.4our total————
Under229.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 7.0 expected
Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%
← CHI wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more59%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more43%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.4 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·LAC
Mar 12 at LAL
last game
Mar 11 vs MIN
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 13, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHICollin Sexton · pain syndrome left fibular head; contusionDoubtful
CHIIsaac Okoro · right patellofemoral;Doubtful
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strain; injury managementDoubtful
CHIGuerschon Yabusele · left foot; sorenessQuestionable
CHIPatrick Williams · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injury managementOut
LACJohn Collins · neck; strainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 65+ games
CHI·LAC
−0.36
rating (0 = average)
+0.23
115.9
points / game
113.4
120.2
points allowed / game
112.6
27−39
season record
33−32
16−18
home record
18−13
11−21
away record
15−19
L1
streak
W3
3−7
last 10
6−4
46.9
FG%
48.4
36.3
3P%
36.2
45.0
rebounds / game
40.8
28.9
assists / game
23.6
14.9
turnovers / game
14.4
51.8
points in paint / game
48.6

Rating Trend

CHI · LAC · 129 days
Chicago BullsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAC 5−4
Jan 20at CHICHI 138 − 110
Feb 26, 2025at CHILAC 122 − 117
Jan 20, 2025at LACCHI 112 − 99
Mar 14, 2024at CHILAC 126 − 111
Mar 9, 2024at LACLAC 112 − 102
Mar 27, 2023at LACLAC 124 − 112
Jan 31, 2023at CHILAC 108 − 103
Mar 31, 2022at CHICHI 135 − 130
Nov 14, 2021at LACCHI 100 − 90

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Mar 12at LAL130 − 142L
Mar 10at GS130 − 124W
Mar 8at SAC110 − 126L
Mar 5at PHX105 − 103W
Mar 3vs OKC108 − 116L
Mar 1vs MIL120 − 97W
Feb 26vs POR112 − 121L
Feb 24vs CHA99 − 131L
Feb 22vs NY99 − 105L
Feb 21vs DET110 − 126L

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Mar 11vs MIN153 − 128W
Mar 9vs NY126 − 118W
Mar 7at MEM123 − 120W
Mar 6at SA112 − 116L
Mar 4vs IND130 − 107W
Mar 2at GS114 − 101W
Mar 1vs NO137 − 117W
Feb 26vs MIN88 − 94L
Feb 22vs ORL109 − 111L
Feb 20at LAL122 − 125L