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Hawks at Knicks

NBA · Monday, Apr 20 · 7:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final ATL 107 – NY 106
← NBA / Apr 20

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL23312528107
NY32293015106
Team box
ATL·NY
40-81
field goals
39-87
9-30
3-pointers
11-34
18-23
free throws
17-27
36
rebounds
47
22
assists
22
12
turnovers
14
58
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
CJ McCollumATL353236
Jalen BrunsonNY352927
Jonathan KumingaATL351941
Karl-Anthony TownsNY341882
Jalen JohnsonATL361783
Josh HartNY3515136

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +14
ATL +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 14 · ATL 4lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 35%, NY 65% · Updated Apr 20

Expected margin
NY by 4.5
Expected score
NY 117.2 – 112.8 ATL
Expected total
230.0
HawksThe matchupKnicks
+187Our fair odds−187
112.8Expected points117.2
+0.24Power rating+0.63
118.5Points / game116.5
116.0Allowed / game110.2
47.4FG%47.7
36.93P%37.2
43.5Rebounds / game45.8
46−36 · 0−1 postSeason record54−29 · 1−0 post
5−5Last 106−4
Jock LandaleOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · NY chance
Our model fair34.9%65.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks+18735%————
NYNew York Knicks−18765%————
SpreadNY by 4.5
ATLAtlanta Hawks+4.5our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−4.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.0
Over230.0our total————
Under230.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.5 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 46 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%
← ATL wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.0 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.548%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GCJ McCollumstarted
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·NY
Apr 18 at NY
last game
Apr 18 vs ATL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
3rd straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 19, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLJock Landale · right high ankle; sprainOut
ATLOnyeka Okongwu · right knee; inflammationQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYOG Anunoby · left ankle; left ankle sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 82+ games
ATL·NY
+0.24
rating (0 = average)
+0.63
118.5
points / game
116.5
116.0
points allowed / game
110.2
46−36 · 0−1 post
season record
54−29 · 1−0 post
24−17
home record
31−10
22−19
away record
23−19
L2
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
6−4
47.4
FG%
47.7
36.9
3P%
37.2
43.5
rebounds / game
45.8
30.1
assists / game
27.4
14.2
turnovers / game
13.6
51.6
points in paint / game
47.9

Rating Trend

ATL · NY · 161 days
Atlanta HawksNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 6−4
Apr 18at NYNY 113 − 102post
Apr 6at ATLNY 108 − 105
Jan 2at NYATL 111 − 99
Dec 27, 2025at ATLNY 128 − 125
Apr 5, 2025at ATLNY 121 − 105
Feb 12, 2025at NYNY 149 − 148
Jan 20, 2025at NYNY 119 − 110
Dec 11, 2024at NYATL 108 − 100
Nov 6, 2024at ATLATL 121 − 116
Mar 5, 2024at NYATL 116 − 100

ATL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Apr 18at NY102 − 113L
Apr 12at MIA117 − 143L
Apr 10vs CLE124 − 102W
Apr 8at CLE116 − 122L
Apr 6vs NY105 − 108L
Apr 3at BKN141 − 107W
Apr 1at ORL130 − 101W
Mar 30vs BOS112 − 102W
Mar 28vs SAC123 − 113W
Mar 27at BOS102 − 109L

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Apr 18vs ATL113 − 102W
Apr 12vs CHA96 − 110L
Apr 10vs TOR112 − 95W
Apr 9vs BOS112 − 106W
Apr 6at ATL108 − 105W
Apr 3vs CHI136 − 96W
Apr 1at MEM130 − 119W
Mar 31at HOU94 − 111L
Mar 29at OKC100 − 111L
Mar 26at CHA103 − 114L