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Nets at Thunder

NBA · Friday, Feb 20 · 7:00 PM CT · Paycom Center · Final BKN 86 – OKC 105
← NBA / Feb 20

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN2310341986
OKC21292728105
Team box
BKN·OKC
29-79
field goals
35-83
7-41
3-pointers
13-35
21-26
free throws
22-25
40
rebounds
47
19
assists
22
21
turnovers
19
38
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN382295
Jared McCainOKC232140
Nolan TraoreBKN271713
Chet HolmgrenOKC261572
Day'Ron SharpeBKN271282
Isaiah JoeOKC221171

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
OKC +20
BKN +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: OKC 20 · BKN 6lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 11%, OKC 89% · Updated Feb 20

Expected margin
OKC by 19.9
Expected score
OKC 118.0 – 98.1 BKN
Expected total
216.2
NetsThe matchupThunder
+823Our fair odds−823
98.1Expected points118.0
−0.81Power rating+1.13
107.2Points / game119.7
114.9Allowed / game108.0
44.4FG%48.9
34.43P%36.2
40.6Rebounds / game43.7
15−39Season record42−14
3−7Last 105−5
Ben Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Josh Minott
Nic ClaxtonOutAjay Mitchell · Jalen Williams
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Thomas Sorber

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · OKC chance
Our model fair10.8%89.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+82311%————
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−82389%————
SpreadOKC by 19.9
BKNBrooklyn Nets+19.9our margin————
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−19.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 216.2
Over216.2our total————
Under216.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Oklahoma City Thunder by 19.9 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 1 point: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 2 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 3 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 4 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 5 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 6 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 7 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 8 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 9 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 10 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 11 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 12 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 13 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 14 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 15 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 16 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 17 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 18 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 19 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 20 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 21 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 22 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 23 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 24 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 25 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 26 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 27 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 28 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 29 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 30 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 31 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 32 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 33 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 34 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 35 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 36 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 37 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 38 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 39 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 40 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 41 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 42 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 43 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 44 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 45 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 46 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 47 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 48 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 49 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 50 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 51 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 52 points: <1%
← BKN wins byOKC wins by →
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 5 or more89%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 10 or more80%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 15 or more66%
Within 5 points either way10%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

216.2 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 206.569%
Total over 216.549%
Total over 226.529%
Total from 207 to 22639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GEgor Deminstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CDay'Ron Sharpestarted
Oklahoma City Thunder
GLuguentz Dortstarted
GAaron Wigginsstarted
GCason Wallacestarted
CIsaiah Hartensteinstarted
CChet Holmgrenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·OKC
Feb 19 at CLE
last game
Feb 12 vs MIL
0 days
days of rest
7 days
yes
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
0
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 20, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNJosh Minott · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNNic Claxton · right ankle; sprainOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
BKNZiaire Williams · personal reasonsOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKCAjay Mitchell · abdominal; strain/ left ankle sprainOut
OKCJalen Williams · right hamstring; strainOut
OKCShai Gilgeous-Alexander · abdominal; strainOut
OKCThomas Sorber · right acl; surgical recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 54+ games
BKN·OKC
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
+1.13
107.2
points / game
119.7
114.9
points allowed / game
108.0
15−39
season record
42−14
8−19
home record
22−7
7−20
away record
20−7
L2
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
5−5
44.4
FG%
48.9
34.4
3P%
36.2
40.6
rebounds / game
43.7
25.4
assists / game
25.5
15.6
turnovers / game
12.5
43.2
points in paint / game
50.6

Rating Trend

BKN · OKC · 108 days
Brooklyn NetsOklahoma City Thunder
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · OKC 6−2
Feb 26, 2025at BKNOKC 129 − 121
Jan 19, 2025at OKCOKC 127 − 101
Jan 5, 2024at BKNBKN 124 − 115
Dec 31, 2023at OKCOKC 124 − 108
Mar 14, 2023at OKCOKC 121 − 107
Jan 15, 2023at BKNOKC 112 − 102
Jan 13, 2022at BKNOKC 130 − 109
Nov 14, 2021at OKCBKN 120 − 96

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Feb 19at CLE84 − 112L
Feb 11vs IND110 − 115L
Feb 9vs CHI123 − 115W
Feb 7vs WSH127 − 113W
Feb 5at ORL98 − 118L
Feb 3vs LAL109 − 125L
Feb 1at DET77 − 130L
Jan 30at UTAH109 − 99W
Jan 29at DEN103 − 107L
Jan 27at PHX102 − 106L

OKC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Feb 12vs MIL93 − 110L
Feb 11at PHX136 − 109W
Feb 9at LAL119 − 110W
Feb 7vs HOU106 − 112L
Feb 4at SA106 − 116L
Feb 3vs ORL128 − 92W
Feb 1at DEN121 − 111W
Jan 29at MIN111 − 123L
Jan 27vs NO104 − 95W
Jan 25vs TOR101 − 103L