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Magic at Cavaliers

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 24 · 7:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final ORL 131 – CLE 136
← NBA / Mar 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL39292934131
CLE32403331136
Team box
ORL·CLE
41-84
field goals
49-81
14-39
3-pointers
12-30
35-38
free throws
26-29
39
rebounds
33
27
assists
24
10
turnovers
8
38
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE354223
Paolo BancheroORL403665
James HardenCLE372637
Evan MobleyCLE331996
Sam MerrillCLE331941
Tristan da SilvaORL361863

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +11
ORL +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 11 · ORL 7lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 33%, CLE 67% · Updated Mar 24

Expected margin
CLE by 6.1
Expected score
CLE 116.5 – 110.5 ORL
Expected total
227.0
MagicThe matchupCavaliers
+207Our fair odds−207
110.5Expected points116.5
+0.07Power rating+0.59
115.4Points / game119.0
114.5Allowed / game114.7
46.4FG%47.9
34.03P%36.3
43.4Rebounds / game44.5
38−33Season record44−27
5−5Last 107−3
Anthony Black · Franz Wagner
Jalen Suggs · Jonathan IsaacOutCraig Porter Jr. · Jarrett Allen
Jaylon Tyson · Olivier Sarr
Tristan Enaruna

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · CLE chance
Our model fair32.6%67.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+20733%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−20767%————
SpreadCLE by 6.1
ORLOrlando Magic+6.1our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−6.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.0
Over227.0our total————
Under227.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 6.1 expected
Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%
← ORL wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more57%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more41%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.0 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.548%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
FJamal Cainstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·CLE
Mar 23 vs IND
last game
Mar 21 at NO
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 24, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLAnthony Black · left abdominal; left lateral strainOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left ankle; high ankle sprain/injury managementOut
ORLJalen Suggs · na; illnessOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee; sprainOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLECraig Porter Jr. · left groin; strainOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right knee; tendonitisOut
CLEJaylon Tyson · left great toe; bone bruiseOut
CLEOlivier Sarr · g league - two-wayOut
CLETristan Enaruna · g league - two-wayOut
CLETyrese Proctor · right quadricep; strainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 71+ games
ORL·CLE
+0.07
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
115.4
points / game
119.0
114.5
points allowed / game
114.7
38−33
season record
44−27
22−15
home record
22−13
16−18
away record
22−14
L5
streak
W3
5−5
last 10
7−3
46.4
FG%
47.9
34.0
3P%
36.3
43.4
rebounds / game
44.5
26.4
assists / game
28.3
13.7
turnovers / game
14.1
51.3
points in paint / game
51.1

Rating Trend

ORL · CLE · 140 days
Orlando MagicCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 6−4
Mar 11at ORLORL 128 − 122
Jan 26at CLECLE 114 − 98
Jan 24at ORLCLE 119 − 105
Mar 16, 2025at CLEORL 108 − 103
Feb 25, 2025at ORLCLE 122 − 82
Nov 1, 2024at CLECLE 120 − 109
May 5, 2024at CLECLE 106 − 94post
May 3, 2024at ORLORL 103 − 96post
Apr 30, 2024at CLECLE 104 − 103post
Apr 27, 2024at ORLORL 112 − 89post

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L5
Mar 23vs IND126 − 128L
Mar 21vs LAL104 − 105L
Mar 19at CHA111 − 130L
Mar 17vs OKC108 − 113L
Mar 16at ATL112 − 124L
Mar 14at MIA121 − 117W
Mar 12vs WSH136 − 131W
Mar 11vs CLE128 − 122W
Mar 8at MIL130 − 91W
Mar 7at MIN119 − 92W

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Mar 21at NO111 − 106W
Mar 19at CHI115 − 110W
Mar 17at MIL123 − 116W
Mar 15vs DAL120 − 130L
Mar 13at DAL138 − 105W
Mar 11at ORL122 − 128L
Mar 9vs PHI115 − 101W
Mar 8vs BOS98 − 109L
Mar 3vs DET113 − 109W
Mar 1at BKN106 − 102W