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Nets at Warriors

NBA · Wednesday, Mar 25 · 9:00 PM CT · Chase Center · Final BKN 106 – GS 109
← NBA / Mar 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN30282820106
GS25252732109
Team box
BKN·GS
39-81
field goals
36-68
12-33
3-pointers
9-27
16-21
free throws
28-36
27
rebounds
43
24
assists
21
17
turnovers
26
44
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Gui SantosGS353131
Brandin PodziemskiGS352265
Ziaire WilliamsBKN241912
Kristaps PorzingisGS271752
Jalen WilsonBKN231532
De'Anthony MeltonGS281493

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GS +13
BKN +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GS 7 · BKN 13lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 21%, GS 79% · Updated Mar 25

Expected margin
GS by 12.1
Expected score
GS 114.8 – 102.8 BKN
Expected total
217.6
NetsThe matchupWarriors
+377Our fair odds−377
102.8Expected points114.8
−1.05Power rating+0.09
106.3Points / game115.1
115.8Allowed / game114.9
44.3FG%46.0
34.33P%35.4
39.9Rebounds / game42.6
17−55Season record34−38
2−8Last 102−8
Danny Wolf · Day'Ron Sharpe
Egor Demin · Michael Porter Jr.
Noah ClowneyOut (5 each)Al Horford · Jimmy Butler III
Moses Moody · Quinten Post
Seth Curry

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · GS chance
Our model fair21.0%79.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+37721%————
GSGolden State Warriors−37779%————
SpreadGS by 12.1
BKNBrooklyn Nets+12.1our margin————
GSGolden State Warriors−12.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 217.6
Over217.6our total————
Under217.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 12.1 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 45 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 46 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 47 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 48 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 49 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 50 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 51 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 52 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byGS wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more71%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more57%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

217.6 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 207.570%
Total over 217.550%
Total over 227.530%
Total from 208 to 22739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GDrake Powellstarted
GBen Sarafstarted
FZiaire Williamsstarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Golden State Warriors
GDe'Anthony Meltonstarted
GBrandin Podziemskistarted
FDraymond Greenstarted
FGui Santosstarted
CKristaps Porzingisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·GS
Mar 23 at POR
last game
Mar 23 at DAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 25, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left thumb; surgeryOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNNoah Clowney · right wrist; sprainOut
BKNNolan Traore · restOut
Golden State Warriors
GSAl Horford · right soleus; strainOut
GSJimmy Butler III · right acl; surgeryOut
GSMoses Moody · left patellar tendon; ruptureOut
GSQuinten Post · right foot; injury managementOut
GSSeth Curry · left adductor; strainOut
GSStephen Curry · right patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 72+ games
BKN·GS
−1.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.09
106.3
points / game
115.1
115.8
points allowed / game
114.9
17−55
season record
34−38
9−26
home record
19−15
8−29
away record
15−23
L8
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
2−8
44.3
FG%
46.0
34.3
3P%
35.4
39.9
rebounds / game
42.6
25.2
assists / game
29.1
15.9
turnovers / game
15.7
43.9
points in paint / game
44.8

Rating Trend

BKN · GS · 141 days
Brooklyn NetsGolden State Warriors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · GS 6−3
Dec 29, 2025at BKNGS 120 − 107
Mar 6, 2025at BKNGS 121 − 119
Nov 25, 2024at GSBKN 128 − 120
Feb 5, 2024at BKNGS 109 − 98
Dec 16, 2023at GSGS 124 − 120
Jan 22, 2023at GSBKN 120 − 116
Dec 21, 2022at BKNBKN 143 − 113
Jan 29, 2022at GSGS 110 − 106
Nov 16, 2021at BKNGS 117 − 99

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L8
Mar 23at POR99 − 134L
Mar 22at SAC122 − 126L
Mar 20vs NY92 − 93L
Mar 18vs OKC92 − 121L
Mar 16vs POR95 − 114L
Mar 14at PHI97 − 104L
Mar 12at ATL97 − 108L
Mar 10vs DET100 − 138L
Mar 9vs MEM126 − 115W
Mar 7at DET107 − 105W

GS · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Mar 23at DAL137 − 131W
Mar 21at ATL110 − 126L
Mar 20at DET101 − 115L
Mar 18at BOS99 − 120L
Mar 16at WSH125 − 117W
Mar 15at NY107 − 110L
Mar 13vs MIN117 − 127L
Mar 10vs CHI124 − 130L
Mar 9at UTAH116 − 119L
Mar 7at OKC97 − 104L