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Trail Blazers at Suns

NBA · Sunday, Feb 22 · 7:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final POR 92 – PHX 77
← NBA / Feb 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR2027242192
PHX2020172077
Team box
POR·PHX
38-81
field goals
31-85
10-37
3-pointers
9-35
6-11
free throws
6-6
47
rebounds
41
23
assists
16
21
turnovers
23
52
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan ClinganPOR3123133
Jerami GrantPOR312321
Collin GillespiePHX331833
Jalen GreenPHX221331
Toumani CamaraPOR3512102
Scoot HendersonPOR301146

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +20
POR +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 3 · POR 20lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 39%, PHX 61% · Updated Feb 22

Expected margin
PHX by 4.3
Expected score
PHX 116.2 – 111.9 POR
Expected total
228.1
Trail BlazersThe matchupSuns
+155Our fair odds−155
111.9Expected points116.2
−0.14Power rating+0.11
116.1Points / game113.3
119.0Allowed / game112.0
45.2FG%45.8
34.03P%35.9
45.9Rebounds / game43.5
27−30Season record33−24
4−6Last 105−5
Caleb Love · Damian Lillard
Hansen Yang · Javonte Cooke
Shaedon SharpeOut (5 each)Cole Anthony · Devin Booker
Dillon Brooks · Haywood Highsmith
Jordan Goodwin

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · PHX chance
Our model fair39.2%60.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+15539%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−15561%————
SpreadPHX by 4.3
PORPortland Trail Blazers+4.3our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−4.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.1
Over228.1our total————
Under228.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 4.3 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%
← POR wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more52%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more37%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.1 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.568%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.529%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Phoenix Suns
GCollin Gillespiestarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·PHX
Feb 20 vs DEN
last game
Feb 21 vs ORL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
1
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 22, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORCaleb Love · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORHansen Yang · g league - on assignmentOut
PORJavonte Cooke · g league - two-wayOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left calf; strainOut
PORDeni Avdija · low back; injury managementQuestionable
Phoenix Suns
PHXCole Anthony · not with teamOut
PHXDevin Booker · right hip; strainOut
PHXDillon Brooks · left hand; fractureOut
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXJordan Goodwin · left calf; strainOut
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee & ankle; injury managementQuestionable
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 57+ games
POR·PHX
−0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.11
116.1
points / game
113.3
119.0
points allowed / game
112.0
27−30
season record
33−24
16−14
home record
19−10
11−16
away record
14−14
L1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
45.2
FG%
45.8
34.0
3P%
35.9
45.9
rebounds / game
43.5
24.7
assists / game
24.8
17.3
turnovers / game
14.8
48.0
points in paint / game
44.3

Rating Trend

POR · PHX · 110 days
Portland Trail BlazersPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 7−3
Feb 3at PORPHX 130 − 125
Nov 18, 2025at PORPHX 127 − 110
Feb 3, 2025at PORPOR 121 − 119
Feb 1, 2025at PORPOR 127 − 108
Dec 15, 2024at PHXPHX 116 − 109
Nov 2, 2024at PHXPHX 103 − 97
Jan 14, 2024at PORPHX 127 − 116
Jan 1, 2024at PHXPHX 109 − 88
Dec 19, 2023at PORPOR 109 − 104
Nov 21, 2023at PHXPHX 120 − 107

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Feb 20vs DEN103 − 157L
Feb 12at UTAH135 − 119W
Feb 11at MIN109 − 133L
Feb 9vs PHI135 − 118W
Feb 7vs MEM122 − 115W
Feb 6vs MEM135 − 115W
Feb 3vs PHX125 − 130L
Feb 1vs CLE111 − 130L
Jan 30at NY97 − 127L
Jan 27at WSH111 − 115L

PHX · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Feb 21vs ORL113 − 110W
Feb 19at SA94 − 121L
Feb 11vs OKC109 − 136L
Feb 10vs DAL120 − 111W
Feb 7vs PHI103 − 109L
Feb 5vs GS97 − 101L
Feb 3at POR130 − 125W
Feb 1vs LAC93 − 117L
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W
Jan 29vs DET114 − 96W