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Ducks at Flames

NHL · Friday, Nov 6 · 7:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Saddledome · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 6

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
CGY 3.2 – 3.1 ANA
Expected total
6.3
DucksThe matchupFlames
+110Our fair odds−110
3.1Expected goals3.2
−0.16Power rating−0.26
3.3Goals / game2.3
3.8Allowed / game3.8
24.4Shots / game28.8
47.2Faceoff %49.5
25.8Hits / game22.7
5−8Season record5−7
3−7Last 105−5
Ian Moore D · Pavel Mintyukov D
Ryan Poehling C · Troy Terry RWOut (4 each)Brennan Othmann LW · Devin Cooley G
Jonathan Huberdeau LW · Samuel Honzek LW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ANA chance · CGY chance
Our model fair47.7%52.3%
Kalshi52.7%57.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:25 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ANAAnaheim Ducks+11048%−11252.7%———
CGYCalgary Flames−11052%−13757.7%———
Spreadabout even
ANAAnaheim Ducks+0.2our margin————
CGYCalgary Flames−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.3
Over6.3our total————
Under6.3our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: <1%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 2%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 5%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 10%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 9%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 21%Calgary Flames by 1 goal: 21%Calgary Flames by 2 goals: 10%Calgary Flames by 3 goals: 12%Calgary Flames by 4 goals: 6%Calgary Flames by 5 goals: 2%Calgary Flames by 6 goals: <1%
← ANA wins byCGY wins by →
Calgary Flames wins by 2 or more31%
Calgary Flames wins by 3 or more21%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more27%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.3 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 10%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 20%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.558%
Total over 6.547%
Total over 7.527%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
ANAVille Husso G · last 5 starts: .861 save %, 4.23 GAAexpected
CGYDustin Wolf G · last 5 starts: .846 save %, 4.55 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ANA·CGY
Oct 29 vs BUF
last game
Oct 30 vs SEA
7 days
days of rest
6 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Anaheim Ducks
ANAIan Moore D · lower body, back about Nov 8IR
ANAPavel Mintyukov D · lower bodyIR
ANARyan Poehling C · lower body, back about Nov 25IR
ANATroy Terry RW · hip surgery, back about Nov 21IR
Calgary Flames
CGYBrennan Othmann LW · upper bodyOut
CGYDevin Cooley G · lower body, back about Nov 6IR
CGYJonathan Huberdeau LW · hip surgeryIR
CGYSamuel Honzek LW · lower bodyIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
ANA·CGY
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.26
3.3
goals / game
2.3
3.8
goals allowed / game
3.8
5−8
season record
5−7
1−5
home record
4−3
4−3
away record
1−4
L2
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
5−5
24.4
shots / game
28.8
47.2
faceoff %
49.5
25.8
hits / game
22.7
15.3
blocked shots / game
12.9
3.4
takeaways / game
4.1
15.3
giveaways / game
15.8

Rating Trend

ANA · CGY · 31 days
Anaheim DucksCalgary Flames
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CGY 5−5
Oct 13at ANACGY 4 − 2
Oct 10at CGYANA 4 − 2
Apr 4at ANACGY 5 − 3
Mar 26at CGYANA 3 − 2 OT
Mar 1at ANAANA 3 − 2 SO
Jan 25at CGYANA 4 − 3 OT
Apr 9, 2025at ANAANA 4 − 3 OT
Apr 3, 2025at CGYCGY 4 − 1
Jan 30, 2025at CGYCGY 4 − 1
Jan 7, 2025at ANACGY 3 − 2 OT

ANA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 29vs BUF6 − 7L
Oct 27vs VAN5 − 6L
Oct 24at PHI5 − 4W
Oct 22at NJ1 − 4L
Oct 20at NYI2 − 3L
Oct 19at NYR2 − 5L
Oct 16vs BOS2 − 4L
Oct 13vs CGY2 − 4L
Oct 10at CGY4 − 2W
Oct 9at WPG5 − 1W

CGY · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 28at EDM0 − 4L
Oct 26vs TOR5 − 2W
Oct 24vs DET4 − 1W
Oct 22vs MIN2 − 1W
Oct 18vs CAR3 − 2W
Oct 15at VGK2 − 6L
Oct 13at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 10vs ANA2 − 4L
Oct 8vs COL3 − 7L
Oct 4at SEA1 − 6L