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Cavaliers at Bulls

NBA · Thursday, Mar 19 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final CLE 115 – CHI 110
← NBA / Mar 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE32293222115
CHI22232837110
Team box
CLE·CHI
40-91
field goals
42-94
14-41
3-pointers
15-44
21-31
free throws
11-17
54
rebounds
47
26
assists
27
16
turnovers
16
46
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenCLE373679
Evan MobleyCLE3626143
Tre JonesCHI322043
Jaylon TysonCLE2318113
Rob DillinghamCHI211741
Nick RichardsCHI301680

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +29
CLE +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 9 · CLE 29lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 67%, CHI 33% · Updated Mar 19

Expected margin
CLE by 7.3
Expected score
CLE 123.8 – 116.5 CHI
Expected total
240.3
CavaliersThe matchupBulls
−200Our fair odds+200
123.8Expected points116.5
+0.57Power rating−0.33
119.1Points / game115.9
114.9Allowed / game120.3
47.9FG%46.9
36.43P%36.1
44.2Rebounds / game45.0
42−27Season record28−41
5−5Last 104−6
Craig Porter Jr. · Jarrett Allen
Olivier Sarr · Tyrese ProctorOutAnfernee Simons · Isaac Okoro
Jaden Ivey · Mac McClung
Noa Essengue

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · CHI chance
Our model fair66.6%33.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−20067%————
CHIChicago Bulls+20033%————
SpreadCLE by 7.3
CLECleveland Cavaliers−7.3our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+7.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.3
Over240.3our total————
Under240.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 7.3 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%
← CLE wins byCHI wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more61%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more44%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.3 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.567%
Total over 240.548%
Total over 250.530%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Chicago Bulls
GCollin Sextonstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNick Richardsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·CHI
Mar 17 at MIL
last game
Mar 18 vs TOR
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 19, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLECraig Porter Jr. · left groin; strainOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right knee; tendonitisOut
CLEOlivier Sarr · g league - two-wayOut
CLETyrese Proctor · right quadricep; strainOut
CLEDonovan Mitchell · left eye; contusionQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · right patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIYuki Kawamura · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strain; injury managementQuestionable
CHICollin Sexton · left fibular head; contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 69+ games
CLE·CHI
+0.57
rating (0 = average)
−0.33
119.1
points / game
115.9
114.9
points allowed / game
120.3
42−27
season record
28−41
22−13
home record
17−19
20−14
away record
11−22
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
47.9
FG%
46.9
36.4
3P%
36.1
44.2
rebounds / game
45.0
28.3
assists / game
28.7
14.1
turnovers / game
15.0
51.0
points in paint / game
52.1

Rating Trend

CLE · CHI · 135 days
Cleveland CavaliersChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 3−7
Dec 19, 2025at CLECHI 136 − 125
Dec 17, 2025at CHICHI 127 − 111
Nov 8, 2025at CLECLE 128 − 122
Apr 8, 2025at CLECLE 135 − 113
Mar 4, 2025at CHICLE 139 − 117
Nov 15, 2024at CLECLE 144 − 126
Nov 11, 2024at CHICLE 119 − 113
Feb 28, 2024at CHICHI 132 − 123
Feb 14, 2024at CLECLE 108 − 105
Jan 15, 2024at CLECLE 109 − 91

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Mar 17at MIL123 − 116W
Mar 15vs DAL120 − 130L
Mar 13at DAL138 − 105W
Mar 11at ORL122 − 128L
Mar 9vs PHI115 − 101W
Mar 8vs BOS98 − 109L
Mar 3vs DET113 − 109W
Mar 1at BKN106 − 102W
Feb 27at DET119 − 122L
Feb 25at MIL116 − 118L

CHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 18vs TOR109 − 139L
Mar 16vs MEM132 − 107W
Mar 13at LAC108 − 119L
Mar 12at LAL130 − 142L
Mar 10at GS130 − 124W
Mar 8at SAC110 − 126L
Mar 5at PHX105 − 103W
Mar 3vs OKC108 − 116L
Mar 1vs MIL120 − 97W
Feb 26vs POR112 − 121L