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Bulls at Kings

NBA · Sunday, Mar 8 · 8:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final CHI 110 – SAC 126
← NBA / Mar 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI25263821110
SAC30353922126
Team box
CHI·SAC
35-84
field goals
47-105
17-45
3-pointers
11-29
23-34
free throws
21-23
49
rebounds
55
27
assists
33
14
turnovers
4
36
points in paint
68
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Malik MonkSAC313045
Collin SextonCHI222823
Maxime RaynaudSAC3826112
Russell WestbrookSAC35231112
Matas BuzelisCHI302084
Daeqwon PlowdenSAC351632

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +17
CHI +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 17 · CHI 5lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 56%, SAC 44% · Updated Mar 8

Expected margin
CHI by 2.3
Expected score
CHI 120.2 – 117.9 SAC
Expected total
238.1
BullsThe matchupKings
−125Our fair odds+125
120.2Expected points117.9
−0.34Power rating−0.74
115.5Points / game110.4
119.7Allowed / game121.3
46.9FG%46.3
36.33P%33.4
44.7Rebounds / game41.6
26−37Season record14−50
2−8Last 102−8
Anfernee Simons · Jaden Ivey
Mac McClung · Noa Essengue
Zach CollinsOut (5 each)De'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · SAC chance
Our model fair55.6%44.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls−12556%————
SACSacramento Kings+12544%————
SpreadCHI by 2.3
CHIChicago Bulls−2.3our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+2.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 238.1
Over238.1our total————
Under238.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 2.3 expected
Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%
← CHI wins bySAC wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more46%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more32%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

238.1 expected
188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 228.567%
Total over 238.548%
Total over 248.530%
Total from 229 to 24837%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDaeqwon Plowdenstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·SAC
Mar 5 at PHX
last game
Mar 5 vs NO
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 8, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHIJalen Smith · left calf; strainQuestionable
CHIJosh Giddey · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
CHIMatas Buzelis · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
CHIPatrick Williams · right quadricep; strainQuestionable
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDylan Cardwell · left ankle; sprainOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 63+ games
CHI·SAC
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
−0.74
115.5
points / game
110.4
119.7
points allowed / game
121.3
26−37
season record
14−50
16−18
home record
9−22
10−19
away record
5−28
W1
streak
L3
2−8
last 10
2−8
46.9
FG%
46.3
36.3
3P%
33.4
44.7
rebounds / game
41.6
28.7
assists / game
25.3
14.9
turnovers / game
14.3
51.7
points in paint / game
49.5

Rating Trend

CHI · SAC · 124 days
Chicago BullsSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · SAC 5−4
Oct 29, 2025at CHICHI 126 − 113
Mar 20, 2025at SACCHI 128 − 116
Jan 12, 2025at CHISAC 124 − 119
Mar 4, 2024at SACCHI 113 − 109
Feb 3, 2024at CHISAC 123 − 115
Mar 15, 2023at CHISAC 117 − 114
Dec 4, 2022at SACSAC 110 − 101
Mar 14, 2022at SACSAC 112 − 103
Feb 16, 2022at CHICHI 125 − 118

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Mar 5at PHX105 − 103W
Mar 3vs OKC108 − 116L
Mar 1vs MIL120 − 97W
Feb 26vs POR112 − 121L
Feb 24vs CHA99 − 131L
Feb 22vs NY99 − 105L
Feb 21vs DET110 − 126L
Feb 19vs TOR101 − 110L
Feb 11at BOS105 − 124L
Feb 9at BKN115 − 123L

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Mar 5vs NO123 − 133L
Mar 3vs PHX103 − 114L
Mar 1at LAL104 − 128L
Feb 26at DAL130 − 121W
Feb 25at HOU97 − 128L
Feb 23at MEM123 − 114W
Feb 21at SA122 − 139L
Feb 19vs ORL94 − 131L
Feb 11at UTAH93 − 121L
Feb 9at NO94 − 120L