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Celtics at Suns

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 24 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final BOS 97 – PHX 81
← NBA / Feb 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS2129301797
PHX2620112481
Team box
BOS·PHX
38-95
field goals
29-79
13-47
3-pointers
12-36
8-9
free throws
11-13
61
rebounds
34
24
assists
18
11
turnovers
8
38
points in paint
20
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Derrick WhiteBOS342288
Sam HauserBOS291634
Collin GillespiePHX271533
Neemias QuetaBOS2714133
Grayson AllenPHX241431
Jalen GreenPHX261341

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +28
BOS +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 11 · BOS 28lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 64%, PHX 36% · Updated Feb 24

Expected margin
BOS by 6.0
Expected score
BOS 112.5 – 106.5 PHX
Expected total
219.0
CelticsThe matchupSuns
−176Our fair odds+176
112.5Expected points106.5
+0.80Power rating+0.05
115.3Points / game112.6
108.0Allowed / game111.6
46.9FG%45.6
36.43P%35.8
45.7Rebounds / game43.4
37−19Season record33−25
8−2Last 104−6
Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum
Max ShulgaOutCole Anthony · Devin Booker
Dillon Brooks · Haywood Highsmith
Jordan Goodwin

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · PHX chance
Our model fair63.8%36.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−17664%————
PHXPhoenix Suns+17636%————
SpreadBOS by 6.0
BOSBoston Celtics−6our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+6our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.0
Over219.0our total————
Under219.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 6.0 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byPHX wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more57%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more41%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.0 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.568%
Total over 219.548%
Total over 229.529%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GRon Harper Jr.started
GBaylor Scheiermanstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Phoenix Suns
GCollin Gillespiestarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·PHX
Feb 22 at LAL
last game
Feb 22 vs POR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 24, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJaylen Brown · right knee; contusionOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSAmari Williams · g league - on assignmentDoubtful
Phoenix Suns
PHXCole Anthony · not with teamOut
PHXDevin Booker · right hip; strainOut
PHXDillon Brooks · left hand; fractureOut
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXJordan Goodwin · left calf; strainOut
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee & ankle; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 56+ games
BOS·PHX
+0.80
rating (0 = average)
+0.05
115.3
points / game
112.6
108.0
points allowed / game
111.6
37−19
season record
33−25
18−9
home record
19−11
19−10
away record
14−14
W3
streak
L1
8−2
last 10
4−6
46.9
FG%
45.6
36.4
3P%
35.8
45.7
rebounds / game
43.4
24.2
assists / game
24.7
12.1
turnovers / game
15.0
44.7
points in paint / game
44.1

Rating Trend

BOS · PHX · 112 days
Boston CelticsPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHX 2−6
Apr 4, 2025at BOSBOS 123 − 103
Mar 26, 2025at PHXBOS 132 − 102
Mar 14, 2024at BOSBOS 127 − 112
Mar 9, 2024at PHXBOS 117 − 107
Feb 3, 2023at BOSPHX 106 − 94
Dec 7, 2022at PHXBOS 125 − 98
Dec 31, 2021at BOSBOS 123 − 108
Dec 10, 2021at PHXPHX 111 − 90

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Feb 22at LAL111 − 89W
Feb 19at GS121 − 110W
Feb 11vs CHI124 − 105W
Feb 8vs NY89 − 111L
Feb 6vs MIA98 − 96W
Feb 4at HOU114 − 93W
Feb 3at DAL110 − 100W
Feb 1vs MIL107 − 79W
Jan 30vs SAC112 − 93W
Jan 28vs ATL106 − 117L

PHX · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Feb 22vs POR77 − 92L
Feb 21vs ORL113 − 110W
Feb 19at SA94 − 121L
Feb 11vs OKC109 − 136L
Feb 10vs DAL120 − 111W
Feb 7vs PHI103 − 109L
Feb 5vs GS97 − 101L
Feb 3at POR130 − 125W
Feb 1vs LAC93 − 117L
Jan 30vs CLE126 − 113W