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76ers at Cavaliers

NBA · Monday, Mar 9 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final PHI 101 – CLE 115
← NBA / Mar 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI20242235101
CLE26303128115
Team box
PHI·CLE
39-85
field goals
38-84
11-38
3-pointers
16-44
12-18
free throws
23-25
42
rebounds
41
20
assists
28
17
turnovers
10
54
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenCLE292155
Keon EllisCLE261920
Donovan MitchellCLE311736
Quentin GrimesPHI361753
Evan MobleyCLE281581
Justin EdwardsPHI281423

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +25
PHI +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 25 · PHI 5lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 30%, CLE 70% · Updated Mar 9

Expected margin
CLE by 7.7
Expected score
CLE 120.4 – 112.8 PHI
Expected total
233.2
76ersThe matchupCavaliers
+239Our fair odds−239
112.8Expected points120.4
−0.12Power rating+0.59
115.8Points / game118.8
116.1Allowed / game114.8
46.0FG%47.7
35.13P%36.2
43.2Rebounds / game44.4
34−29Season record39−25
4−6Last 106−4
Joel Embiid · Johni Broome
Paul George · Tyrese Maxey
VJ EdgecombeOutJarrett Allen · Max Strus
Olivier Sarr · Tyrese Proctor

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · CLE chance
Our model fair29.5%70.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+23930%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−23970%————
SpreadCLE by 7.7
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+7.7our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−7.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.2
Over233.2our total————
Under233.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 7.7 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%
← PHI wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more61%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more45%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.2 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.548%
Total over 243.529%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
PGCameron Paynestarted
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GQuentin Grimesstarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAdem Bonastarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·CLE
Mar 7 at ATL
last game
Mar 8 vs BOS
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 9, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right oblique; strainOut
PHIJohni Broome · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut
PHITyrese Maxey · right finger; sprainOut
PHIVJ Edgecombe · lumbar; contusionOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEJarrett Allen · right knee; tendonitisOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEOlivier Sarr · g league - two-wayOut
CLETyrese Proctor · right quadricep; strainOut
CLEDean Wade · right ankle; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 63+ games
PHI·CLE
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
115.8
points / game
118.8
116.1
points allowed / game
114.8
34−29
season record
39−25
17−16
home record
21−12
17−13
away record
18−13
L1
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
6−4
46.0
FG%
47.7
35.1
3P%
36.2
43.2
rebounds / game
44.4
24.6
assists / game
28.3
13.8
turnovers / game
14.3
49.0
points in paint / game
50.8

Rating Trend

PHI · CLE · 125 days
Philadelphia 76ersCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 7−3
Jan 16at PHICLE 117 − 115
Jan 14at PHICLE 133 − 107
Nov 5, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 121
Jan 24, 2025at PHIPHI 132 − 129
Dec 21, 2024at CLECLE 126 − 99
Nov 13, 2024at PHICLE 114 − 106
Mar 29, 2024at CLECLE 117 − 114
Feb 23, 2024at PHIPHI 104 − 97
Feb 12, 2024at CLEPHI 123 − 121
Nov 21, 2023at PHICLE 122 − 119

PHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 7at ATL116 − 125L
Mar 4vs UTAH106 − 102W
Mar 3vs SA91 − 131L
Mar 1at BOS98 − 114L
Feb 26vs MIA124 − 117W
Feb 24at IND135 − 114W
Feb 22at MIN135 − 108W
Feb 21at NO111 − 126L
Feb 19vs ATL107 − 117L
Feb 11vs NY89 − 138L

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Mar 8vs BOS98 − 109L
Mar 3vs DET113 − 109W
Mar 1at BKN106 − 102W
Feb 27at DET119 − 122L
Feb 25at MIL116 − 118L
Feb 24vs NY109 − 94W
Feb 22at OKC113 − 121L
Feb 20at CHA118 − 113W
Feb 19vs BKN112 − 84W
Feb 11vs WSH138 − 113W