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Sabres at Kings

NHL · Saturday, Oct 31 · 3:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
BUF 3.2 – 2.9 LA
Expected total
6.1
SabresThe matchupKings
−122Our fair odds+122
3.2Expected goals2.9
+0.17Power rating−0.15
3.1Goals / game2.8
3.6Allowed / game3.5
27.8Shots / game27.9
47.2Faceoff %50.2
19.3Hits / game21.6
6−7Season record4−8
4−6Last 104−6
Jiri Kulich C · Konsta Helenius C
Alex Lyon G · Conor Timmins D
Justin Danforth RW
OutAlex Turcotte C · Kevin Fiala LW
Mats Zuccarello RW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BUF chance · LA chance
Our model fair55.0%45.0%
Kalshi57.7%46.7%
Polymarket US57.7%46.7%
ProphetX57.0%45.7%
Novig56.0%44.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi1:27 PM CTPolymarket US1:27 PM CTProphetX1:25 PM CTNovig1:27 PM CT
Moneyline
BUFBuffalo Sabres−12255%−13757.7%−13657.7%−13357.0%−12756.0%
LALos Angeles Kings+12245%+11446.7%+11446.7%+11945.7%+12544.5%
Spreadabout even
BUFBuffalo Sabres−0.3our margin−1.5 +18934.5%−1.5 +19034.5%−1.5 +19334.1%−1.5 +20333.0%
LALos Angeles Kings+0.3our margin+1.5 −22869.5%+1.5 −22869.5%+1.5 −22168.9%+1.5 −21368.0%
Totalwe expect 6.1
Over6.1our totalo6.5 +10947.7%o6.5 +11047.7%o6.5 +11347.0%o6.5 +12045.5%
Under6.1our totalu6.5 −13156.7%u6.5 −13156.7%u6.5 −13256.8%u6.5 −12255.0%

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Buffalo Sabres by 6 goals: <1%Buffalo Sabres by 5 goals: 2%Buffalo Sabres by 4 goals: 6%Buffalo Sabres by 3 goals: 12%Buffalo Sabres by 2 goals: 10%Buffalo Sabres by 1 goal: 23%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 20%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 9%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 10%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 5%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 2%Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: <1%
← BUF wins byLA wins by →
Buffalo Sabres wins by 2 or more32%
Buffalo Sabres wins by 3 or more22%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more25%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.1 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.554%
Total over 6.543%
Total over 7.525%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
BUFColten Ellis G · last 5 starts: .890 save %, 2.92 GAAexpected
LADarcy Kuemper G · last 5 starts: .910 save %, 2.74 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BUF·LA
Oct 29 at ANA
last game
Oct 29 vs OTT
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Buffalo Sabres
BUFJiri Kulich C · concussion, back about Nov 4Out
BUFKonsta Helenius C · upper body, back about Nov 4Out
BUFAlex Lyon G · upper bodyIR
BUFConor Timmins DIR
BUFJustin Danforth RW · upper body, back about Oct 31IR
BUFMatt Grzelcyk D · lower bodyIR
Los Angeles Kings
LABrandt Clarke D · upper body, back about Oct 31Day-to-day
LAAlex Turcotte C · undisclosedIR
LAKevin Fiala LW · left lower leg surgery, back about Nov 7IR
LAMats Zuccarello RW · upper body, back about Nov 10IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
BUF·LA
+0.17
rating (0 = average)
−0.15
3.1
goals / game
2.8
3.6
goals allowed / game
3.5
6−7
season record
4−8
3−3
home record
1−3
3−4
away record
3−5
W2
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
4−6
27.8
shots / game
27.9
47.2
faceoff %
50.2
19.3
hits / game
21.6
11.9
blocked shots / game
15.2
3.9
takeaways / game
4.7
16.5
giveaways / game
16.6

Rating Trend

BUF · LA · 32 days
Buffalo SabresLos Angeles Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LA 4−6
Mar 21at LABUF 4 − 1
Jan 29at BUFBUF 4 − 1
Nov 20, 2024at LABUF 1 − 0
Oct 10, 2024at BUFLA 3 − 1
Feb 13, 2024at BUFBUF 7 − 0
Jan 24, 2024at LABUF 5 − 3
Feb 13, 2023at LALA 5 − 2
Dec 13, 2022at BUFBUF 6 − 0
Mar 6, 2022at BUFLA 3 − 0
Oct 31, 2021at LALA 3 − 2

BUF · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Oct 29at ANA7 − 6W
Oct 27at SJ2 − 0W
Oct 24at WSH3 − 4L
Oct 21vs PHI1 − 3L
Oct 17at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 15at TOR5 − 4W
Oct 13at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 12vs FLA5 − 3W
Oct 10vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 8vs DAL0 − 4L

LA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 29vs OTT6 − 5W
Oct 27at CHI1 − 2L
Oct 26at NYR6 − 3W
Oct 24at NJ1 − 3L
Oct 22at NYI3 − 2W
Oct 20at WSH5 − 2W
Oct 17vs BOS1 − 4L
Oct 13vs EDM1 − 4L
Oct 10at VGK1 − 2L
Oct 6vs FLA1 − 2L