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76ers at Kings

NBA · Thursday, Mar 19 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final PHI 139 – SAC 118
← NBA / Mar 19

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI45263632139
SAC33292729118
Team box
PHI·SAC
51-102
field goals
43-89
17-36
3-pointers
12-32
20-24
free throws
20-29
49
rebounds
41
32
assists
26
9
turnovers
14
54
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
VJ EdgecombePHI3938711
Justin EdwardsPHI333204
Maxime RaynaudSAC363042
Quentin GrimesPHI322757
Daeqwon PlowdenSAC312021
Andre DrummondPHI2413114

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +31
PHI +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 3 · PHI 31lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 58%, SAC 42% · Updated Mar 19

Expected margin
PHI by 2.7
Expected score
PHI 117.3 – 114.6 SAC
Expected total
231.9
76ersThe matchupKings
−141Our fair odds+141
117.3Expected points114.6
−0.17Power rating−0.72
115.3Points / game110.7
116.1Allowed / game120.7
46.0FG%46.6
34.23P%33.6
43.1Rebounds / game42.1
37−32Season record18−52
4−6Last 105−5
Joel Embiid · Johni Broome
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Paul George
Tyrese MaxeyOut (5 each)De'Andre Hunter · Devin Carter
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah Stevens

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · SAC chance
Our model fair58.5%41.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−14158%————
SACSacramento Kings+14142%————
SpreadPHI by 2.7
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−2.7our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+2.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.9
Over231.9our total————
Under231.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 2.7 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%
← PHI wins bySAC wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more47%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more33%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.9 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.531%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FJustin Edwardsstarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAdem Bonastarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDaeqwon Plowdenstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·SAC
Mar 17 at DEN
last game
Mar 17 vs SA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 19, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right oblique; strainOut
PHIJohni Broome · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left elbow; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · league suspensionOut
PHITyrese Maxey · right finger; tendon strainOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDevin Carter · right calf; contusionOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; ucl tear repairOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACNique Clifford · left hamstring; sorenessOut
SACPatrick Baldwin Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 69+ games
PHI·SAC
−0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.72
115.3
points / game
110.7
116.1
points allowed / game
120.7
37−32
season record
18−52
20−16
home record
12−24
17−16
away record
6−28
L1
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
5−5
46.0
FG%
46.6
34.2
3P%
33.6
43.1
rebounds / game
42.1
24.4
assists / game
25.5
13.8
turnovers / game
14.2
49.8
points in paint / game
50.1

Rating Trend

PHI · SAC · 135 days
Philadelphia 76ersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · SAC 2−7
Jan 29at PHIPHI 113 − 111
Jan 29, 2025at PHIPHI 117 − 104
Jan 1, 2025at SACSAC 113 − 107
Mar 25, 2024at SACSAC 108 − 96
Jan 12, 2024at PHIPHI 112 − 93
Jan 21, 2023at SACPHI 129 − 127
Dec 13, 2022at PHIPHI 123 − 103
Jan 29, 2022at PHIPHI 103 − 101
Nov 22, 2021at SACPHI 102 − 94

PHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 17at DEN96 − 124L
Mar 15vs POR109 − 103W
Mar 14vs BKN104 − 97W
Mar 12at DET109 − 131L
Mar 10vs MEM139 − 129W
Mar 9at CLE101 − 115L
Mar 7at ATL116 − 125L
Mar 4vs UTAH106 − 102W
Mar 3vs SA91 − 131L
Mar 1at BOS98 − 114L

SAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Mar 17vs SA104 − 132L
Mar 15vs UTAH116 − 111W
Mar 14at LAC118 − 109W
Mar 11vs CHA109 − 117L
Mar 10vs IND114 − 109W
Mar 8vs CHI126 − 110W
Mar 5vs NO123 − 133L
Mar 3vs PHX103 − 114L
Mar 1at LAL104 − 128L
Feb 26at DAL130 − 121W