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Pistons at Hornets

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 6:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final DET 118 – CHA 100
← NBA / Apr 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET36322525118
CHA30352510100
Team box
DET·CHA
45-89
field goals
34-88
9-27
3-pointers
13-47
19-26
free throws
19-23
49
rebounds
41
29
assists
16
15
turnovers
16
62
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
LaMelo BallCHA332758
Brandon MillerCHA312230
Jalen DurenDET222094
Duncan RobinsonDET261931
Cade CunninghamDET281427
Ronald Holland IIDET211351

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +21
DET +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 4 · DET 21lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 58%, CHA 42% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
DET by 2.0
Expected score
DET 112.0 – 110.0 CHA
Expected total
221.9
PistonsThe matchupHornets
−140Our fair odds+140
112.0Expected points110.0
+0.70Power rating+0.14
117.6Points / game116.3
109.6Allowed / game111.3
48.6FG%46.2
35.53P%38.0
45.5Rebounds / game46.1
58−22Season record43−37
7−3Last 107−3
Isaac Jones · Wendell Moore Jr.OutAntonio Reeves · Liam McNeeley
PJ Hall · Tidjane Salaun
Tosan Evbuomwan

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · CHA chance
Our model fair58.3%41.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−14058%————
CHACharlotte Hornets+14042%————
SpreadDET by 2.0
DETDetroit Pistons−2our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+2our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.9
Over221.9our total————
Under221.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 2.0 expected
Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%
← DET wins byCHA wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more45%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more31%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.531%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·CHA
Apr 8 vs MIL
last game
Apr 7 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaac Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETKevin Huerter · illness; illnessProbable
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAPJ Hall · right ankle; fractureOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
CHATosan Evbuomwan · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
DET·CHA
+0.70
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
117.6
points / game
116.3
109.6
points allowed / game
111.3
58−22
season record
43−37
32−9
home record
21−19
26−13
away record
22−18
W1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
7−3
48.6
FG%
46.2
35.5
3P%
38.0
45.5
rebounds / game
46.1
27.7
assists / game
26.5
15.1
turnovers / game
15.3
57.8
points in paint / game
45.4

Rating Trend

DET · CHA · 157 days
Detroit PistonsCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 3−7
Feb 9at CHADET 110 − 104
Dec 20, 2025at DETDET 112 − 86
Feb 9, 2025at DETDET 112 − 102
Jan 3, 2025at DETDET 98 − 94
Nov 21, 2024at CHACHA 123 − 121
Nov 6, 2024at CHACHA 108 − 107
Mar 11, 2024at DETDET 114 − 97
Jan 24, 2024at DETDET 113 − 106
Oct 27, 2023at CHADET 111 − 99
Mar 9, 2023at DETCHA 113 − 103

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Apr 8vs MIL137 − 111W
Apr 6at ORL107 − 123L
Apr 4at PHI116 − 93W
Apr 2vs MIN113 − 108W
Mar 31vs TOR127 − 116W
Mar 30at OKC110 − 114L
Mar 28at MIN109 − 87W
Mar 26vs NO129 − 108W
Mar 25vs ATL129 − 130L
Mar 23vs LAL113 − 110W

CHA · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W
Apr 2vs PHX127 − 107W
Mar 31at BKN117 − 86W
Mar 29vs BOS99 − 114L
Mar 28vs PHI114 − 118L
Mar 26vs NY114 − 103W
Mar 24vs SAC134 − 90W
Mar 21vs MEM124 − 101W