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Hurricanes at Islanders

NHL · Thursday, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM CT · UBS Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 5

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
CAR by 0.7
Expected score
CAR 3.2 – 2.5 NYI
Expected total
5.7
HurricanesThe matchupIslanders
−153Our fair odds+153
3.2Expected goals2.5
+0.63Power rating−0.03
3.7Goals / game3.1
2.4Allowed / game2.7
33.2Shots / game26.2
50.0Faceoff %55.3
21.5Hits / game24.5
11−4Season record7−6
8−2Last 106−4
Alexander Nikishin D · Taylor Hall LW
Jordan Staal COutAlexander Romanov D · Calum Ritchie C
Mathew Barzal C · Matias Maccelli LW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CAR chance · NYI chance
Our model fair60.4%39.6%
Kalshi64.6%42.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:13 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CARCarolina Hurricanes−15360%−18364.6%———
NYINew York Islanders+15340%+13442.7%———
SpreadCAR by 0.7
CARCarolina Hurricanes−0.7our margin————
NYINew York Islanders+0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Carolina Hurricanes by 0.7 expected
Carolina Hurricanes by 6 goals: 1%Carolina Hurricanes by 5 goals: 3%Carolina Hurricanes by 4 goals: 8%Carolina Hurricanes by 3 goals: 15%Carolina Hurricanes by 2 goals: 12%Carolina Hurricanes by 1 goal: 22%New York Islanders by 1 goal: 21%New York Islanders by 2 goals: 7%New York Islanders by 3 goals: 7%New York Islanders by 4 goals: 3%New York Islanders by 5 goals: 1%New York Islanders by 6 goals: <1%
← CAR wins byNYI wins by →
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 2 or more39%
Carolina Hurricanes wins by 3 or more27%
New York Islanders wins by 2 or more18%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 7%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
CARPyotr Kochetkov G · last 5 starts: .924 save %, 1.60 GAAexpected
NYIIlya Sorokin G · last 5 starts: .896 save %, 2.80 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CAR·NYI
Oct 29 vs CBJ
last game
Oct 29 at MIN
6 days
days of rest
6 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Carolina Hurricanes
CARAlexander Nikishin D · not injury related, back about Nov 7Out
CARTaylor Hall LW · upper bodyOut
CARJordan Staal C · calf, back about Dec 3IR
New York Islanders
NYIRyan Pulock D · upper bodyDay-to-day
NYIAlexander Romanov D · right knee surgery, back about Apr 8, 2027IR
NYICalum Ritchie C · lower body, back about Dec 1IR
NYIMathew Barzal C · kneeIR
NYIMatias Maccelli LW · left lower body, back about Nov 17IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
CAR·NYI
+0.63
rating (0 = average)
−0.03
3.7
goals / game
3.1
2.4
goals allowed / game
2.7
11−4
season record
7−6
4−2
home record
4−2
7−2
away record
3−4
W3
streak
W2
8−2
last 10
6−4
33.2
shots / game
26.2
50.0
faceoff %
55.3
21.5
hits / game
24.5
12.1
blocked shots / game
13.8
4.8
takeaways / game
3.6
17.3
giveaways / game
14.5

Rating Trend

CAR · NYI · 31 days
Carolina HurricanesNew York Islanders
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NYI 3−7
Apr 14at NYICAR 2 − 1
Apr 4at CARCAR 4 − 3
Oct 30, 2025at CARCAR 6 − 2
Mar 30, 2025at CARCAR 6 − 4
Jan 25, 2025at NYINYI 3 − 2 OT
Dec 17, 2024at CARCAR 4 − 0
Dec 7, 2024at NYINYI 4 − 3
Apr 30, 2024at CARCAR 6 − 3post
Apr 27, 2024at NYINYI 3 − 2 OTpost
Apr 25, 2024at NYICAR 3 − 2post

CAR · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Oct 29vs CBJ3 − 2W
Oct 27vs BOS2 − 1W
Oct 24at STL4 − 0W
Oct 22at EDM5 − 6L
Oct 20at VAN6 − 3W
Oct 18at CGY2 − 3L
Oct 17at WPG3 − 2W
Oct 13vs WSH4 − 2W
Oct 11at PHI4 − 1W
Oct 10at CHI5 − 2W

NYI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 29at MIN4 − 3W
Oct 27at NSH4 − 3W
Oct 25at DAL3 − 6L
Oct 22vs LA2 − 3L
Oct 20vs ANA3 − 2W
Oct 17at TOR4 − 1W
Oct 15at OTT1 − 2L
Oct 13vs VAN3 − 2W
Oct 10vs TB3 − 5L
Oct 8vs CHI4 − 1W