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Pelicans at Clippers

NBA · Sunday, Mar 1 · 8:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final NO 117 – LAC 137
← NBA / Mar 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO32382423117
LAC43333130137
Team box
NO·LAC
40-89
field goals
48-89
12-33
3-pointers
17-36
25-30
free throws
24-29
41
rebounds
38
22
assists
29
17
turnovers
9
50
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jeremiah FearsNO262834
Kawhi LeonardLAC292335
Jordan MillerLAC321928
Derik QueenNO291952
Dejounte MurrayNO221755
Derrick Jones Jr.LAC281720

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +26
NO +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 26 · NO 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 27%, LAC 73% · Updated Mar 1

Expected margin
LAC by 9.0
Expected score
LAC 117.8 – 108.8 NO
Expected total
226.7
PelicansThe matchupClippers
+269Our fair odds−269
108.8Expected points117.8
−0.67Power rating+0.15
115.0Points / game111.7
120.1Allowed / game112.2
46.4FG%47.9
34.33P%35.9
43.9Rebounds / game40.8
19−42Season record27−31
6−4Last 104−6
Hunter Dickinson · Trey AlexanderOut (2 each)Bradley Beal · Darius Garland

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · LAC chance
Our model fair27.1%72.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+26927%————
LACLA Clippers−26973%————
SpreadLAC by 9.0
NONew Orleans Pelicans+9our margin————
LACLA Clippers−9our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.7
Over226.7our total————
Under226.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 9.0 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 51 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 50 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 49 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%
← NO wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more64%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more49%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

226.7 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.550%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GDejounte Murraystarted
GSaddiq Beystarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
CDeAndre Jordanstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·LAC
Feb 28 at UTAH
last game
Feb 26 vs MIN
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 1, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut
NOZion Williamson · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injuryOut
LACJohn Collins · head; laceration; neck sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 58+ games
NO·LAC
−0.67
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
115.0
points / game
111.7
120.1
points allowed / game
112.2
19−42
season record
27−31
11−21
home record
14−13
8−21
away record
13−18
W4
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
4−6
46.4
FG%
47.9
34.3
3P%
35.9
43.9
rebounds / game
40.8
25.2
assists / game
23.5
14.3
turnovers / game
14.8
57.4
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

NO · LAC · 117 days
New Orleans PelicansLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 4−6
Oct 31, 2025at LACLAC 126 − 124
Apr 2, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 98
Mar 11, 2025at NONO 127 − 120
Dec 30, 2024at NOLAC 116 − 113
Mar 15, 2024at NONO 112 − 104
Feb 7, 2024at LACNO 117 − 106
Jan 5, 2024at NOLAC 111 − 95
Nov 24, 2023at LACNO 116 − 106
Apr 1, 2023at NONO 122 − 114
Mar 25, 2023at LACNO 131 − 110

NO · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Feb 28at UTAH115 − 105W
Feb 26at UTAH129 − 118W
Feb 24vs GS113 − 109W
Feb 21vs PHI126 − 111W
Feb 20vs MIL118 − 139L
Feb 11vs MIA111 − 123L
Feb 9vs SAC120 − 94W
Feb 6at MIN119 − 115W
Feb 4at MIL137 − 141L
Feb 2at CHA95 − 102L

LAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Feb 26vs MIN88 − 94L
Feb 22vs ORL109 − 111L
Feb 20at LAL122 − 125L
Feb 19vs DEN115 − 114W
Feb 11at HOU105 − 102W
Feb 10at HOU95 − 102L
Feb 8at MIN115 − 96W
Feb 6at SAC114 − 111W
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L