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Hornets at Trail Blazers

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 10 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final CHA 103 – POR 101
← NBA / Mar 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA20263225103
POR34212719101
Team box
CHA·POR
34-88
field goals
35-83
14-38
3-pointers
16-42
21-25
free throws
15-18
52
rebounds
42
21
assists
23
17
turnovers
18
36
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jerami GrantPOR352433
Brandon MillerCHA372394
Deni AvdijaPOR342247
Scoot HendersonPOR191711
Kon KnueppelCHA361542
LaMelo BallCHA221444

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +19
CHA +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 19 · CHA 5lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 47%, POR 53% · Updated Mar 10

Expected margin
CHA by 0.7
Expected score
CHA 113.8 – 113.2 POR
Expected total
227.0
HornetsThe matchupTrail Blazers
+111Our fair odds−111
113.8Expected points113.2
−0.09Power rating−0.17
115.9Points / game115.3
112.5Allowed / game118.0
46.0FG%45.2
37.83P%33.7
46.2Rebounds / game45.8
32−33Season record31−34
6−4Last 105−5
Antonio Reeves · Coby White
Liam McNeeley · PJ Hall
Tidjane SalaunOut (5 each)Chris Youngblood · Damian Lillard
Hansen Yang · Jayson Kent
Shaedon Sharpe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · POR chance
Our model fair47.4%52.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+11147%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−11153%————
SpreadCHA by 0.7
CHACharlotte Hornets−0.7our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.0
Over227.0our total————
Under227.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 0.7 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%
← CHA wins byPOR wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more42%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more28%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.0 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.548%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·POR
Mar 8 at PHX
last game
Mar 8 vs IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 10, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHACoby White · left calf; injuryOut
CHALiam McNeeley · left ankle; sprainOut
CHAPJ Hall · g league - two-wayOut
CHATidjane Salaun · left calf; strainOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORHansen Yang · g league - on assignmentOut
PORJayson Kent · management g league - two-wayOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left fibula; stress reactionOut
PORCaleb Love · g league - two-wayQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 65+ games
CHA·POR
−0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
115.9
points / game
115.3
112.5
points allowed / game
118.0
32−33
season record
31−34
14−17
home record
17−15
18−16
away record
14−19
L2
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
46.0
FG%
45.2
37.8
3P%
33.7
46.2
rebounds / game
45.8
26.6
assists / game
24.7
15.6
turnovers / game
17.2
45.8
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

CHA · POR · 126 days
Charlotte HornetsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · POR 6−3
Feb 28at CHACHA 109 − 93
Feb 22, 2025at PORPOR 141 − 88
Jan 24, 2025at CHAPOR 102 − 97
Apr 3, 2024at CHAPOR 89 − 86
Feb 25, 2024at PORCHA 93 − 80
Dec 26, 2022at PORPOR 124 − 113
Nov 9, 2022at CHAPOR 105 − 95
Dec 17, 2021at PORPOR 125 − 116
Oct 31, 2021at CHACHA 125 − 113

CHA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Mar 8at PHX99 − 111L
Mar 6vs MIA120 − 128L
Mar 4at BOS118 − 89W
Mar 3vs DAL117 − 90W
Feb 28vs POR109 − 93W
Feb 26at IND133 − 109W
Feb 24at CHI131 − 99W
Feb 22at WSH129 − 112W
Feb 20vs CLE113 − 118L
Feb 19vs HOU101 − 105L

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Mar 8vs IND131 − 111W
Mar 6at HOU99 − 106L
Mar 4at MEM122 − 114W
Mar 1at ATL101 − 135L
Feb 28at CHA93 − 109L
Feb 26at CHI121 − 112W
Feb 24vs MIN121 − 124L
Feb 22at PHX92 − 77W
Feb 20vs DEN103 − 157L
Feb 12at UTAH135 − 119W