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Knicks at Thunder

NBA · Sunday, Mar 29 · 6:30 PM CT · Paycom Center · Final NY 100 – OKC 111
← NBA / Mar 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY23292622100
OKC26273127111
Team box
NY·OKC
36-82
field goals
35-75
15-35
3-pointers
10-28
13-17
free throws
31-38
41
rebounds
39
19
assists
21
19
turnovers
15
30
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY373255
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC373034
Jalen WilliamsOKC292212
Chet HolmgrenOKC331692
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3415182
Josh HartNY341563

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
OKC +13
NY +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: OKC 13 · NY 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 30%, OKC 70% · Updated Mar 29

Expected margin
OKC by 6.0
Expected score
OKC 113.9 – 107.9 NY
Expected total
221.8
KnicksThe matchupThunder
+235Our fair odds−235
107.9Expected points113.9
+0.61Power rating+1.26
117.1Points / game118.8
110.5Allowed / game107.7
47.5FG%48.3
37.43P%36.0
46.1Rebounds / game44.2
49−26Season record58−16
7−3Last 109−1
Ariel Hukporti · Dillon Jones
Landry ShametOutThomas Sorber

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · OKC chance
Our model fair29.8%70.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+23530%————
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−23570%————
SpreadOKC by 6.0
NYNew York Knicks+6our margin————
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−6our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.8
Over221.8our total————
Under221.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Oklahoma City Thunder by 6.0 expected
New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: <1%New York Knicks by 25 points: <1%New York Knicks by 24 points: <1%New York Knicks by 23 points: <1%New York Knicks by 22 points: <1%New York Knicks by 21 points: <1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 1%New York Knicks by 13 points: 1%New York Knicks by 12 points: 1%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 1 point: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 2 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 3 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 4 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 5 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 6 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 7 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 8 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 9 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 10 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 11 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 12 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 13 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 14 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 15 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 16 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 17 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 18 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 19 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 20 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 21 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 22 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 23 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 24 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 25 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 26 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 27 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 28 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 29 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 30 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 31 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 32 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 33 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 34 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 35 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 36 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 37 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 38 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 39 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 40 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 41 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 42 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 43 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 44 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 45 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 46 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 47 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 48 points: <1%
← NY wins byOKC wins by →
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 5 or more56%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 10 or more41%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.8 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Oklahoma City Thunder
GShai Gilgeous-Alexanderstarted
GLuguentz Dortstarted
GJalen Williamsstarted
CIsaiah Hartensteinstarted
CChet Holmgrenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·OKC
Mar 26 at CHA
last game
Mar 27 vs CHI
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 29, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYAriel Hukporti · g league - on assignmentOut
NYDillon Jones · g league - two-wayOut
NYLandry Shamet · right knee; tibial plateau contusionOut
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle injuryQuestionable
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKCThomas Sorber · right acl; surgical recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 74+ games
NY·OKC
+0.61
rating (0 = average)
+1.26
117.1
points / game
118.8
110.5
points allowed / game
107.7
49−26
season record
58−16
28−9
home record
30−7
21−17
away record
28−9
L1
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
9−1
47.5
FG%
48.3
37.4
3P%
36.0
46.1
rebounds / game
44.2
27.5
assists / game
25.5
13.7
turnovers / game
12.5
47.7
points in paint / game
49.4

Rating Trend

NY · OKC · 145 days
New York KnicksOklahoma City Thunder
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · OKC 8−1
Mar 4at NYOKC 103 − 100
Jan 10, 2025at NYOKC 126 − 101
Jan 3, 2025at OKCOKC 117 − 107
Mar 31, 2024at NYOKC 113 − 112
Dec 27, 2023at OKCOKC 129 − 120
Nov 21, 2022at OKCNY 129 − 119
Nov 13, 2022at NYOKC 145 − 135
Feb 14, 2022at NYOKC 127 − 123
Dec 31, 2021at OKCOKC 95 − 80

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Mar 26at CHA103 − 114L
Mar 24vs NO121 − 116W
Mar 22vs WSH145 − 113W
Mar 20at BKN93 − 92W
Mar 17vs IND136 − 110W
Mar 15vs GS110 − 107W
Mar 13at IND101 − 92W
Mar 11at UTAH134 − 117W
Mar 9at LAC118 − 126L
Mar 8at LAL97 − 110L

OKC · Last 10

9−1 · streak W1
Mar 27vs CHI131 − 113W
Mar 25at BOS109 − 119L
Mar 23at PHI123 − 103W
Mar 21at WSH132 − 111W
Mar 18at BKN121 − 92W
Mar 17at ORL113 − 108W
Mar 15vs MIN116 − 103W
Mar 12vs BOS104 − 102W
Mar 9vs DEN129 − 126W
Mar 7vs GS104 − 97W