bayesRatings

Kings at Nets

NBA · Sunday, Mar 29 · 5:00 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final SAC 99 – BKN 116
← NBA / Mar 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC1827282699
BKN31371830116
Team box
SAC·BKN
36-84
field goals
42-85
10-32
3-pointers
17-41
17-25
free throws
15-20
43
rebounds
40
21
assists
30
15
turnovers
15
48
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin CarterSAC292085
Ochai AgbajiBKN251810
Nolan TraoreBKN301736
Nique CliffordSAC371772
Precious AchiuwaSAC341681
Drake PowellBKN281622

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +27
SAC +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 27 · SAC 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 52%, BKN 48% · Updated Mar 29

Expected margin
BKN by 0.6
Expected score
BKN 111.6 – 111.0 SAC
Expected total
222.6
KingsThe matchupNets
−107Our fair odds+107
111.0Expected points111.6
−0.76Power rating−1.05
110.9Points / game106.2
121.2Allowed / game115.7
46.7FG%44.4
34.13P%34.2
42.0Rebounds / game39.7
19−56Season record17−57
4−6Last 100−10
De'Andre Hunter · DeMar DeRozan
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah StevensOut (5 each)Danny Wolf · Day'Ron Sharpe
Egor Demin · Jalen Wilson
Josh Minott

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · BKN chance
Our model fair51.8%48.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings−10752%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10748%————
SpreadBKN by 0.6
SACSacramento Kings+0.6our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets−0.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.6
Over222.6our total————
Under222.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Brooklyn Nets by 0.6 expected
Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%
← SAC wins byBKN wins by →
Brooklyn Nets wins by 5 or more42%
Brooklyn Nets wins by 10 or more28%
Brooklyn Nets wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDaeqwon Plowdenstarted
GDevin Carterstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GDrake Powellstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·BKN
Mar 28 at ATL
last game
Mar 27 at LAL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 29, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDeMar DeRozan · right hamstring; sorenessOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; ucl repairOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACMalik Monk · right shoulder; contusionOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right toe; injury managementOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left thumb; surgeryOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNJalen Wilson · n/a; illnessOut
BKNJosh Minott · left hip; contusionOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 74+ games
SAC·BKN
−0.76
rating (0 = average)
−1.05
110.9
points / game
106.2
121.2
points allowed / game
115.7
19−56
season record
17−57
13−25
home record
9−26
6−31
away record
8−31
L3
streak
L10
4−6
last 10
0−10
46.7
FG%
44.4
34.1
3P%
34.2
42.0
rebounds / game
39.7
25.7
assists / game
25.2
14.2
turnovers / game
15.9
50.1
points in paint / game
43.9

Rating Trend

SAC · BKN · 145 days
Sacramento KingsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · BKN 2−7
Mar 22at SACSAC 126 − 122
Jan 27, 2025at BKNSAC 110 − 96
Nov 24, 2024at SACBKN 108 − 103
Apr 7, 2024at BKNSAC 107 − 77
Dec 11, 2023at SACSAC 131 − 118
Mar 16, 2023at BKNSAC 101 − 96
Nov 15, 2022at SACSAC 153 − 121
Feb 14, 2022at BKNBKN 109 − 85
Feb 2, 2022at SACSAC 112 − 101

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Mar 28at ATL113 − 123L
Mar 26at ORL117 − 121L
Mar 24at CHA90 − 134L
Mar 22vs BKN126 − 122W
Mar 19vs PHI118 − 139L
Mar 17vs SA104 − 132L
Mar 15vs UTAH116 − 111W
Mar 14at LAC118 − 109W
Mar 11vs CHA109 − 117L
Mar 10vs IND114 − 109W

BKN · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Mar 27at LAL99 − 116L
Mar 25at GS106 − 109L
Mar 23at POR99 − 134L
Mar 22at SAC122 − 126L
Mar 20vs NY92 − 93L
Mar 18vs OKC92 − 121L
Mar 16vs POR95 − 114L
Mar 14at PHI97 − 104L
Mar 12at ATL97 − 108L
Mar 10vs DET100 − 138L