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Knicks at Hornets

NBA · Thursday, Mar 26 · 6:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final NY 103 – CHA 114
← NBA / Mar 26

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY36192127103
CHA38272920114
Team box
NY·CHA
42-82
field goals
41-78
11-29
3-pointers
16-41
8-9
free throws
16-20
24
rebounds
43
26
assists
28
10
turnovers
17
48
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kon KnueppelCHA3726118
Jalen BrunsonNY4026213
LaMelo BallCHA362256
Brandon MillerCHA332183
Miles BridgesCHA321753
Coby WhiteCHA231732

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +21
NY +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 21 · NY 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 59%, CHA 41% · Updated Mar 26

Expected margin
NY by 3.0
Expected score
NY 112.5 – 109.5 CHA
Expected total
221.9
KnicksThe matchupHornets
−146Our fair odds+146
112.5Expected points109.5
+0.61Power rating+0.01
117.3Points / game116.4
110.5Allowed / game111.8
47.5FG%46.2
37.43P%38.2
46.4Rebounds / game46.2
49−25Season record38−34
8−2Last 107−3
Dillon Jones · Kevin McCullar Jr.
Landry Shamet · Miles McBride
Trey Jemison IIIOutAntonio Reeves · PJ Hall
Tidjane Salaun · Tosan Evbuomwan

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · CHA chance
Our model fair59.3%40.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−14659%————
CHACharlotte Hornets+14641%————
SpreadNY by 3.0
NYNew York Knicks−3our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+3our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.9
Over221.9our total————
Under221.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 3.0 expected
New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%
← NY wins byCHA wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more48%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more33%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.531%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·CHA
Mar 24 vs NO
last game
Mar 24 vs SAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 26, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYLandry Shamet · right knee; tibial plateau contusionOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle surgeryOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHAPJ Hall · g league - two-wayOut
CHATidjane Salaun · left calf; strainOut
CHATosan Evbuomwan · g league - two-wayOut
CHALiam McNeeley · illness; illnessQuestionable
CHAPat Connaughton · illness; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 72+ games
NY·CHA
+0.61
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
117.3
points / game
116.4
110.5
points allowed / game
111.8
49−25
season record
38−34
28−9
home record
18−17
21−16
away record
20−17
W7
streak
W4
8−2
last 10
7−3
47.5
FG%
46.2
37.4
3P%
38.2
46.4
rebounds / game
46.2
27.5
assists / game
26.5
13.7
turnovers / game
15.6
47.7
points in paint / game
45.6

Rating Trend

NY · CHA · 142 days
New York KnicksCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 2−8
Dec 3, 2025at NYNY 119 − 104
Nov 26, 2025at CHANY 129 − 101
Mar 20, 2025at CHACHA 115 − 98
Dec 5, 2024at NYNY 125 − 101
Nov 29, 2024at CHANY 99 − 98
Jan 29, 2024at CHANY 113 − 92
Nov 28, 2023at NYNY 115 − 91
Nov 18, 2023at CHANY 122 − 108
Nov 12, 2023at NYNY 129 − 107
Mar 7, 2023at NYCHA 112 − 105

NY · Last 10

8−2 · streak W7
Mar 24vs NO121 − 116W
Mar 22vs WSH145 − 113W
Mar 20at BKN93 − 92W
Mar 17vs IND136 − 110W
Mar 15vs GS110 − 107W
Mar 13at IND101 − 92W
Mar 11at UTAH134 − 117W
Mar 9at LAC118 − 126L
Mar 8at LAL97 − 110L
Mar 6at DEN142 − 103W

CHA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Mar 24vs SAC134 − 90W
Mar 21vs MEM124 − 101W
Mar 19vs ORL130 − 111W
Mar 17vs MIA136 − 106W
Mar 14at SA102 − 115L
Mar 11at SAC117 − 109W
Mar 10at POR103 − 101W
Mar 8at PHX99 − 111L
Mar 6vs MIA120 − 128L
Mar 4at BOS118 − 89W