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Grizzlies at Bulls

NBA · Monday, Mar 16 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final MEM 107 – CHI 132
← NBA / Mar 16

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM27302921107
CHI29323635132
Team box
MEM·CHI
39-86
field goals
48-93
14-39
3-pointers
18-48
15-19
free throws
18-21
37
rebounds
47
30
assists
30
18
turnovers
17
42
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Matas BuzelisCHI322971
Tre JonesCHI281755
Cedric CowardMEM241705
Josh GiddeyCHI34161513
Jaylen WellsMEM231631
Taylor HendricksMEM211630

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +26
MEM +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 26 · MEM 4lead changes: 22

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 49%, CHI 51% · Updated Mar 16

Expected margin
MEM by 0.7
Expected score
MEM 120.8 – 120.1 CHI
Expected total
240.9
GrizzliesThe matchupBulls
+105Our fair odds−105
120.8Expected points120.1
−0.23Power rating−0.36
115.7Points / game115.7
118.4Allowed / game120.2
46.1FG%46.8
35.53P%36.2
43.6Rebounds / game45.1
23−43Season record27−40
2−8Last 103−7
Brandon Clarke · Ja Morant
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · Santi Aldama
Scotty Pippen Jr.Out (5 each)Anfernee Simons · Isaac Okoro
Jaden Ivey · Mac McClung
Noa Essengue

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · CHI chance
Our model fair48.7%51.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+10549%————
CHIChicago Bulls−10551%————
SpreadMEM by 0.7
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−0.7our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.9
Over240.9our total————
Under240.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 0.7 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%
← MEM wins byCHI wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more42%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more28%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.9 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.568%
Total over 240.549%
Total over 250.531%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GWalter Clayton Jr.started
GRayan Rupertstarted
FOlivier-Maxence Prosperstarted
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
FLeonard Millerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·CHI
Mar 13 at DET
last game
Mar 13 at LAC
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 16, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right calf; strainOut
MEMJa Morant · left elbow; ucl sprainOut
MEMKentavious Caldwell-Pope · right 5th finger; surgery recoveryOut
MEMSanti Aldama · right knee; injury managementOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · right great toe; sesamoiditisOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; surgery recoveryOut
MEMGG Jackson · right foot; sorenessDoubtful
MEMTy Jerome · left shoulder; contusionDoubtful
MEMWalter Clayton Jr. · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · right patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHICollin Sexton · left fibular head; contusionQuestionable
CHILachlan Olbrich · right calf; painProbable
CHINick Richards · low back; tightnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 66+ games
MEM·CHI
−0.23
rating (0 = average)
−0.36
115.7
points / game
115.7
118.4
points allowed / game
120.2
23−43
season record
27−40
12−20
home record
16−18
11−23
away record
11−22
L7
streak
L2
2−8
last 10
3−7
46.1
FG%
46.8
35.5
3P%
36.2
43.6
rebounds / game
45.1
28.5
assists / game
28.8
15.2
turnovers / game
14.9
49.5
points in paint / game
51.9

Rating Trend

MEM · CHI · 132 days
Memphis GrizzliesChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 4−4
Nov 23, 2024at CHIMEM 142 − 131
Oct 28, 2024at MEMCHI 126 − 123
Feb 8, 2024at MEMCHI 118 − 110
Jan 20, 2024at CHICHI 125 − 96
Apr 2, 2023at CHICHI 128 − 107
Feb 7, 2023at MEMMEM 104 − 89
Feb 26, 2022at CHIMEM 116 − 110
Jan 17, 2022at MEMMEM 119 − 106

MEM · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Mar 13at DET110 − 126L
Mar 12vs DAL112 − 120L
Mar 10at PHI129 − 139L
Mar 9at BKN115 − 126L
Mar 7vs LAC120 − 123L
Mar 4vs POR114 − 122L
Mar 3at MIN110 − 117L
Mar 1at IND125 − 106W
Feb 27at DAL124 − 105W
Feb 25vs GS112 − 133L

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Mar 13at LAC108 − 119L
Mar 12at LAL130 − 142L
Mar 10at GS130 − 124W
Mar 8at SAC110 − 126L
Mar 5at PHX105 − 103W
Mar 3vs OKC108 − 116L
Mar 1vs MIL120 − 97W
Feb 26vs POR112 − 121L
Feb 24vs CHA99 − 131L
Feb 22vs NY99 − 105L