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Ducks at Canucks

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM CT · Rogers Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 3

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
ANA by 0.7
Expected score
ANA 4.2 – 3.4 VAN
Expected total
7.6
DucksThe matchupCanucks
−148Our fair odds+148
4.2Expected goals3.4
−0.16Power rating−0.81
3.3Goals / game3.0
3.8Allowed / game4.5
24.4Shots / game21.0
47.2Faceoff %47.2
25.8Hits / game23.6
5−8Season record3−12
3−7Last 101−9
Ian Moore D · Pavel Mintyukov D
Ryan Poehling C · Troy Terry RWOut (4 each)Filip Chytil C · Akil Thomas C
Mackenzie MacEachern LW · Thatcher Demko G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ANA chance · VAN chance
Our model fair59.7%40.3%
Kalshi61.7%44.7%
Polymarket US62.7%46.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:34 AM CTPolymarket US4:34 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ANAAnaheim Ducks−14860%−16161.7%−16862.7%——
VANVancouver Canucks+14840%+12444.7%+11446.7%——
SpreadANA by 0.7
ANAAnaheim Ducks−0.7our margin—−2.5 +10548.7%——
VANVancouver Canucks+0.7our margin—+2.5 −1063999.1%——
Totalwe expect 7.6
Over7.6our total—o7.5 +10548.7%——
Under7.6our total—u7.5 −204195.3%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Anaheim Ducks by 0.7 expected
Anaheim Ducks by 7 goals: <1%Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: 1%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 4%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 9%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 15%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 11%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 19%Vancouver Canucks by 1 goal: 18%Vancouver Canucks by 2 goals: 7%Vancouver Canucks by 3 goals: 8%Vancouver Canucks by 4 goals: 4%Vancouver Canucks by 5 goals: 1%Vancouver Canucks by 6 goals: <1%Vancouver Canucks by 7 goals: <1%
← ANA wins byVAN wins by →
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more41%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 3 or more30%
Vancouver Canucks wins by 2 or more22%
Decided by one goal37%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

7.6 expected
2 goals: 1%3 goals: 5%4 goals: 5%5 goals: 14%6 goals: 10%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 10%9 goals: 15%10 goals: 6%11 goals: 8%12 goals: 3%13 goals: 3%14 goals: 1%15 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 6.566%
Total over 7.547%
Total over 8.537%
Total from 7 to 829%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
ANALukas Dostal G · last 5 starts: .864 save %, 4.00 GAAexpected
VANLeevi Merilainen G · last 5 starts: .877 save %, 4.03 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ANA·VAN
Oct 29 vs BUF
last game
Oct 29 at SJ
4 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Anaheim Ducks
ANAIan Moore D · lower body, back about Nov 8IR
ANAPavel Mintyukov D · lower bodyIR
ANARyan Poehling C · lower body, back about Nov 25IR
ANATroy Terry RW · hip surgery, back about Nov 21IR
Vancouver Canucks
VANFilip Chytil C · upper body, back about Nov 3Out
VANAkil Thomas C · undisclosedIR
VANMackenzie MacEachern LW · undisclosedIR
VANThatcher Demko G · hip surgery, back about Dec 21IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
ANA·VAN
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.81
3.3
goals / game
3.0
3.8
goals allowed / game
4.5
5−8
season record
3−12
1−5
home record
1−5
4−3
away record
2−7
L2
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
1−9
24.4
shots / game
21.0
47.2
faceoff %
47.2
25.8
hits / game
23.6
15.3
blocked shots / game
14.4
3.4
takeaways / game
4.3
15.3
giveaways / game
16.9

Rating Trend

ANA · VAN · 31 days
Anaheim DucksVancouver Canucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · VAN 8−2
Oct 27at ANAVAN 6 − 5 OT
Apr 12at ANAVAN 4 − 3 OT
Mar 24at VANANA 5 − 3
Jan 29at VANVAN 2 − 0
Nov 26, 2025at ANAVAN 5 − 4
Apr 5, 2025at VANVAN 6 − 2
Mar 5, 2025at VANVAN 3 − 2
Feb 27, 2025at ANAANA 5 − 2
Nov 5, 2024at ANAVAN 5 − 1
Mar 31, 2024at VANVAN 3 − 2

ANA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 29vs BUF6 − 7L
Oct 27vs VAN5 − 6L
Oct 24at PHI5 − 4W
Oct 22at NJ1 − 4L
Oct 20at NYI2 − 3L
Oct 19at NYR2 − 5L
Oct 16vs BOS2 − 4L
Oct 13vs CGY2 − 4L
Oct 10at CGY4 − 2W
Oct 9at WPG5 − 1W

VAN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L1
Oct 29at SJ2 − 3L
Oct 27at ANA6 − 5W
Oct 25vs MIN2 − 4L
Oct 22vs DET2 − 5L
Oct 20vs CAR3 − 6L
Oct 17at TB2 − 4L
Oct 15at FLA2 − 3L
Oct 13at NYI2 − 3L
Oct 11at NYR2 − 6L
Oct 10at NJ1 − 4L