bayesRatings

Oilers at Blue Jackets

NHL · Thursday, Nov 13 · 6:30 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · Final EDM 4 – CBJ 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
EDM0224
CBJ1315
Team box
EDM·CBJ
29
shots
25
0 of 2
power play
0 of 1
40.7
faceoff %
59.3
15
hits
12
11
blocked shots
15
4
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Calvin PickardEDM2520.800
Jet GreavesCBJ2925.862

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CBJ +3
EDM +3
P1P2P3
largest lead: CBJ 3 · EDM 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was EDM 48%, CBJ 52% · Updated Nov 13, 2025

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CBJ 3.5 – 3.2 EDM
Expected total
6.7
OilersThe matchupBlue Jackets
+109Our fair odds−109
3.2Expected goals3.5
+0.11Power rating−0.05
3.0Goals / game3.1
3.4Allowed / game3.2
28.4Shots / game32.1
53.3Faceoff %51.1
17.1Hits / game19.4
8−10Season record8−8
4−6Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
EDM chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair47.9%52.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
EDMEdmonton Oilers+10948%————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−10952%————
Spreadabout even
EDMEdmonton Oilers+0.2our margin————
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Edmonton Oilers by 6 goals: <1%Edmonton Oilers by 5 goals: 2%Edmonton Oilers by 4 goals: 5%Edmonton Oilers by 3 goals: 10%Edmonton Oilers by 2 goals: 9%Edmonton Oilers by 1 goal: 21%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 10%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 12%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: 1%
← EDM wins byCBJ wins by →
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more33%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 3 or more23%
Edmonton Oilers wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 20%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 12%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.533%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
EDMCalvin Pickard G · last 5 starts: .824 save %, 4.66 GAAstarted
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .899 save %, 2.96 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
EDM·CBJ
Nov 12, 2025 at PHI
last game
Nov 11, 2025 at SEA
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
EDM·CBJ
+0.11
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
3.0
goals / game
3.1
3.4
goals allowed / game
3.2
8−10
season record
8−8
5−3
home record
3−3
3−7
away record
5−5
W2
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
28.4
shots / game
32.1
53.3
faceoff %
51.1
17.1
hits / game
19.4
15.9
blocked shots / game
13.9
4.7
takeaways / game
4.8
16.4
giveaways / game
16.1

Rating Trend

EDM · CBJ · 31 days
Edmonton OilersColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CBJ 5−4
Nov 10, 2025at EDMEDM 5 − 4 OT
Dec 5, 2024at EDMEDM 6 − 3
Oct 28, 2024at CBJCBJ 6 − 1
Mar 7, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 2
Jan 23, 2024at EDMEDM 4 − 1
Feb 25, 2023at CBJCBJ 6 − 5
Jan 25, 2023at EDMCBJ 3 − 2 OT
Apr 24, 2022at CBJCBJ 5 − 2
Dec 16, 2021at EDMEDM 5 − 2

EDM · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Nov 12, 2025at PHI2 − 1W
Nov 10, 2025vs CBJ5 − 4W
Nov 8, 2025vs COL1 − 9L
Nov 4, 2025at DAL3 − 4L
Nov 3, 2025at STL2 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs CHI3 − 2W
Oct 30, 2025vs NYR3 − 4L
Oct 28, 2025vs UTAH6 − 3W
Oct 26, 2025at VAN3 − 4L
Oct 25, 2025at SEA2 − 3L

CBJ · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 11, 2025at SEA2 − 1W
Nov 10, 2025at EDM4 − 5L
Nov 8, 2025at VAN3 − 4L
Nov 5, 2025at CGY1 − 5L
Nov 2, 2025at NYI2 − 3L
Nov 1, 2025vs STL3 − 2W
Oct 29, 2025vs TOR6 − 3W
Oct 28, 2025at BUF4 − 3W
Oct 25, 2025at PIT5 − 4W
Oct 24, 2025vs WSH1 − 5L