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Trail Blazers at 76ers

NBA · Sunday, Mar 15 · 5:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final POR 103 – PHI 109
← NBA / Mar 15

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR27272227103
PHI30232927109
Team box
POR·PHI
36-92
field goals
44-97
17-53
3-pointers
7-25
14-21
free throws
14-15
49
rebounds
51
26
assists
17
19
turnovers
14
36
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Quentin GrimesPHI403132
Deni AvdijaPOR382569
Justin EdwardsPHI252122
Jerami GrantPOR322021
VJ EdgecombePHI3518123
Donovan ClinganPOR2811155

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +14
POR +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 14 · POR 9lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 46%, PHI 54% · Updated Mar 15

Expected margin
PHI by 2.0
Expected score
PHI 116.5 – 114.5 POR
Expected total
231.0
Trail BlazersThe matchup76ers
+116Our fair odds−116
114.5Expected points116.5
−0.17Power rating−0.19
115.3Points / game115.7
117.7Allowed / game116.2
45.2FG%46.1
33.83P%34.4
45.8Rebounds / game43.0
32−35Season record36−31
5−5Last 105−5
Caleb Love · Chris Youngblood
Damian Lillard · Hansen Yang
Jayson KentOut (5 each)Dalen Terry · Jabari Walker
Joel Embiid · Johni Broome
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · PHI chance
Our model fair46.3%53.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+11646%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−11654%————
SpreadPHI by 2.0
PORPortland Trail Blazers+2our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−2our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.0
Over231.0our total————
Under231.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 2.0 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%
← POR wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more46%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more31%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.0 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.548%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FJustin Edwardsstarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAdem Bonastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·PHI
Mar 13 vs UTAH
last game
Mar 14 vs BKN
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 15, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORCaleb Love · g league - two-wayOut
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORHansen Yang · g league - on assignmentOut
PORJayson Kent · g league - two-wayOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left fibula; stress reactionOut
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDalen Terry · left shoulder; impingementOut
PHIJabari Walker · n/a; illnessOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right oblique; strainOut
PHIJohni Broome · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left elbow; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut
PHITyrese Maxey · right finger; tendon strainOut
PHIAdem Bona · back; injury managementQuestionable
PHIAndre Drummond · back; spasmsQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 67+ games
POR·PHI
−0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
115.3
points / game
115.7
117.7
points allowed / game
116.2
32−35
season record
36−31
18−16
home record
19−16
14−19
away record
17−15
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
5−5
45.2
FG%
46.1
33.8
3P%
34.4
45.8
rebounds / game
43.0
24.9
assists / game
24.5
17.3
turnovers / game
13.9
48.3
points in paint / game
49.6

Rating Trend

POR · PHI · 131 days
Portland Trail BlazersPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · PHI 5−4
Feb 9at PORPOR 135 − 118
Mar 3, 2025at PHIPOR 119 − 102
Dec 30, 2024at PORPHI 125 − 103
Jan 29, 2024at PORPOR 130 − 104
Oct 29, 2023at PHIPHI 126 − 98
Mar 10, 2023at PHIPHI 120 − 119
Jan 19, 2023at PORPHI 105 − 95
Nov 20, 2021at PORPOR 118 − 111
Nov 1, 2021at PHIPHI 113 − 103

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Mar 13vs UTAH124 − 114W
Mar 10vs CHA101 − 103L
Mar 8vs IND131 − 111W
Mar 6at HOU99 − 106L
Mar 4at MEM122 − 114W
Mar 1at ATL101 − 135L
Feb 28at CHA93 − 109L
Feb 26at CHI121 − 112W
Feb 24vs MIN121 − 124L
Feb 22at PHX92 − 77W

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Mar 14vs BKN104 − 97W
Mar 12at DET109 − 131L
Mar 10vs MEM139 − 129W
Mar 9at CLE101 − 115L
Mar 7at ATL116 − 125L
Mar 4vs UTAH106 − 102W
Mar 3vs SA91 − 131L
Mar 1at BOS98 − 114L
Feb 26vs MIA124 − 117W
Feb 24at IND135 − 114W