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Bulls at Spurs

NBA · Monday, Mar 30 · 7:00 PM CT · Frost Bank Center · Final CHI 114 – SA 129
← NBA / Mar 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI28193532114
SA29353827129
Team box
CHI·SA
43-93
field goals
49-96
13-44
3-pointers
14-34
15-21
free throws
17-24
35
rebounds
55
26
assists
31
11
turnovers
12
56
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Victor WembanyamaSA3141164
Tre JonesCHI262323
Stephon CastleSA3521810
Leonard MillerCHI252164
Collin SextonCHI272033
Guerschon YabuseleCHI301552

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SA +29
CHI +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SA 29 · CHI 4lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 23%, SA 77% · Updated Mar 30

Expected margin
SA by 9.9
Expected score
SA 123.6 – 113.7 CHI
Expected total
237.3
BullsThe matchupSpurs
+334Our fair odds−334
113.7Expected points123.6
−0.35Power rating+0.66
116.4Points / game119.3
121.0Allowed / game111.4
46.9FG%48.3
36.13P%35.7
45.2Rebounds / game46.8
29−45Season record56−19
3−7Last 109−1
Anfernee Simons · Jaden Ivey
Jalen Smith · Mac McClung
Noa EssengueOutDavid Jones Garcia · Emanuel Miller
Harrison Ingram

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · SA chance
Our model fair23.0%77.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+33423%————
SASan Antonio Spurs−33477%————
SpreadSA by 9.9
CHIChicago Bulls+9.9our margin————
SASan Antonio Spurs−9.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.3
Over237.3our total————
Under237.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 9.9 expected
Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 46 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 47 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 48 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 49 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 50 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 51 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 52 points: <1%
← CHI wins bySA wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more66%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more51%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.3 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.548%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GDevin Vassellstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FJulian Champagniestarted
FVictor Wembanyamastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·SA
Mar 28 at MEM
last game
Mar 28 at MIL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 30, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIJaden Ivey · left patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainOut
CHIMac McClung · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHIGuerschon Yabusele · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
CHINick Richards · right elbow; sprainQuestionable
San Antonio Spurs
SADavid Jones Garcia · g league - two-wayOut
SAEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
SAHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 74+ games
CHI·SA
−0.35
rating (0 = average)
+0.66
116.4
points / game
119.3
121.0
points allowed / game
111.4
29−45
season record
56−19
18−20
home record
28−7
11−25
away record
28−12
L3
streak
W8
3−7
last 10
9−1
46.9
FG%
48.3
36.1
3P%
35.7
45.2
rebounds / game
46.8
28.7
assists / game
27.9
15.1
turnovers / game
13.5
52.2
points in paint / game
51.3

Rating Trend

CHI · SA · 146 days
Chicago BullsSan Antonio Spurs
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 3−7
Nov 10, 2025at CHISA 121 − 117
Jan 6, 2025at CHICHI 114 − 110
Dec 5, 2024at SACHI 139 − 124
Jan 13, 2024at SACHI 122 − 116
Dec 21, 2023at CHICHI 114 − 95
Dec 8, 2023at SACHI 121 − 112
Feb 6, 2023at CHICHI 128 − 104
Oct 28, 2022at SASA 129 − 124
Feb 14, 2022at CHICHI 120 − 109
Jan 28, 2022at SASA 131 − 122

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Mar 28at MEM124 − 125L
Mar 27at OKC113 − 131L
Mar 25at PHI137 − 157L
Mar 23vs HOU132 − 124W
Mar 19vs CLE110 − 115L
Mar 18vs TOR109 − 139L
Mar 16vs MEM132 − 107W
Mar 13at LAC108 − 119L
Mar 12at LAL130 − 142L
Mar 10at GS130 − 124W

SA · Last 10

9−1 · streak W8
Mar 28at MIL127 − 95W
Mar 25at MEM123 − 98W
Mar 23at MIA136 − 111W
Mar 21vs IND134 − 119W
Mar 19vs PHX101 − 100W
Mar 17at SAC132 − 104W
Mar 16at LAC119 − 115W
Mar 14vs CHA115 − 102W
Mar 12vs DEN131 − 136L
Mar 10vs BOS125 − 116W