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Bulls at 76ers

NBA · Wednesday, Mar 25 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final CHI 137 – PHI 157

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI26263253137
PHI38335135157
Team box
CHI·PHI
48-98
field goals
57-103
15-47
3-pointers
22-47
26-31
free throws
21-28
48
rebounds
45
30
assists
34
14
turnovers
8
64
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Joel EmbiidPHI283567
Paul GeorgePHI262864
Josh GiddeyCHI3323912
VJ EdgecombePHI302266
Matas BuzelisCHI301882
Collin SextonCHI191614

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +47
CHI +47
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 47 · CHI 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 41%, PHI 59% · Updated Mar 25

Expected margin
PHI by 3.2
Expected score
PHI 120.0 – 116.8 CHI
Expected total
236.8
BullsThe matchup76ers
+146Our fair odds−146
116.8Expected points120.0
−0.35Power rating−0.18
116.0Points / game115.6
120.3Allowed / game116.2
46.9FG%46.1
36.33P%34.2
45.0Rebounds / game43.4
29−42Season record39−33
4−6Last 105−5
Jaden Ivey · Mac McClung
Noa Essengue · Yuki Kawamura
Zach Collins
OutJohni Broome · Kelly Oubre Jr.
Tyrese Martin · Tyrese Maxey

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · PHI chance
Our model fair40.7%59.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+14641%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−14659%————
SpreadPHI by 3.2
CHIChicago Bulls+3.2our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−3.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.8
Over236.8our total————
Under236.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 3.2 expected
Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← CHI wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more49%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more34%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.8 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.569%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.531%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FJalen Smithstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·PHI
Mar 23 vs HOU
last game
Mar 23 vs OKC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 25, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureDoubtful
CHIGuerschon Yabusele · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
CHIIsaac Okoro · right patellofemoral; pain syndromeQuestionable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJohni Broome · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left elbow; sprainOut
PHITyrese Martin · g league - two-wayOut
PHITyrese Maxey · right finger; tendon strainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right oblique; strainQuestionable
PHIQuentin Grimes · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 71+ games
CHI·PHI
−0.35
rating (0 = average)
−0.18
116.0
points / game
115.6
120.3
points allowed / game
116.2
29−42
season record
39−33
18−20
home record
20−17
11−22
away record
19−16
W1
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
5−5
46.9
FG%
46.1
36.3
3P%
34.2
45.0
rebounds / game
43.4
28.7
assists / game
24.6
15.0
turnovers / game
13.9
52.0
points in paint / game
50.0

Rating Trend

CHI · PHI · 141 days
Chicago BullsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6
Dec 26, 2025at CHICHI 109 − 102
Nov 4, 2025at CHICHI 113 − 111
Apr 13, 2025at PHICHI 122 − 102
Feb 24, 2025at PHICHI 142 − 110
Jan 25, 2025at CHIPHI 109 − 97
Dec 8, 2024at CHIPHI 108 − 100
Jan 2, 2024at PHIPHI 110 − 97
Dec 30, 2023at CHICHI 105 − 92
Dec 18, 2023at PHICHI 108 − 104
Mar 22, 2023at CHIPHI 116 − 91

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Mar 23vs HOU132 − 124W
Mar 19vs CLE110 − 115L
Mar 18vs TOR109 − 139L
Mar 16vs MEM132 − 107W
Mar 13at LAC108 − 119L
Mar 12at LAL130 − 142L
Mar 10at GS130 − 124W
Mar 8at SAC110 − 126L
Mar 5at PHX105 − 103W
Mar 3vs OKC108 − 116L

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Mar 23vs OKC103 − 123L
Mar 21at UTAH126 − 116W
Mar 19at SAC139 − 118W
Mar 17at DEN96 − 124L
Mar 15vs POR109 − 103W
Mar 14vs BKN104 − 97W
Mar 12at DET109 − 131L
Mar 10vs MEM139 − 129W
Mar 9at CLE101 − 115L
Mar 7at ATL116 − 125L