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Jazz at Trail Blazers

NBA · Friday, Mar 13 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final UTAH 114 – POR 124
← NBA / Mar 13

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH38203125114
POR28382929124
Team box
UTAH·POR
42-92
field goals
46-89
13-30
3-pointers
17-46
17-22
free throws
15-16
36
rebounds
49
28
assists
34
18
turnovers
24
54
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brice SensabaughUTAH293131
Jrue HolidayPOR322558
Scoot HendersonPOR302553
Donovan ClinganPOR3521152
Cody WilliamsUTAH361973
Deni AvdijaPOR321768

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +18
UTAH +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 13 · UTAH 18lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 29%, POR 71% · Updated Mar 13

Expected margin
POR by 7.2
Expected score
POR 124.1 – 116.9 UTAH
Expected total
241.0
JazzThe matchupTrail Blazers
+242Our fair odds−242
116.9Expected points124.1
−0.89Power rating−0.17
117.4Points / game115.1
125.0Allowed / game117.8
46.6FG%45.1
34.83P%33.8
44.0Rebounds / game45.7
20−46Season record31−35
2−8Last 104−6
Blake Hinson · Jaren Jackson Jr.
John Konchar · Jusuf Nurkic
Keyonte GeorgeOutDamian Lillard · Shaedon Sharpe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · POR chance
Our model fair29.2%70.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+24229%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−24271%————
SpreadPOR by 7.2
UTAHUtah Jazz+7.2our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−7.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.0
Over241.0our total————
Under241.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 7.2 expected
Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more59%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more44%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.0 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.567%
Total over 241.547%
Total over 251.530%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GIsaiah Collierstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·POR
Mar 11 vs NY
last game
Mar 10 vs CHA
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 13, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHBlake Hinson · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injuryOut
UTAHJohn Konchar · left calf; sorenessOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · recovery left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left fibula; stress reactionOut
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayQuestionable
PORJayson Kent · g league - two-wayQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 66+ games
UTAH·POR
−0.89
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
117.4
points / game
115.1
125.0
points allowed / game
117.8
20−46
season record
31−35
12−22
home record
17−16
8−24
away record
14−19
L1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
4−6
46.6
FG%
45.1
34.8
3P%
33.8
44.0
rebounds / game
45.7
29.5
assists / game
24.7
15.6
turnovers / game
17.2
51.3
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

UTAH · POR · 129 days
Utah JazzPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 6−4
Feb 12at UTAHPOR 135 − 119
Jan 5at PORPOR 137 − 117
Oct 29, 2025at UTAHPOR 136 − 134
Apr 9, 2025at UTAHUTAH 133 − 126
Feb 24, 2025at UTAHPOR 114 − 112
Dec 26, 2024at PORPOR 122 − 120
Dec 6, 2024at PORUTAH 141 − 99
Dec 14, 2023at PORUTAH 122 − 114
Dec 2, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 113
Nov 22, 2023at PORPOR 121 − 105

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Mar 11vs NY117 − 134L
Mar 9vs GS119 − 116W
Mar 7at MIL99 − 113L
Mar 5at WSH122 − 112W
Mar 4at PHI102 − 106L
Mar 2vs DEN125 − 128L
Feb 28vs NO105 − 115L
Feb 26vs NO118 − 129L
Feb 23at HOU105 − 125L
Feb 20at MEM114 − 123L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 10vs CHA101 − 103L
Mar 8vs IND131 − 111W
Mar 6at HOU99 − 106L
Mar 4at MEM122 − 114W
Mar 1at ATL101 − 135L
Feb 28at CHA93 − 109L
Feb 26at CHI121 − 112W
Feb 24vs MIN121 − 124L
Feb 22at PHX92 − 77W
Feb 20vs DEN103 − 157L