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Hornets at Bulls

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 24 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final CHA 131 – CHI 99
← NBA / Feb 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA31254233131
CHI3124162899
Team box
CHA·CHI
49-95
field goals
35-82
25-57
3-pointers
16-40
8-9
free throws
13-15
46
rebounds
33
31
assists
18
17
turnovers
21
42
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Matas BuzelisCHI333272
Brandon MillerCHA252353
Kon KnueppelCHA232112
LaMelo BallCHA231637
Miles BridgesCHA221672
Grant WilliamsCHA191142

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +38
CHA +38
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 9 · CHA 38lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 48%, CHI 52% · Updated Feb 24

Expected margin
CHA by 0.1
Expected score
CHA 116.3 – 116.2 CHI
Expected total
232.6
HornetsThe matchupBulls
+110Our fair odds−110
116.3Expected points116.2
−0.23Power rating−0.31
115.6Points / game116.1
113.7Allowed / game120.3
45.9FG%46.9
37.53P%36.5
46.1Rebounds / game44.8
27−31Season record24−34
7−3Last 101−9
Antonio Reeves · Liam McNeeley
PJ Hall · Tidjane Salaun
Tosan EvbuomwanOut (5 each)Anfernee Simons · Jaden Ivey
Jalen Smith · Mac McClung
Noa Essengue

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · CHI chance
Our model fair47.6%52.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+11048%————
CHIChicago Bulls−11052%————
SpreadCHA by 0.1
CHACharlotte Hornets−0.1our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.6
Over232.6our total————
Under232.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 0.1 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%
← CHA wins byCHI wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more40%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more27%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

232.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
Chicago Bulls
GJosh Giddeystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FPatrick Williamsstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·CHI
Feb 22 at WSH
last game
Feb 22 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 24, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHALiam McNeeley · left ankle; sprainOut
CHAPJ Hall · g league - two-wayOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
CHATosan Evbuomwan · g league - two-wayOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left wrist; contusionOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 58+ games
CHA·CHI
−0.23
rating (0 = average)
−0.31
115.6
points / game
116.1
113.7
points allowed / game
120.3
27−31
season record
24−34
12−16
home record
15−15
15−15
away record
9−19
W1
streak
L9
7−3
last 10
1−9
45.9
FG%
46.9
37.5
3P%
36.5
46.1
rebounds / game
44.8
26.4
assists / game
29.0
15.8
turnovers / game
14.6
46.3
points in paint / game
51.7

Rating Trend

CHA · CHI · 112 days
Charlotte HornetsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 7−3
Jan 3at CHICHA 112 − 99
Dec 12, 2025at CHACHI 129 − 126
Nov 28, 2025at CHACHA 123 − 116
Apr 6, 2025at CHACHI 131 − 117
Jan 17, 2025at CHICHA 125 − 123
Dec 30, 2024at CHACHI 115 − 108
Dec 13, 2024at CHICHI 109 − 95
Jan 31, 2024at CHACHI 117 − 110
Jan 8, 2024at CHACHI 119 − 112
Jan 5, 2024at CHICHI 104 − 91

CHA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Feb 22at WSH129 − 112W
Feb 20vs CLE113 − 118L
Feb 19vs HOU101 − 105L
Feb 11vs ATL110 − 107W
Feb 9vs DET104 − 110L
Feb 7at ATL126 − 119W
Feb 5at HOU109 − 99W
Feb 2vs NO102 − 95W
Jan 31vs SA111 − 106W
Jan 29at DAL123 − 121W

CHI · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Feb 22vs NY99 − 105L
Feb 21vs DET110 − 126L
Feb 19vs TOR101 − 110L
Feb 11at BOS105 − 124L
Feb 9at BKN115 − 123L
Feb 7vs DEN120 − 136L
Feb 5at TOR107 − 123L
Feb 3at MIL115 − 131L
Feb 1at MIA91 − 134L
Jan 31at MIA125 − 118W