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Magic at Raptors

NBA · Sunday, Mar 29 · 5:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final ORL 87 – TOR 139
← NBA / Mar 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL2023251987
TOR38324326139
Team box
ORL·TOR
31-82
field goals
54-94
9-38
3-pointers
13-29
16-19
free throws
18-22
36
rebounds
44
20
assists
41
28
turnovers
11
38
points in paint
82
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
RJ BarrettTOR262433
Scottie BarnesTOR2823515
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR211940
Desmond BaneORL271732
A.J. LawsonTOR191422
Jalen SuggsORL261345

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +56
ORL +56
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 56 · ORL 7lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 46%, TOR 54% · Updated Mar 29

Expected margin
TOR by 1.5
Expected score
TOR 111.3 – 109.8 ORL
Expected total
221.2
MagicThe matchupRaptors
+118Our fair odds−118
109.8Expected points111.3
+0.07Power rating+0.03
115.7Points / game114.0
114.8Allowed / game112.3
46.5FG%47.7
34.23P%34.9
43.3Rebounds / game42.3
39−34Season record41−32
4−6Last 105−5
Alex Morales · Anthony Black
Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Jonathan IsaacOutChucky Hepburn · Collin Murray-Boyles
Immanuel Quickley · Jamison Battle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · TOR chance
Our model fair45.8%54.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+11846%————
TORToronto Raptors−11854%————
SpreadTOR by 1.5
ORLOrlando Magic+1.5our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.2
Over221.2our total————
Under221.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 1.5 expected
Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%
← ORL wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more44%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more30%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.2 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.549%
Total over 231.529%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Toronto Raptors
GJamal Sheadstarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·TOR
Mar 26 vs SAC
last game
Mar 27 vs NO
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 29, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLAlex Morales · g league - two-wayOut
ORLAnthony Black · left lateral abdominal; strainOut
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprain injury managementOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee; sprainOut
Toronto Raptors
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · lower back; spasmsOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · right foot; plantar fasciitisOut
TORJamison Battle · illness; illnessOut
TORRJ Barrett · left shoulder; stiffnessQuestionable
TORBrandon Ingram · right heel; inflammationProbable
TORTrayce Jackson-Davis · right knee; tendinitisProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 73+ games
ORL·TOR
+0.07
rating (0 = average)
+0.03
115.7
points / game
114.0
114.8
points allowed / game
112.3
39−34
season record
41−32
23−15
home record
20−16
16−19
away record
21−16
W1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
46.5
FG%
47.7
34.2
3P%
34.9
43.3
rebounds / game
42.3
26.4
assists / game
29.2
13.6
turnovers / game
13.8
51.0
points in paint / game
52.1

Rating Trend

ORL · TOR · 145 days
Orlando MagicToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 5−5
Jan 30at ORLORL 130 − 120
Dec 29, 2025at TORTOR 107 − 106
Mar 4, 2025at ORLTOR 114 − 113
Mar 2, 2025at ORLTOR 104 − 102
Jan 21, 2025at TORTOR 109 − 93
Jan 3, 2025at TORORL 106 − 97
Mar 17, 2024at ORLORL 111 − 96
Mar 15, 2024at TORORL 113 − 103
Nov 21, 2023at ORLORL 126 − 107
Feb 14, 2023at TORTOR 123 − 113

ORL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Mar 26vs SAC121 − 117W
Mar 24at CLE131 − 136L
Mar 23vs IND126 − 128L
Mar 21vs LAL104 − 105L
Mar 19at CHA111 − 130L
Mar 17vs OKC108 − 113L
Mar 16at ATL112 − 124L
Mar 14at MIA121 − 117W
Mar 12vs WSH136 − 131W
Mar 11vs CLE128 − 122W

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Mar 27vs NO119 − 106W
Mar 25at LAC94 − 119L
Mar 23at UTAH143 − 127W
Mar 22at PHX98 − 120L
Mar 20at DEN115 − 121L
Mar 18at CHI139 − 109W
Mar 15vs DET119 − 108W
Mar 13vs PHX122 − 115W
Mar 11at NO111 − 122L
Mar 10at HOU99 − 113L