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Nets at Lakers

NBA · Friday, Mar 27 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final BKN 99 – LAL 116
← NBA / Mar 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN3029251599
LAL35262431116
Team box
BKN·LAL
40-96
field goals
38-70
10-39
3-pointers
11-25
9-15
free throws
29-42
39
rebounds
48
24
assists
18
14
turnovers
15
50
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL394183
Austin ReavesLAL402685
Josh MinottBKN261860
Nic ClaxtonBKN231673
Ziaire WilliamsBKN251622
LeBron JamesLAL371468

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +17
BKN +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 17 · BKN 5lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 17%, LAL 83% · Updated Mar 27

Expected margin
LAL by 13.2
Expected score
LAL 116.2 – 103.0 BKN
Expected total
219.2
NetsThe matchupLakers
+479Our fair odds−479
103.0Expected points116.2
−1.05Power rating+0.33
106.3Points / game116.6
115.7Allowed / game115.1
44.4FG%50.1
34.43P%35.8
39.7Rebounds / game40.9
17−56Season record47−26
1−9Last 109−1
Danny Wolf · Day'Ron Sharpe
Egor Demin · Michael Porter Jr.OutAdou Thiero · Marcus Smart

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · LAL chance
Our model fair17.3%82.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+47917%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−47983%————
SpreadLAL by 13.2
BKNBrooklyn Nets+13.2our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−13.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.2
Over219.2our total————
Under219.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 13.2 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 50 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 51 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 52 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more74%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more60%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more45%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.2 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.549%
Total over 229.529%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GDrake Powellstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FZiaire Williamsstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·LAL
Mar 25 at GS
last game
Mar 25 at IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 27, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left thumb; surgeryOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNNoah Clowney · right wrist; sprainProbable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · left knee; sorenessOut
LALMarcus Smart · right ankle; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 73+ games
BKN·LAL
−1.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
106.3
points / game
116.6
115.7
points allowed / game
115.1
17−56
season record
47−26
9−26
home record
23−12
8−30
away record
24−14
L9
streak
W1
1−9
last 10
9−1
44.4
FG%
50.1
34.4
3P%
35.8
39.7
rebounds / game
40.9
25.2
assists / game
25.6
16.0
turnovers / game
14.4
43.9
points in paint / game
52.1

Rating Trend

BKN · LAL · 143 days
Brooklyn NetsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 5−4
Feb 3at BKNLAL 125 − 109
Mar 10, 2025at BKNBKN 111 − 108
Jan 17, 2025at LALLAL 102 − 101
Mar 31, 2024at BKNLAL 116 − 104
Jan 19, 2024at LALBKN 130 − 112
Jan 30, 2023at BKNBKN 121 − 104
Nov 13, 2022at LALLAL 116 − 103
Jan 25, 2022at BKNLAL 106 − 96
Dec 25, 2021at LALBKN 122 − 115

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Mar 25at GS106 − 109L
Mar 23at POR99 − 134L
Mar 22at SAC122 − 126L
Mar 20vs NY92 − 93L
Mar 18vs OKC92 − 121L
Mar 16vs POR95 − 114L
Mar 14at PHI97 − 104L
Mar 12at ATL97 − 108L
Mar 10vs DET100 − 138L
Mar 9vs MEM126 − 115W

LAL · Last 10

9−1 · streak W1
Mar 25at IND137 − 130W
Mar 23at DET110 − 113L
Mar 21at ORL105 − 104W
Mar 19at MIA134 − 126W
Mar 18at HOU124 − 116W
Mar 16at HOU100 − 92W
Mar 14vs DEN127 − 125W
Mar 12vs CHI142 − 130W
Mar 10vs MIN120 − 106W
Mar 8vs NY110 − 97W