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Timberwolves at Clippers

NBA · Thursday, Feb 26 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final MIN 94 – LAC 88
← NBA / Feb 26

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN2915193194
LAC2711302088
Team box
MIN·LAC
36-83
field goals
30-74
8-26
3-pointers
5-22
14-19
free throws
23-29
41
rebounds
40
23
assists
21
13
turnovers
19
44
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony EdwardsMIN363135
Donte DiVincenzoMIN311834
Derrick Jones Jr.LAC321811
Bennedict MathurinLAC341462
Jaden McDanielsMIN321272
Ayo DosunmuMIN231221

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +9
MIN +9
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 6 · MIN 9lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 53%, LAC 47% · Updated Feb 26

Expected margin
MIN by 1.6
Expected score
MIN 113.0 – 111.4 LAC
Expected total
224.4
TimberwolvesThe matchupClippers
−112Our fair odds+112
113.0Expected points111.4
+0.44Power rating+0.15
119.6Points / game112.1
115.1Allowed / game112.6
48.5FG%48.0
37.73P%36.1
44.8Rebounds / game40.8
36−23Season record27−30
6−4Last 105−5
Enrique Freeman · Jules Bernard
Rocco ZikarskyOutBradley Beal · Darius Garland
John Collins · Kawhi Leonard

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · LAC chance
Our model fair52.7%47.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−11253%————
LACLA Clippers+11247%————
SpreadMIN by 1.6
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−1.6our margin————
LACLA Clippers+1.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.4
Over224.4our total————
Under224.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 1.6 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%
← MIN wins byLAC wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more44%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more30%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.4 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GBennedict Mathurinstarted
FNicolas Batumstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·LAC
Feb 24 at POR
last game
Feb 22 vs ORL
1 day
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 26, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINJules Bernard · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injury managementOut
LACJohn Collins · head; laceration; neck sorenessOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left ankle; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 57+ games
MIN·LAC
+0.44
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
119.6
points / game
112.1
115.1
points allowed / game
112.6
36−23
season record
27−30
20−11
home record
14−12
16−12
away record
13−18
W1
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
5−5
48.5
FG%
48.0
37.7
3P%
36.1
44.8
rebounds / game
40.8
26.4
assists / game
23.5
14.7
turnovers / game
14.8
50.3
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

MIN · LAC · 114 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 2−8
Feb 8at MINLAC 115 − 96
Dec 6, 2025at MINMIN 109 − 106
Jan 6, 2025at MINMIN 108 − 106
Dec 4, 2024at LACMIN 108 − 80
Nov 29, 2024at MINMIN 93 − 92
Mar 12, 2024at LACMIN 118 − 100
Mar 3, 2024at MINLAC 89 − 88
Feb 12, 2024at LACMIN 121 − 100
Jan 14, 2024at MINMIN 109 − 105
Feb 28, 2023at LACMIN 108 − 101

MIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Feb 24at POR124 − 121W
Feb 22vs PHI108 − 135L
Feb 20vs DAL122 − 111W
Feb 11vs POR133 − 109W
Feb 9vs ATL138 − 116W
Feb 8vs LAC96 − 115L
Feb 6vs NO115 − 119L
Feb 4at TOR128 − 126W
Feb 2at MEM128 − 137L
Jan 31at MEM131 − 114W

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Feb 22vs ORL109 − 111L
Feb 20at LAL122 − 125L
Feb 19vs DEN115 − 114W
Feb 11at HOU105 − 102W
Feb 10at HOU95 − 102L
Feb 8at MIN115 − 96W
Feb 6at SAC114 − 111W
Feb 4vs CLE91 − 124L
Feb 2vs PHI113 − 128L
Feb 1at PHX117 − 93W