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Raptors at Suns

NBA · Sunday, Mar 22 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final TOR 98 – PHX 120
← NBA / Mar 22

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR2028212998
PHX34323123120
Team box
TOR·PHX
37-75
field goals
46-89
9-28
3-pointers
18-40
15-22
free throws
10-10
30
rebounds
43
28
assists
24
20
turnovers
19
48
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX312536
Jalen GreenPHX302037
Scottie BarnesTOR261756
Collin GillespiePHX221643
Jordan GoodwinPHX251470
RJ BarrettTOR231333

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +31
TOR +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 31 · TOR 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 43%, PHX 57% · Updated Mar 22

Expected margin
PHX by 2.0
Expected score
PHX 111.5 – 109.5 TOR
Expected total
220.9
RaptorsThe matchupSuns
+132Our fair odds−132
109.5Expected points111.5
+0.01Power rating+0.10
114.0Points / game112.1
112.0Allowed / game111.2
47.5FG%45.5
34.73P%36.0
42.5Rebounds / game43.0
39−30Season record39−32
5−5Last 104−6
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky HepburnOutAmir Coffey · Dillon Brooks
Grayson Allen · Haywood Highsmith
Mark Williams

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · PHX chance
Our model fair43.2%56.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+13243%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−13257%————
SpreadPHX by 2.0
TORToronto Raptors+2our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−2our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.9
Over220.9our total————
Under220.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 2.0 expected
Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%
← TOR wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more46%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more31%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.531%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GJordan Goodwinstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FOso Ighodarostarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·PHX
Mar 20 at DEN
last game
Mar 21 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 22, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · left thumb; sprainQuestionable
Phoenix Suns
PHXAmir Coffey · left ankle; sprainOut
PHXDillon Brooks · left hand; fractureOut
PHXGrayson Allen · left knee; injury managementOut
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXMark Williams · left foot third metatarsal; stress reactionOut
PHXRoyce O'Neale · left knee; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 69+ games
TOR·PHX
+0.01
rating (0 = average)
+0.10
114.0
points / game
112.1
112.0
points allowed / game
111.2
39−30
season record
39−32
19−16
home record
22−14
20−14
away record
17−18
L1
streak
L5
5−5
last 10
4−6
47.5
FG%
45.5
34.7
3P%
36.0
42.5
rebounds / game
43.0
28.8
assists / game
24.7
13.7
turnovers / game
14.5
51.8
points in paint / game
42.6

Rating Trend

TOR · PHX · 138 days
Toronto RaptorsPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · PHX 4−5
Mar 13at TORTOR 122 − 115
Mar 17, 2025at PHXPHX 129 − 89
Feb 23, 2025at TORTOR 127 − 109
Mar 7, 2024at PHXPHX 120 − 113
Nov 29, 2023at TORTOR 112 − 105
Jan 30, 2023at PHXPHX 114 − 106
Dec 30, 2022at TORTOR 113 − 104
Mar 11, 2022at PHXTOR 117 − 112
Jan 11, 2022at TORPHX 99 − 95

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Mar 20at DEN115 − 121L
Mar 18at CHI139 − 109W
Mar 15vs DET119 − 108W
Mar 13vs PHX122 − 115W
Mar 11at NO111 − 122L
Mar 10at HOU99 − 113L
Mar 8vs DAL122 − 92W
Mar 5at MIN107 − 115L
Mar 3vs NY95 − 111L
Feb 28at WSH134 − 125W

PHX · Last 10

4−6 · streak L5
Mar 21vs MIL105 − 108L
Mar 19at SA100 − 101L
Mar 17at MIN104 − 116L
Mar 16at BOS112 − 120L
Mar 13at TOR115 − 122L
Mar 12at IND123 − 108W
Mar 10at MIL129 − 114W
Mar 8vs CHA111 − 99W
Mar 6vs NO118 − 116W
Mar 5vs CHI103 − 105L