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Bucks at Nets

NBA · Tuesday, Apr 7 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final MIL 90 – BKN 96
← NBA / Apr 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIL2914192890
BKN3019212696
Team box
MIL·BKN
35-81
field goals
33-75
15-45
3-pointers
9-26
5-8
free throws
21-23
44
rebounds
32
25
assists
18
20
turnovers
14
36
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
E.J. LiddellBKN212141
AJ GreenMIL392061
Ben SarafBKN361952
Taurean PrinceMIL3716114
Cormac RyanMIL341452
Jericho SimsMIL371286

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +16
MIL +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 16 · MIL 9lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIL 61%, BKN 39% · Updated Apr 7

Expected margin
MIL by 2.0
Expected score
MIL 110.2 – 108.2 BKN
Expected total
218.3
BucksThe matchupNets
−154Our fair odds+154
110.2Expected points108.2
−0.42Power rating−1.08
110.8Points / game106.2
116.8Allowed / game115.8
47.8FG%44.4
38.93P%34.3
40.7Rebounds / game39.4
31−47Season record19−59
3−7Last 102−8
Bobby Portis · Gary Trent Jr.
Giannis Antetokounmpo · Kevin Porter Jr.
Kyle KuzmaOut (5 each)Danny Wolf · Day'Ron Sharpe
Egor Demin · Michael Porter Jr.
Nic Claxton

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIL chance · BKN chance
Our model fair60.7%39.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MILMilwaukee Bucks−15461%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+15439%————
SpreadMIL by 2.0
MILMilwaukee Bucks−2our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+2our margin————
Totalwe expect 218.3
Over218.3our total————
Under218.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 2.0 expected
Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%
← MIL wins byBKN wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more45%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more31%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.3 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.569%
Total over 218.549%
Total over 228.530%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Milwaukee Bucks
GAJ Greenstarted
FTaurean Princestarted
FPete Nancestarted
FOusmane Diengstarted
CJericho Simsstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GMalachi Smithstarted
GDrake Powellstarted
GBen Sarafstarted
FTrevon Scottstarted
FE.J. Liddellstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIL·BKN
Apr 5 vs MEM
last game
Apr 5 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 7, 5:00 PM ET
Milwaukee Bucks
MILBobby Portis · left wrist; sprainOut
MILGary Trent Jr. · left hip; pointerOut
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · left knee; hyperextension; bone bruiseOut
MILKevin Porter Jr. · right knee; synovitisOut
MILKyle Kuzma · right achilles; tendonopathyOut
MILMyles Turner · left ankle; sprainOut
MILRyan Rollins · right hip; strainOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left thumb; surgeryOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNNic Claxton · right fifth finger; sprainOut
BKNNoah Clowney · left ankle; sorenessOut
BKNTerance Mann · right patella tendon; soreness/ left achilles sorenessOut
BKNZiaire Williams · left foot; sorenessOut
BKNBen Saraf · back; tightnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 78+ games
MIL·BKN
−0.42
rating (0 = average)
−1.08
110.8
points / game
106.2
116.8
points allowed / game
115.8
31−47
season record
19−59
18−22
home record
11−28
13−25
away record
8−31
W1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
2−8
47.8
FG%
44.4
38.9
3P%
34.3
40.7
rebounds / game
39.4
25.7
assists / game
25.2
15.1
turnovers / game
15.9
42.0
points in paint / game
44.2

Rating Trend

MIL · BKN · 154 days
Milwaukee BucksBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 4−6
Dec 14, 2025at BKNBKN 127 − 82
Nov 29, 2025at MILMIL 116 − 99
Jan 2, 2025at MILBKN 113 − 110
Dec 26, 2024at MILBKN 111 − 105
Dec 8, 2024at BKNMIL 118 − 113
Oct 27, 2024at BKNBKN 115 − 102
Mar 21, 2024at MILMIL 115 − 108
Dec 27, 2023at BKNMIL 144 − 122
Nov 6, 2023at BKNMIL 129 − 125
Mar 9, 2023at MILMIL 118 − 113

MIL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Apr 5vs MEM131 − 115W
Apr 3vs BOS101 − 133L
Apr 1at HOU113 − 119L
Mar 31vs DAL123 − 99W
Mar 29vs LAC113 − 127L
Mar 28vs SA95 − 127L
Mar 25at POR99 − 130L
Mar 23at LAC96 − 129L
Mar 21at PHX108 − 105W
Mar 19at UTAH96 − 128L

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Apr 5vs WSH121 − 115W
Apr 3vs ATL107 − 141L
Mar 31vs CHA86 − 117L
Mar 29vs SAC116 − 99W
Mar 27at LAL99 − 116L
Mar 25at GS106 − 109L
Mar 23at POR99 − 134L
Mar 22at SAC122 − 126L
Mar 20vs NY92 − 93L
Mar 18vs OKC92 − 121L