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Celtics at Cavaliers

NBA · Sunday, Mar 8 · 12:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final BOS 109 – CLE 98
← NBA / Mar 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS35213023109
CLE2610332998
Team box
BOS·CLE
37-84
field goals
35-86
15-38
3-pointers
13-45
20-22
free throws
15-21
49
rebounds
42
25
assists
23
12
turnovers
9
32
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE333075
Evan MobleyCLE312481
Jaylen BrownBOS382398
Jayson TatumBOS272032
James HardenCLE3819410
Payton PritchardBOS351837

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +26
BOS +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 8 · BOS 26lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 53%, CLE 47% · Updated Mar 8

Expected margin
BOS by 1.7
Expected score
BOS 112.8 – 111.2 CLE
Expected total
224.0
CelticsThe matchupCavaliers
−111Our fair odds+111
112.8Expected points111.2
+0.86Power rating+0.59
114.5Points / game119.1
107.0Allowed / game114.9
46.7FG%47.8
36.43P%36.3
46.4Rebounds / game44.4
42−21Season record39−24
8−2Last 107−3
John Tonje · Nikola VucevicOutJarrett Allen · Max Strus
Olivier Sarr · Tyrese Proctor

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · CLE chance
Our model fair52.5%47.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−11153%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers+11147%————
SpreadBOS by 1.7
BOSBoston Celtics−1.7our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers+1.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.0
Over224.0our total————
Under224.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 1.7 expected
Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%
← BOS wins byCLE wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more44%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more30%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.0 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.568%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.529%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
FJayson Tatumstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·CLE
Mar 6 vs DAL
last game
Mar 3 vs DET
1 day
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 7, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
BOSNikola Vucevic · right ring finger; fractureOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEJarrett Allen · right knee; tendonitisOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEOlivier Sarr · g league - two-wayOut
CLETyrese Proctor · right quadricep; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 63+ games
BOS·CLE
+0.86
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
114.5
points / game
119.1
107.0
points allowed / game
114.9
42−21
season record
39−24
21−10
home record
21−11
21−11
away record
18−13
W1
streak
W2
8−2
last 10
7−3
46.7
FG%
47.8
36.4
3P%
36.3
46.4
rebounds / game
44.4
24.5
assists / game
28.4
12.2
turnovers / game
14.4
44.2
points in paint / game
51.0

Rating Trend

BOS · CLE · 124 days
Boston CelticsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 3−7
Nov 30, 2025at CLEBOS 117 − 115
Oct 29, 2025at BOSBOS 125 − 105
Feb 28, 2025at BOSCLE 123 − 116
Feb 4, 2025at CLEBOS 112 − 105
Dec 1, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 111
Nov 19, 2024at BOSBOS 120 − 117
May 15, 2024at BOSBOS 113 − 98post
May 13, 2024at CLEBOS 109 − 102post
May 11, 2024at CLEBOS 106 − 93post
May 9, 2024at BOSCLE 118 − 94post

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Mar 6vs DAL120 − 100W
Mar 4vs CHA89 − 118L
Mar 2at MIL108 − 81W
Mar 1vs PHI114 − 98W
Feb 27vs BKN148 − 111W
Feb 25at DEN84 − 103L
Feb 24at PHX97 − 81W
Feb 22at LAL111 − 89W
Feb 19at GS121 − 110W
Feb 11vs CHI124 − 105W

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Mar 3vs DET113 − 109W
Mar 1at BKN106 − 102W
Feb 27at DET119 − 122L
Feb 25at MIL116 − 118L
Feb 24vs NY109 − 94W
Feb 22at OKC113 − 121L
Feb 20at CHA118 − 113W
Feb 19vs BKN112 − 84W
Feb 11vs WSH138 − 113W
Feb 9at DEN119 − 117W