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Mavericks at Nets

NBA · Tuesday, Feb 24 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final DAL 123 – BKN 114
← NBA / Feb 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL36402324123
BKN29352723114
Team box
DAL·BKN
48-82
field goals
41-80
8-23
3-pointers
13-32
19-24
free throws
19-27
44
rebounds
28
26
assists
29
16
turnovers
11
66
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN332603
Marvin Bagley IIIDAL202251
Noah ClowneyBKN332250
Naji MarshallDAL362157
Brandon WilliamsDAL2919110
Terance MannBKN191713

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +15
DAL +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 4 · DAL 15lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 59%, BKN 41% · Updated Feb 24

Expected margin
DAL by 2.4
Expected score
DAL 112.2 – 109.8 BKN
Expected total
221.9
MavericksThe matchupNets
−144Our fair odds+144
112.2Expected points109.8
−0.30Power rating−0.85
114.2Points / game106.8
117.7Allowed / game114.7
47.2FG%44.3
33.83P%34.1
44.7Rebounds / game40.5
20−36Season record15−41
1−9Last 103−7
Cooper Flagg · Dereck Lively II
Kyrie IrvingOutBen Saraf · Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell · Josh Minott
Tyson Etienne

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · BKN chance
Our model fair59.1%40.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks−14459%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+14441%————
SpreadDAL by 2.4
DALDallas Mavericks−2.4our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+2.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.9
Over221.9our total————
Under221.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Mavericks by 2.4 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%
← DAL wins byBKN wins by →
Dallas Mavericks wins by 5 or more46%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 10 or more32%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.531%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FDaniel Gaffordstarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GEgor Deminstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·BKN
Feb 22 at IND
last game
Feb 22 at ATL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
6th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Feb 24, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALCooper Flagg · left midfoot; sprainOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALMoussa Cisse · g league - two-wayDoubtful
DALRyan Nembhard · g league - two-wayDoubtful
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; injury managementQuestionable
DALCaleb Martin · left ankle; sprainProbable
DALMiles Kelly · g league - two-wayProbable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNChaney Johnson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNJosh Minott · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 56+ games
DAL·BKN
−0.30
rating (0 = average)
−0.85
114.2
points / game
106.8
117.7
points allowed / game
114.7
20−36
season record
15−41
14−16
home record
8−19
6−20
away record
7−22
W1
streak
L4
1−9
last 10
3−7
47.2
FG%
44.3
33.8
3P%
34.1
44.7
rebounds / game
40.5
25.1
assists / game
25.4
14.6
turnovers / game
15.6
53.9
points in paint / game
43.2

Rating Trend

DAL · BKN · 112 days
Dallas MavericksBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 2−8
Jan 12at DALDAL 113 − 105
Dec 12, 2025at DALDAL 119 − 111
Mar 31, 2025at DALBKN 113 − 109
Mar 24, 2025at BKNDAL 120 − 101
Feb 6, 2024at BKNDAL 119 − 107
Oct 27, 2023at DALDAL 125 − 120
Nov 7, 2022at DALDAL 96 − 94
Oct 27, 2022at BKNDAL 129 − 125
Mar 16, 2022at BKNDAL 113 − 111
Dec 7, 2021at DALBKN 102 − 99

DAL · Last 10

1−9 · streak W1
Feb 22at IND134 − 130W
Feb 20at MIN111 − 122L
Feb 12at LAL104 − 124L
Feb 10at PHX111 − 120L
Feb 7at SA125 − 138L
Feb 5vs SA123 − 135L
Feb 3vs BOS100 − 110L
Jan 31at HOU107 − 111L
Jan 29vs CHA121 − 123L
Jan 28vs MIN105 − 118L

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Feb 22at ATL104 − 115L
Feb 20at OKC86 − 105L
Feb 19at CLE84 − 112L
Feb 11vs IND110 − 115L
Feb 9vs CHI123 − 115W
Feb 7vs WSH127 − 113W
Feb 5at ORL98 − 118L
Feb 3vs LAL109 − 125L
Feb 1at DET77 − 130L
Jan 30at UTAH109 − 99W