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Raptors at Knicks

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final TOR 95 – NY 112
← NBA / Apr 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR2115283195
NY22292833112
Team box
TOR·NY
36-73
field goals
41-75
10-25
3-pointers
8-31
13-20
free throws
22-27
32
rebounds
37
24
assists
24
18
turnovers
12
40
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY312932
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3022105
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR251783
Brandon IngramTOR351646
Scottie BarnesTOR341545
Ja'Kobe WalterTOR291521

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +19
TOR +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 19 · TOR 1lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 32%, NY 68% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
NY by 6.4
Expected score
NY 114.0 – 107.6 TOR
Expected total
221.6
RaptorsThe matchupKnicks
+217Our fair odds−217
107.6Expected points114.0
+0.06Power rating+0.62
114.6Points / game116.9
111.9Allowed / game110.3
48.0FG%47.7
35.43P%37.4
42.2Rebounds / game46.0
45−35Season record53−28
6−4Last 107−3
Chucky Hepburn · Collin Murray-Boyles
Immanuel Quickley · Trayce Jackson-Davis
Tyreke KeyOutMiles McBride · Mitchell Robinson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · NY chance
Our model fair31.6%68.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+21732%————
NYNew York Knicks−21768%————
SpreadNY by 6.4
TORToronto Raptors+6.4our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−6.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.6
Over221.6our total————
Under221.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 6.4 expected
Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%
← TOR wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more57%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more42%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.6 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GJamal Sheadstarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·NY
Apr 9 vs MIA
last game
Apr 9 vs BOS
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · neck; sprainOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · right foot; injury management - plantar fasciitisOut
TORTrayce Jackson-Davis · illness; illnessOut
TORTyreke Key · not with teamOut
New York Knicks
NYMiles McBride · pelvic; core muscle injury managementOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYTyler Kolek · right oblique; right oblique strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
TOR·NY
+0.06
rating (0 = average)
+0.62
114.6
points / game
116.9
111.9
points allowed / game
110.3
45−35
season record
53−28
23−17
home record
30−9
22−18
away record
23−19
W2
streak
W4
6−4
last 10
7−3
48.0
FG%
47.7
35.4
3P%
37.4
42.2
rebounds / game
46.0
29.5
assists / game
27.5
13.7
turnovers / game
13.7
53.1
points in paint / game
47.8

Rating Trend

TOR · NY · 157 days
Toronto RaptorsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 10−0
Mar 3at TORNY 111 − 95
Jan 28at TORNY 119 − 92
Dec 9, 2025at TORNY 117 − 101
Nov 30, 2025at NYNY 116 − 94
Feb 4, 2025at TORNY 121 − 115
Jan 8, 2025at NYNY 112 − 98
Dec 23, 2024at NYNY 139 − 125
Dec 9, 2024at TORNY 113 − 108
Mar 27, 2024at TORNY 145 − 101
Jan 20, 2024at NYNY 126 − 100

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Apr 9vs MIA128 − 114W
Apr 7vs MIA121 − 95W
Apr 5at BOS101 − 115L
Apr 3at MEM128 − 96W
Apr 1vs SAC115 − 123L
Mar 31at DET116 − 127L
Mar 29vs ORL139 − 87W
Mar 27vs NO119 − 106W
Mar 25at LAC94 − 119L
Mar 23at UTAH143 − 127W

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Apr 9vs BOS112 − 106W
Apr 6at ATL108 − 105W
Apr 3vs CHI136 − 96W
Apr 1at MEM130 − 119W
Mar 31at HOU94 − 111L
Mar 29at OKC100 − 111L
Mar 26at CHA103 − 114L
Mar 24vs NO121 − 116W
Mar 22vs WSH145 − 113W
Mar 20at BKN93 − 92W