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Trail Blazers at Nets

NBA · Monday, Mar 16 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final POR 114 – BKN 95
← NBA / Mar 16

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR35302623114
BKN2021243095
Team box
POR·BKN
41-80
field goals
33-86
11-26
3-pointers
9-34
21-29
free throws
20-29
44
rebounds
44
30
assists
19
19
turnovers
17
58
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR341865
Toumani CamaraPOR321852
Chaney JohnsonBKN251791
Scoot HendersonPOR201614
Ben SarafBKN241504
Tyson EtienneBKN231521

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +31
POR +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 0 · POR 31lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 63%, BKN 37% · Updated Mar 16

Expected margin
POR by 3.1
Expected score
POR 112.8 – 109.8 BKN
Expected total
222.6
Trail BlazersThe matchupNets
−171Our fair odds+171
112.8Expected points109.8
−0.17Power rating−0.89
115.1Points / game106.7
117.6Allowed / game115.6
45.1FG%44.5
33.83P%34.4
45.8Rebounds / game40.1
32−36Season record17−50
4−6Last 102−8
Caleb Love · Chris Youngblood
Damian Lillard · Hansen Yang
Shaedon SharpeOut (5 each)Day'Ron Sharpe · Egor Demin
Michael Porter Jr. · Noah Clowney
Terance Mann

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · BKN chance
Our model fair63.0%37.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers−17163%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+17137%————
SpreadPOR by 3.1
PORPortland Trail Blazers−3.1our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+3.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.6
Over222.6our total————
Under222.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 3.1 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%
← POR wins byBKN wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more48%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more34%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GDrake Powellstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FZiaire Williamsstarted
FDanny Wolfstarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·BKN
Mar 15 at PHI
last game
Mar 14 at PHI
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 16, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORCaleb Love · g league - two-wayOut
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORHansen Yang · g league - two-wayOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left fibula; stress reactionOut
PORVit Krejci · left calf; contusionDoubtful
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left thumb; ucl tearOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · right ankle; sprainOut
BKNNoah Clowney · restOut
BKNTerance Mann · left achilles; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 67+ games
POR·BKN
−0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.89
115.1
points / game
106.7
117.6
points allowed / game
115.6
32−36
season record
17−50
18−16
home record
9−23
14−20
away record
8−27
L1
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
2−8
45.1
FG%
44.5
33.8
3P%
34.4
45.8
rebounds / game
40.1
24.9
assists / game
25.4
17.3
turnovers / game
15.9
48.1
points in paint / game
43.8

Rating Trend

POR · BKN · 132 days
Portland Trail BlazersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BKN 4−4
Feb 28, 2025at BKNPOR 121 − 102
Jan 14, 2025at PORBKN 132 − 114
Jan 17, 2024at PORPOR 105 − 103
Jan 7, 2024at BKNPOR 134 − 127
Nov 27, 2022at BKNBKN 111 − 97
Nov 17, 2022at PORBKN 109 − 107
Mar 18, 2022at BKNBKN 128 − 123
Jan 10, 2022at PORPOR 114 − 108

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 15at PHI103 − 109L
Mar 13vs UTAH124 − 114W
Mar 10vs CHA101 − 103L
Mar 8vs IND131 − 111W
Mar 6at HOU99 − 106L
Mar 4at MEM122 − 114W
Mar 1at ATL101 − 135L
Feb 28at CHA93 − 109L
Feb 26at CHI121 − 112W
Feb 24vs MIN121 − 124L

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Mar 14at PHI97 − 104L
Mar 12at ATL97 − 108L
Mar 10vs DET100 − 138L
Mar 9vs MEM126 − 115W
Mar 7at DET107 − 105W
Mar 5at MIA110 − 126L
Mar 3at MIA98 − 124L
Mar 1vs CLE102 − 106L
Feb 27at BOS111 − 148L
Feb 26vs SA110 − 126L