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Suns at Raptors

NBA · Friday, Mar 13 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final PHX 115 – TOR 122
← NBA / Mar 13

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX28343023115
TOR30292736122
Team box
PHX·TOR
38-80
field goals
46-86
18-42
3-pointers
14-27
21-30
free throws
16-20
34
rebounds
44
20
assists
25
12
turnovers
12
32
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR393673
Jalen GreenPHX353454
Devin BookerPHX343130
RJ BarrettTOR352265
Immanuel QuickleyTOR381741
Grayson AllenPHX291526

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +11
PHX +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 8 · PHX 11lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 47%, TOR 53% · Updated Mar 13

Expected margin
TOR by 1.8
Expected score
TOR 111.1 – 109.3 PHX
Expected total
220.4
SunsThe matchupRaptors
+112Our fair odds−112
109.3Expected points111.1
+0.07Power rating+0.01
112.5Points / game113.4
111.0Allowed / game111.9
45.6FG%47.2
36.03P%34.4
43.3Rebounds / game42.4
39−27Season record36−29
7−3Last 104−6
Dillon Brooks · Mark WilliamsOutChucky Hepburn

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · TOR chance
Our model fair47.2%52.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+11247%————
TORToronto Raptors−11253%————
SpreadTOR by 1.8
PHXPhoenix Suns+1.8our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−1.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.4
Over220.4our total————
Under220.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 1.8 expected
Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%
← PHX wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more45%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more31%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

220.4 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.569%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FOso Ighodarostarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·TOR
Mar 12 at IND
last game
Mar 11 at NO
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 13, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXDillon Brooks · left hand; fractureOut
PHXMark Williams · left foot third metatarsal; stress reactionOut
PHXJordan Goodwin · left calf; injury managementQuestionable
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · left thumb; sprainDoubtful
TORScottie Barnes · illness; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 65+ games
PHX·TOR
+0.07
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
112.5
points / game
113.4
111.0
points allowed / game
111.9
39−27
season record
36−29
22−13
home record
17−16
17−14
away record
19−13
W4
streak
L2
7−3
last 10
4−6
45.6
FG%
47.2
36.0
3P%
34.4
43.3
rebounds / game
42.4
24.7
assists / game
28.8
14.7
turnovers / game
13.7
43.1
points in paint / game
51.5

Rating Trend

PHX · TOR · 129 days
Phoenix SunsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · TOR 4−4
Mar 17, 2025at PHXPHX 129 − 89
Feb 23, 2025at TORTOR 127 − 109
Mar 7, 2024at PHXPHX 120 − 113
Nov 29, 2023at TORTOR 112 − 105
Jan 30, 2023at PHXPHX 114 − 106
Dec 30, 2022at TORTOR 113 − 104
Mar 11, 2022at PHXTOR 117 − 112
Jan 11, 2022at TORPHX 99 − 95

PHX · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Mar 12at IND123 − 108W
Mar 10at MIL129 − 114W
Mar 8vs CHA111 − 99W
Mar 6vs NO118 − 116W
Mar 5vs CHI103 − 105L
Mar 3at SAC114 − 103W
Feb 26vs LAL113 − 110W
Feb 24vs BOS81 − 97L
Feb 22vs POR77 − 92L
Feb 21vs ORL113 − 110W

TOR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Mar 11at NO111 − 122L
Mar 10at HOU99 − 113L
Mar 8vs DAL122 − 92W
Mar 5at MIN107 − 115L
Mar 3vs NY95 − 111L
Feb 28at WSH134 − 125W
Feb 25vs SA107 − 110L
Feb 24vs OKC107 − 116L
Feb 22at MIL122 − 94W
Feb 19at CHI110 − 101W