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Raptors at Clippers

NBA · Wednesday, Mar 25 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final TOR 94 – LAC 119
← NBA / Mar 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR2223272294
LAC36233228119
Team box
TOR·LAC
40-96
field goals
42-82
10-29
3-pointers
16-35
4-11
free throws
19-24
46
rebounds
49
28
assists
24
11
turnovers
11
56
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC302762
Darius GarlandLAC302446
Bennedict MathurinLAC272346
Brandon IngramTOR361864
Brook LopezLAC251450
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR151370

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +29
TOR +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 29 · TOR 2lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 40%, LAC 60% · Updated Mar 25

Expected margin
LAC by 3.6
Expected score
LAC 112.7 – 109.1 TOR
Expected total
221.8
RaptorsThe matchupClippers
+148Our fair odds−148
109.1Expected points112.7
+0.03Power rating+0.22
114.2Points / game113.8
112.3Allowed / game112.8
47.7FG%48.6
34.93P%36.2
42.2Rebounds / game40.5
40−31Season record36−36
5−5Last 106−4
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky HepburnOut (3 each)Bradley Beal · Jordan Miller
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · LAC chance
Our model fair40.3%59.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+14840%————
LACLA Clippers−14860%————
SpreadLAC by 3.6
TORToronto Raptors+3.6our margin————
LACLA Clippers−3.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.8
Over221.8our total————
Under221.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 3.6 expected
Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%
← TOR wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more50%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more35%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.8 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GJamal Sheadstarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted
LA Clippers
GDarius Garlandstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·LAC
Mar 23 at UTAH
last game
Mar 23 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 25, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · right foot; plantar fasciitisDoubtful
TORBrandon Ingram · right foot; heel - inflammationQuestionable
TORJakob Poeltl · back; lower - strain - injury managementQuestionable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACJordan Miller · back; sorenessOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left ankle; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 71+ games
TOR·LAC
+0.03
rating (0 = average)
+0.22
114.2
points / game
113.8
112.3
points allowed / game
112.8
40−31
season record
36−36
19−16
home record
20−15
21−15
away record
16−21
W1
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
6−4
47.7
FG%
48.6
34.9
3P%
36.2
42.2
rebounds / game
40.5
29.1
assists / game
23.8
13.8
turnovers / game
14.3
51.9
points in paint / game
49.4

Rating Trend

TOR · LAC · 141 days
Toronto RaptorsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAC 6−3
Jan 16at TORLAC 121 − 117
Feb 2, 2025at TORTOR 115 − 108
Nov 9, 2024at LACLAC 105 − 103
Jan 26, 2024at TORLAC 127 − 107
Jan 10, 2024at LACLAC 126 − 120
Mar 8, 2023at LACLAC 108 − 100
Dec 27, 2022at TORLAC 124 − 113
Mar 16, 2022at LACTOR 103 − 100
Dec 31, 2021at TORTOR 116 − 108

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Mar 23at UTAH143 − 127W
Mar 22at PHX98 − 120L
Mar 20at DEN115 − 121L
Mar 18at CHI139 − 109W
Mar 15vs DET119 − 108W
Mar 13vs PHX122 − 115W
Mar 11at NO111 − 122L
Mar 10at HOU99 − 113L
Mar 8vs DAL122 − 92W
Mar 5at MIN107 − 115L

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W
Mar 21at DAL138 − 131W
Mar 19at NO99 − 105L
Mar 18at NO109 − 124L
Mar 16vs SA115 − 119L
Mar 14vs SAC109 − 118L
Mar 13vs CHI119 − 108W
Mar 11vs MIN153 − 128W
Mar 9vs NY126 − 118W
Mar 7at MEM123 − 120W