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Bucks at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Apr 8 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final MIL 111 – DET 137
← NBA / Apr 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIL28292925111
DET34413725137
Team box
MIL·DET
36-86
field goals
48-84
17-50
3-pointers
14-30
22-28
free throws
27-30
32
rebounds
46
26
assists
38
16
turnovers
12
34
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Ryan RollinsMIL332326
Jalen DurenDET282193
Duncan RobinsonDET242013
Ronald Holland IIDET221832
Ousmane DiengMIL271754
Cormac RyanMIL251600

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +31
MIL +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 31 · MIL 5lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIL 21%, DET 79% · Updated Apr 8

Expected margin
DET by 12.3
Expected score
DET 117.9 – 105.6 MIL
Expected total
223.5
BucksThe matchupPistons
+374Our fair odds−374
105.6Expected points117.9
−0.42Power rating+0.70
110.5Points / game117.3
116.6Allowed / game109.6
47.7FG%48.5
38.83P%35.4
40.8Rebounds / game45.5
31−48Season record57−22
3−7Last 107−3
Bobby Portis · Giannis Antetokounmpo
Kevin Porter Jr. · Kyle Kuzma
Myles TurnerOutBobi Klintman · Isaac Jones

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIL chance · DET chance
Our model fair21.1%78.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MILMilwaukee Bucks+37421%————
DETDetroit Pistons−37479%————
SpreadDET by 12.3
MILMilwaukee Bucks+12.3our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−12.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.5
Over223.5our total————
Under223.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 12.3 expected
Milwaukee Bucks by 53 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 52 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 51 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 50 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 49 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 48 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 47 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 46 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 51 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 52 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 53 points: <1%
← MIL wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more72%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more58%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.5 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Milwaukee Bucks
GAJ Greenstarted
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FTaurean Princestarted
FOusmane Diengstarted
CJericho Simsstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIL·DET
Apr 7 at BKN
last game
Apr 6 at ORL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 8, 5:00 PM ET
Milwaukee Bucks
MILBobby Portis · left wrist; sprainOut
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · left knee; hyperextension; bone bruiseOut
MILKevin Porter Jr. · right knee; surgeryOut
MILKyle Kuzma · right achilles; tendonopathyOut
MILMyles Turner · left ankle; sprainOut
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · not with teamOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DETCade Cunningham · left lung; pneumothoraxQuestionable
DETIsaiah Stewart · left calf; strainQuestionable
DETKevin Huerter · illness; illnessQuestionable
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 79+ games
MIL·DET
−0.42
rating (0 = average)
+0.70
110.5
points / game
117.3
116.6
points allowed / game
109.6
31−48
season record
57−22
18−22
home record
31−9
13−26
away record
26−13
L1
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
7−3
47.7
FG%
48.5
38.8
3P%
35.4
40.8
rebounds / game
45.5
25.7
assists / game
27.6
15.1
turnovers / game
15.1
41.9
points in paint / game
57.7

Rating Trend

MIL · DET · 155 days
Milwaukee BucksDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 2−8
Dec 6, 2025at DETDET 124 − 112
Dec 3, 2025at MILMIL 113 − 109
Nov 22, 2025at MILDET 129 − 116
Apr 13, 2025at MILMIL 140 − 133
Apr 11, 2025at DETMIL 125 − 119
Dec 3, 2024at DETMIL 128 − 107
Nov 13, 2024at MILMIL 127 − 120
Jan 22, 2024at DETMIL 122 − 113
Jan 20, 2024at DETMIL 141 − 135
Dec 16, 2023at MILMIL 146 − 114

MIL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Apr 7at BKN90 − 96L
Apr 5vs MEM131 − 115W
Apr 3vs BOS101 − 133L
Apr 1at HOU113 − 119L
Mar 31vs DAL123 − 99W
Mar 29vs LAC113 − 127L
Mar 28vs SA95 − 127L
Mar 25at POR99 − 130L
Mar 23at LAC96 − 129L
Mar 21at PHX108 − 105W

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Apr 6at ORL107 − 123L
Apr 4at PHI116 − 93W
Apr 2vs MIN113 − 108W
Mar 31vs TOR127 − 116W
Mar 30at OKC110 − 114L
Mar 28at MIN109 − 87W
Mar 26vs NO129 − 108W
Mar 25vs ATL129 − 130L
Mar 23vs LAL113 − 110W
Mar 20vs GS115 − 101W