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Trail Blazers at Bulls

NBA · Thursday, Feb 26 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final POR 121 – CHI 112
← NBA / Feb 26

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR32372428121
CHI34292326112
Team box
POR·CHI
42-95
field goals
40-80
10-46
3-pointers
9-30
27-31
free throws
23-30
45
rebounds
41
27
assists
29
12
turnovers
22
54
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jerami GrantPOR352752
Matas BuzelisCHI362074
Tre JonesCHI271934
Toumani CamaraPOR361652
Josh GiddeyCHI281569
Robert Williams IIIPOR2314141

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +15
POR +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 7 · POR 15lead changes: 17

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 49%, CHI 51% · Updated Feb 26

Expected margin
CHI by 0.6
Expected score
CHI 118.8 – 118.2 POR
Expected total
237.0
Trail BlazersThe matchupBulls
+103Our fair odds−103
118.2Expected points118.8
−0.16Power rating−0.31
115.8Points / game115.8
118.3Allowed / game120.4
45.2FG%46.8
34.03P%36.6
45.8Rebounds / game44.6
28−31Season record24−35
5−5Last 100−10
Caleb Love · Damian Lillard
Deni Avdija · Shaedon SharpeOutAnfernee Simons · Jaden Ivey
Jalen Smith · Noa Essengue
Patrick Williams

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · CHI chance
Our model fair49.4%50.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+10349%————
CHIChicago Bulls−10351%————
SpreadCHI by 0.6
PORPortland Trail Blazers+0.6our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.0
Over237.0our total————
Under237.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 0.6 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%
← POR wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more42%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more28%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.0 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.567%
Total over 237.548%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GScoot Hendersonstarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FKris Murraystarted
Chicago Bulls
GCollin Sextonstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·CHI
Feb 24 vs MIN
last game
Feb 24 vs CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 26, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORCaleb Love · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDeni Avdija · low back; injury managementOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left calf; fibula stress reactionOut
PORDonovan Clingan · illness; .Questionable
PORHansen Yang · mid back; sorenessQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · right foot; sorenessQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIPatrick Williams · right quadricep; strainOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 59+ games
POR·CHI
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.31
115.8
points / game
115.8
118.3
points allowed / game
120.4
28−31
season record
24−35
16−15
home record
15−16
12−16
away record
9−19
L1
streak
L10
5−5
last 10
0−10
45.2
FG%
46.8
34.0
3P%
36.6
45.8
rebounds / game
44.6
24.7
assists / game
28.8
17.4
turnovers / game
14.7
48.2
points in paint / game
51.4

Rating Trend

POR · CHI · 114 days
Portland Trail BlazersChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CHI 7−2
Nov 19, 2025at PORCHI 122 − 121
Apr 4, 2025at CHICHI 118 − 113
Jan 19, 2025at PORPOR 113 − 102
Mar 18, 2024at CHICHI 110 − 107
Jan 28, 2024at PORCHI 104 − 96
Mar 24, 2023at PORCHI 124 − 96
Feb 4, 2023at CHICHI 129 − 121
Jan 30, 2022at CHICHI 130 − 116
Nov 17, 2021at PORPOR 112 − 107

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Feb 24vs MIN121 − 124L
Feb 22at PHX92 − 77W
Feb 20vs DEN103 − 157L
Feb 12at UTAH135 − 119W
Feb 11at MIN109 − 133L
Feb 9vs PHI135 − 118W
Feb 7vs MEM122 − 115W
Feb 6vs MEM135 − 115W
Feb 3vs PHX125 − 130L
Feb 1vs CLE111 − 130L

CHI · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Feb 24vs CHA99 − 131L
Feb 22vs NY99 − 105L
Feb 21vs DET110 − 126L
Feb 19vs TOR101 − 110L
Feb 11at BOS105 − 124L
Feb 9at BKN115 − 123L
Feb 7vs DEN120 − 136L
Feb 5at TOR107 − 123L
Feb 3at MIL115 − 131L
Feb 1at MIA91 − 134L