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Cavaliers at Nets

NBA · Sunday, Mar 1 · 2:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final CLE 106 – BKN 102
← NBA / Mar 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE29172832106
BKN24282327102
Team box
CLE·BKN
34-70
field goals
38-75
13-27
3-pointers
11-32
25-37
free throws
15-20
38
rebounds
32
25
assists
27
17
turnovers
17
40
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN302651
Danny WolfBKN272395
James HardenCLE362298
Jarrett AllenCLE322061
Evan MobleyCLE2717132
Nolan TraoreBKN301712

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +11
CLE +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 7 · CLE 11lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 78%, BKN 22% · Updated Mar 1

Expected margin
CLE by 11.2
Expected score
CLE 118.2 – 107.1 BKN
Expected total
225.3
CavaliersThe matchupNets
−346Our fair odds+346
118.2Expected points107.1
+0.59Power rating−0.85
119.4Points / game107.0
115.2Allowed / game115.6
47.8FG%44.5
36.13P%34.4
44.6Rebounds / game40.2
37−24Season record15−44
7−3Last 102−8
Dean Wade · Donovan Mitchell
Max Strus · Riley MinixOutChaney Johnson · Drake Powell
E.J. Liddell · Egor Demin
Nic Claxton

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · BKN chance
Our model fair77.6%22.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−34678%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+34622%————
SpreadCLE by 11.2
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.2our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+11.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.3
Over225.3our total————
Under225.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.2 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%
← CLE wins byBKN wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more71%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more55%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.3 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CDay'Ron Sharpestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·BKN
Feb 27 at DET
last game
Feb 27 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 1, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDean Wade · right ankle; sprainOut
CLEDonovan Mitchell · right groin; strainOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLERiley Minix · g league - two-wayOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNDrake Powell · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNNic Claxton · right thumb; sprainOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 59+ games
CLE·BKN
+0.59
rating (0 = average)
−0.85
119.4
points / game
107.0
115.2
points allowed / game
115.6
37−24
season record
15−44
20−11
home record
8−21
17−13
away record
7−23
L2
streak
L7
7−3
last 10
2−8
47.8
FG%
44.5
36.1
3P%
34.4
44.6
rebounds / game
40.2
28.5
assists / game
25.5
14.4
turnovers / game
15.5
51.3
points in paint / game
43.7

Rating Trend

CLE · BKN · 117 days
Cleveland CavaliersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 1−9
Feb 19at CLECLE 112 − 84
Oct 24, 2025at BKNCLE 131 − 124
Mar 11, 2025at CLECLE 109 − 104
Feb 20, 2025at BKNCLE 110 − 97
Dec 16, 2024at BKNCLE 130 − 101
Nov 9, 2024at CLECLE 105 − 100
Mar 10, 2024at CLEBKN 120 − 101
Feb 8, 2024at BKNCLE 118 − 95
Jan 11, 2024at CLECLE 111 − 102
Oct 25, 2023at BKNCLE 114 − 113

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak L2
Feb 27at DET119 − 122L
Feb 25at MIL116 − 118L
Feb 24vs NY109 − 94W
Feb 22at OKC113 − 121L
Feb 20at CHA118 − 113W
Feb 19vs BKN112 − 84W
Feb 11vs WSH138 − 113W
Feb 9at DEN119 − 117W
Feb 7at SAC132 − 126W
Feb 4at LAC124 − 91W

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Feb 27at BOS111 − 148L
Feb 26vs SA110 − 126L
Feb 24vs DAL114 − 123L
Feb 22at ATL104 − 115L
Feb 20at OKC86 − 105L
Feb 19at CLE84 − 112L
Feb 11vs IND110 − 115L
Feb 9vs CHI123 − 115W
Feb 7vs WSH127 − 113W
Feb 5at ORL98 − 118L