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Kings at Raptors

NBA · Wednesday, Apr 1 · 7:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final SAC 123 – TOR 115
← NBA / Apr 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC27342933123
TOR22342534115
Team box
SAC·TOR
42-92
field goals
42-77
12-33
3-pointers
9-23
27-29
free throws
22-32
48
rebounds
32
24
assists
33
14
turnovers
11
54
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Precious AchiuwaSAC3828191
DeMar DeRozanSAC352814
RJ BarrettTOR362056
Collin Murray-BoylesTOR182042
Malik MonkSAC291835
Jakob PoeltlTOR281851

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +12
SAC +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 8 · SAC 12lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 24%, TOR 76% · Updated Apr 1

Expected margin
TOR by 10.6
Expected score
TOR 119.0 – 108.4 SAC
Expected total
227.3
KingsThe matchupRaptors
+311Our fair odds−311
108.4Expected points119.0
−0.85Power rating+0.07
110.7Points / game114.3
121.1Allowed / game112.2
46.6FG%47.8
34.13P%35.0
42.0Rebounds / game42.2
19−57Season record42−33
3−7Last 106−4
DaQuan Jeffries · De'Andre Hunter
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah StevensOutBrandon Ingram · Chucky Hepburn
Immanuel Quickley · Jamison Battle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · TOR chance
Our model fair24.4%75.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+31124%————
TORToronto Raptors−31176%————
SpreadTOR by 10.6
SACSacramento Kings+10.6our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−10.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.3
Over227.3our total————
Under227.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 10.6 expected
Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 52 points: <1%
← SAC wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more68%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more53%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.3 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDevin Carterstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Toronto Raptors
GJamal Sheadstarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·TOR
Mar 29 at BKN
last game
Mar 31 at DET
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 1, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaQuan Jeffries · g league - on assignmentOut
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; ucl repairOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACPatrick Baldwin Jr. · surgery recovery g league - two-wayOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right toe; injury managementOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut
Toronto Raptors
TORBrandon Ingram · right foot; heel - inflammation - injury managementOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · right foot; plantar fasciitisOut
TORJamison Battle · illness; illnessOut
TORGarrett Temple · left shoulder; sorenessQuestionable
TORScottie Barnes · left shoulder; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 75+ games
SAC·TOR
−0.85
rating (0 = average)
+0.07
110.7
points / game
114.3
121.1
points allowed / game
112.2
19−57
season record
42−33
13−25
home record
21−16
6−32
away record
21−17
L4
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
6−4
46.6
FG%
47.8
34.1
3P%
35.0
42.0
rebounds / game
42.2
25.6
assists / game
29.4
14.2
turnovers / game
13.8
50.1
points in paint / game
52.6

Rating Trend

SAC · TOR · 148 days
Sacramento KingsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · TOR 5−4
Jan 21at SACTOR 122 − 109
Nov 6, 2024at SACSAC 122 − 107
Nov 2, 2024at TORTOR 131 − 128
Mar 20, 2024at TORSAC 123 − 89
Jan 5, 2024at SACSAC 135 − 130
Jan 25, 2023at SACTOR 113 − 95
Dec 14, 2022at TORSAC 124 − 123
Dec 13, 2021at TORTOR 124 − 101
Nov 19, 2021at SACTOR 108 − 89

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Mar 29at BKN99 − 116L
Mar 28at ATL113 − 123L
Mar 26at ORL117 − 121L
Mar 24at CHA90 − 134L
Mar 22vs BKN126 − 122W
Mar 19vs PHI118 − 139L
Mar 17vs SA104 − 132L
Mar 15vs UTAH116 − 111W
Mar 14at LAC118 − 109W
Mar 11vs CHA109 − 117L

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Mar 31at DET116 − 127L
Mar 29vs ORL139 − 87W
Mar 27vs NO119 − 106W
Mar 25at LAC94 − 119L
Mar 23at UTAH143 − 127W
Mar 22at PHX98 − 120L
Mar 20at DEN115 − 121L
Mar 18at CHI139 − 109W
Mar 15vs DET119 − 108W
Mar 13vs PHX122 − 115W