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Kings at Clippers

NBA · Saturday, Mar 14 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final SAC 118 – LAC 109
← NBA / Mar 14

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC33352426118
LAC31232134109
Team box
SAC·LAC
48-82
field goals
39-84
12-27
3-pointers
9-27
10-16
free throws
22-29
48
rebounds
35
29
assists
19
21
turnovers
13
52
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC263160
DeMar DeRozanSAC372707
Precious AchiuwaSAC3725131
Darius GarlandLAC302537
Bennedict MathurinLAC352461
Maxime RaynaudSAC302352

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +20
SAC +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 3 · SAC 20lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 24%, LAC 76% · Updated Mar 14

Expected margin
LAC by 11.0
Expected score
LAC 118.2 – 107.2 SAC
Expected total
225.3
KingsThe matchupClippers
+314Our fair odds−314
107.2Expected points118.2
−0.75Power rating+0.23
110.6Points / game113.5
120.9Allowed / game112.5
46.4FG%48.4
33.43P%36.0
41.9Rebounds / game40.9
16−51Season record34−32
4−6Last 107−3
De'Andre Hunter · Devin Carter
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah StevensOutBradley Beal · Nicolas Batum
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · LAC chance
Our model fair24.1%75.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+31424%————
LACLA Clippers−31476%————
SpreadLAC by 11.0
SACSacramento Kings+11our margin————
LACLA Clippers−11our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.3
Over225.3our total————
Under225.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 11.0 expected
Sacramento Kings by 53 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 3%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 2%LA Clippers by 25 points: 2%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: 1%LA Clippers by 38 points: 1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 52 points: <1%LA Clippers by 53 points: <1%
← SAC wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more69%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more54%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more39%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

225.3 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·LAC
Mar 11 vs CHA
last game
Mar 13 vs CHI
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 14, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDevin Carter · right calf; sorenessOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; sorenessOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACMalik Monk · right ankle; sorenessOut
SACPatrick Baldwin Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACNicolas Batum · restOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 66+ games
SAC·LAC
−0.75
rating (0 = average)
+0.23
110.6
points / game
113.5
120.9
points allowed / game
112.5
16−51
season record
34−32
11−23
home record
19−13
5−28
away record
15−19
L1
streak
W4
4−6
last 10
7−3
46.4
FG%
48.4
33.4
3P%
36.0
41.9
rebounds / game
40.9
25.3
assists / game
23.7
14.1
turnovers / game
14.3
50.1
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

SAC · LAC · 130 days
Sacramento KingsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 8−2
Feb 6at SACLAC 114 − 111
Dec 30, 2025at LACLAC 131 − 90
Apr 11, 2025at SACLAC 101 − 100
Mar 9, 2025at LACLAC 111 − 110
Nov 22, 2024at LACLAC 104 − 88
Nov 8, 2024at SACLAC 107 − 98
Apr 2, 2024at SACSAC 109 − 95
Feb 25, 2024at LACSAC 123 − 107
Dec 12, 2023at LACLAC 119 − 99
Nov 29, 2023at SACLAC 131 − 117

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 11vs CHA109 − 117L
Mar 10vs IND114 − 109W
Mar 8vs CHI126 − 110W
Mar 5vs NO123 − 133L
Mar 3vs PHX103 − 114L
Mar 1at LAL104 − 128L
Feb 26at DAL130 − 121W
Feb 25at HOU97 − 128L
Feb 23at MEM123 − 114W
Feb 21at SA122 − 139L

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Mar 13vs CHI119 − 108W
Mar 11vs MIN153 − 128W
Mar 9vs NY126 − 118W
Mar 7at MEM123 − 120W
Mar 6at SA112 − 116L
Mar 4vs IND130 − 107W
Mar 2at GS114 − 101W
Mar 1vs NO137 − 117W
Feb 26vs MIN88 − 94L
Feb 22vs ORL109 − 111L