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Suns at Spurs

NBA · Thursday, Feb 19 · 7:30 PM CT · Moody Center · Final PHX 94 – SA 121
← NBA / Feb 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX2524222394
SA30313723121
Team box
PHX·SA
39-105
field goals
45-87
12-42
3-pointers
13-37
4-6
free throws
18-20
46
rebounds
50
22
assists
30
13
turnovers
12
36
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen GreenPHX262632
Stephon CastleSA212024
Victor WembanyamaSA2517114
Dylan HarperSA261711
De'Aaron FoxSA221538
Devin VassellSA231222

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SA +32
PHX +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SA 32 · PHX 2lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 39%, SA 61% · Updated Feb 19

Expected margin
SA by 4.0
Expected score
SA 115.8 – 111.8 PHX
Expected total
227.5
SunsThe matchupSpurs
+154Our fair odds−154
111.8Expected points115.8
+0.11Power rating+0.35
113.6Points / game118.0
111.8Allowed / game112.4
46.1FG%47.8
36.23P%34.7
43.1Rebounds / game46.5
32−23Season record38−17
5−5Last 108−2
Cole Anthony · Dillon Brooks
Haywood HighsmithOutDavid Jones Garcia · Harrison Ingram
Lindy Waters III · Mason Plumlee
Stanley Umude

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · SA chance
Our model fair39.3%60.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+15439%————
SASan Antonio Spurs−15461%————
SpreadSA by 4.0
PHXPhoenix Suns+4our margin————
SASan Antonio Spurs−4our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.5
Over227.5our total————
Under227.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 4.0 expected
Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1%
← PHX wins bySA wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more51%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more36%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.5 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
CMark Williamsstarted
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GDevin Vassellstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FJulian Champagniestarted
FVictor Wembanyamastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·SA
Feb 11 vs OKC
last game
Feb 11 at GS
7 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 19, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXCole Anthony · not with teamOut
PHXDillon Brooks · league suspensionOut
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXGrayson Allen · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
San Antonio Spurs
SADavid Jones Garcia · g league - two-wayOut
SAHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayOut
SALindy Waters III · left knee; hyperextensionOut
SAMason Plumlee · return to competition reconditioningOut
SAStanley Umude · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 55+ games
PHX·SA
+0.11
rating (0 = average)
+0.35
113.6
points / game
118.0
111.8
points allowed / game
112.4
32−23
season record
38−17
18−10
home record
19−6
14−13
away record
19−11
L1
streak
W6
5−5
last 10
8−2
46.1
FG%
47.8
36.2
3P%
34.7
43.1
rebounds / game
46.5
25.0
assists / game
26.6
15.0
turnovers / game
13.6
44.4
points in paint / game
51.0

Rating Trend

PHX · SA · 107 days
Phoenix SunsSan Antonio Spurs
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 4−6
Nov 23, 2025at PHXPHX 111 − 102
Nov 2, 2025at PHXPHX 130 − 118
Apr 11, 2025at PHXPHX 117 − 98
Feb 20, 2025at SASA 120 − 109
Dec 3, 2024at PHXPHX 104 − 93
Mar 25, 2024at SASA 104 − 102
Mar 23, 2024at SAPHX 131 − 106
Nov 2, 2023at PHXSA 132 − 121
Oct 31, 2023at PHXSA 115 − 114
Apr 4, 2023at PHXPHX 115 − 94

PHX · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Feb 11vs OKC109 − 136L
Feb 10vs DAL120 − 111W
Feb 7vs PHI103 − 109L
Feb 5vs GS97 − 101L
Feb 3at POR130 − 125W
Feb 1vs LAC93 − 117L
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W
Jan 29vs DET114 − 96W
Jan 27vs BKN106 − 102W
Jan 25vs MIA102 − 111L

SA · Last 10

8−2 · streak W6
Feb 11at GS126 − 113W
Feb 10at LAL136 − 108W
Feb 7vs DAL138 − 125W
Feb 5at DAL135 − 123W
Feb 4vs OKC116 − 106W
Feb 1vs ORL112 − 103W
Jan 31at CHA106 − 111L
Jan 28at HOU111 − 99W
Jan 25vs NO95 − 104L
Jan 22at UTAH126 − 109W