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Mavericks at Suns

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 10 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final DAL 111 – PHX 120
← NBA / Feb 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL16322736111
PHX36293124120
Team box
DAL·PHX
37-77
field goals
49-102
5-22
3-pointers
16-50
32-44
free throws
6-9
42
rebounds
49
18
assists
32
16
turnovers
14
52
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Naji MarshallDAL363142
Cooper FlaggDAL362752
Dillon BrooksPHX312341
Devin BookerPHX321946
Mark WilliamsPHX251391
Khris MiddletonDAL221352

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +31
DAL +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 31 · DAL 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 36%, PHX 64% · Updated Feb 10

Expected margin
PHX by 4.9
Expected score
PHX 116.2 – 111.3 DAL
Expected total
227.6
MavericksThe matchupSuns
+181Our fair odds−181
111.3Expected points116.2
−0.27Power rating+0.12
114.2Points / game113.6
117.2Allowed / game111.4
47.1FG%46.1
34.13P%36.3
45.1Rebounds / game42.9
19−33Season record31−22
3−7Last 105−5
Dereck Lively II · Kyrie IrvingOutCole Anthony · Grayson Allen
Isaiah Livers

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · PHX chance
Our model fair35.6%64.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+18136%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−18164%————
SpreadPHX by 4.9
DALDallas Mavericks+4.9our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−4.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.6
Over227.6our total————
Under227.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 4.9 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%
← DAL wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more54%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more38%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

227.6 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GTyus Jonesstarted
GMax Christiestarted
FDaniel Gaffordstarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·PHX
Feb 7 at SA
last game
Feb 7 vs PHI
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 10, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALMiles Kelly · g league - two-wayDoubtful
DALMoussa Cisse · g league - two-wayDoubtful
DALRyan Nembhard · g league - two-wayDoubtful
DALKlay Thompson · restQuestionable
Phoenix Suns
PHXCole Anthony · not with teamOut
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee; sprainOut
PHXIsaiah Livers · left shoulder; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 52+ games
DAL·PHX
−0.27
rating (0 = average)
+0.12
114.2
points / game
113.6
117.2
points allowed / game
111.4
19−33
season record
31−22
14−16
home record
17−9
5−17
away record
14−13
L7
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
5−5
47.1
FG%
46.1
34.1
3P%
36.3
45.1
rebounds / game
42.9
25.3
assists / game
24.8
14.7
turnovers / game
15.1
53.6
points in paint / game
44.3

Rating Trend

DAL · PHX · 104 days
Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 6−4
Nov 12, 2025at DALPHX 123 − 114
Mar 9, 2025at DALPHX 125 − 116
Dec 27, 2024at PHXDAL 98 − 89
Nov 8, 2024at DALPHX 114 − 113
Oct 26, 2024at PHXPHX 114 − 102
Feb 22, 2024at DALDAL 123 − 113
Jan 24, 2024at DALPHX 132 − 109
Dec 25, 2023at PHXDAL 128 − 114
Mar 5, 2023at DALPHX 130 − 126
Jan 26, 2023at PHXDAL 99 − 95

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L7
Feb 7at SA125 − 138L
Feb 5vs SA123 − 135L
Feb 3vs BOS100 − 110L
Jan 31at HOU107 − 111L
Jan 29vs CHA121 − 123L
Jan 28vs MIN105 − 118L
Jan 24vs LAL110 − 116L
Jan 22vs GS123 − 115W
Jan 19at NY114 − 97W
Jan 17vs UTAH138 − 120W

PHX · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Feb 7vs PHI103 − 109L
Feb 5vs GS97 − 101L
Feb 3at POR130 − 125W
Feb 1vs LAC93 − 117L
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W
Jan 29vs DET114 − 96W
Jan 27vs BKN106 − 102W
Jan 25vs MIA102 − 111L
Jan 23at ATL103 − 110L
Jan 20at PHI116 − 110W