Ratings and forecasts snapshot, 2026-10-17

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 16	Likely range
1	SEASeattle Seahawks	+0.90	3−3	+0.00	+0.18 … +1.74
2	SFSan Francisco 49ers	+0.79	5−0	+0.00	+0.10 … +1.61
3	JAXJacksonville Jaguars	+0.76	4−1	+0.00	+0.07 … +1.56
4	BUFBuffalo Bills	+0.76	4−1	+0.00	+0.09 … +1.53
5	MINMinnesota Vikings	+0.63	5−0	+0.00	−0.01 … +1.40
6	NENew England Patriots	+0.62	3−2	+0.00	+0.01 … +1.36
7	LARLos Angeles Rams	+0.47	2−3	+0.00	−0.13 … +1.12
8	DENDenver Broncos	+0.44	4−2	+0.00	−0.13 … +1.14
9	KCKansas City Chiefs	+0.36	4−0	+0.00	−0.22 … +1.06
10	BALBaltimore Ravens	+0.33	4−1	+0.00	−0.23 … +0.97
11	DETDetroit Lions	+0.31	3−2	+0.00	−0.28 … +0.96
12	CHIChicago Bears	+0.24	3−2	+0.00	−0.30 … +0.84
13	GBGreen Bay Packers	+0.17	3−2	+0.00	−0.39 … +0.80
14	PHIPhiladelphia Eagles	+0.11	2−3	+0.00	−0.45 … +0.67
15	PITPittsburgh Steelers	+0.09	3−2	+0.00	−0.46 … +0.68
16	HOUHouston Texans	+0.09	1−4	+0.00	−0.46 … +0.65
17	CINCincinnati Bengals	+0.02	3−2	+0.00	−0.56 … +0.57
18	INDIndianapolis Colts	−0.10	2−3	+0.00	−0.69 … +0.46
19	ATLAtlanta Falcons	−0.15	2−3	+0.00	−0.77 … +0.41
20	CARCarolina Panthers	−0.16	2−2	+0.00	−0.78 … +0.41
21	NYGNew York Giants	−0.23	3−1−1	+0.00	−0.87 … +0.34
22	TBTampa Bay Buccaneers	−0.26	1−4	+0.00	−0.91 … +0.31
23	DALDallas Cowboys	−0.26	2−3	+0.00	−0.90 … +0.30
24	LACLos Angeles Chargers	−0.34	0−5	+0.00	−1.02 … +0.23
25	CLECleveland Browns	−0.35	3−2	+0.00	−1.02 … +0.25
26	LVLas Vegas Raiders	−0.50	3−2	+0.00	−1.24 … +0.12
27	WSHWashington Commanders	−0.52	1−3−1	+0.00	−1.27 … +0.10
28	NONew Orleans Saints	−0.58	1−4	+0.00	−1.35 … +0.06
29	NYJNew York Jets	−0.67	2−3	+0.00	−1.45 … −0.02
30	MIAMiami Dolphins	−0.72	0−5	+0.00	−1.53 … −0.03
31	ARIArizona Cardinals	−0.79	1−4	+0.00	−1.66 … −0.09
32	TENTennessee Titans	−1.44	0−5	+0.00	−2.56 … −0.53

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 16	Likely range
1	OKCOklahoma City Thunder	+1.30	75−22	+0.00	+1.01 … +1.62
2	NYNew York Knicks	+0.93	70−32	+0.00	+0.66 … +1.21
3	SASan Antonio Spurs	+0.92	75−31	+0.00	+0.65 … +1.21
4	BOSBoston Celtics	+0.83	59−30	+0.00	+0.56 … +1.11
5	DETDetroit Pistons	+0.73	67−29	+0.00	+0.45 … +1.01
6	DENDenver Nuggets	+0.52	56−32	+0.00	+0.25 … +0.80
7	CLECleveland Cavaliers	+0.52	60−40	+0.00	+0.26 … +0.79
8	HOUHouston Rockets	+0.46	54−34	+0.00	+0.19 … +0.74
9	MINMinnesota Timberwolves	+0.39	55−39	+0.00	+0.14 … +0.65
10	LALLos Angeles Lakers	+0.34	57−35	+0.00	+0.08 … +0.62
11	LACLA Clippers	+0.23	42−40	+0.00	−0.04 … +0.49
12	ATLAtlanta Hawks	+0.18	48−40	+0.00	−0.07 … +0.44
13	CHACharlotte Hornets	+0.16	44−38	+0.00	−0.11 … +0.43
14	TORToronto Raptors	+0.16	49−40	+0.00	−0.10 … +0.42
15	ORLOrlando Magic	+0.10	48−41	+0.00	−0.17 … +0.37
16	MIAMiami Heat	+0.08	43−39	+0.00	−0.20 … +0.35
17	PHXPhoenix Suns	+0.05	45−41	+0.00	−0.22 … +0.32
18	PORPortland Trail Blazers	−0.03	43−44	+0.00	−0.29 … +0.24
19	GSGolden State Warriors	−0.05	37−45	+0.00	−0.33 … +0.22
20	PHIPhiladelphia 76ers	−0.10	49−44	+0.00	−0.36 … +0.16
21	MILMilwaukee Bucks	−0.47	32−50	+0.00	−0.76 … −0.19
22	CHIChicago Bulls	−0.49	31−51	+0.00	−0.78 … −0.22
23	INDIndiana Pacers	−0.55	19−63	+0.00	−0.85 … −0.26
24	DALDallas Mavericks	−0.56	26−56	+0.00	−0.86 … −0.28
25	MEMMemphis Grizzlies	−0.59	25−57	+0.00	−0.90 … −0.30
26	NONew Orleans Pelicans	−0.63	26−56	+0.00	−0.95 … −0.33
27	SACSacramento Kings	−0.84	22−60	+0.00	−1.14 … −0.54
28	UTAHUtah Jazz	−1.05	22−60	+0.00	−1.38 … −0.72
29	BKNBrooklyn Nets	−1.13	20−62	+0.00	−1.47 … −0.81
30	WSHWashington Wizards	−1.41	17−65	+0.00	−1.78 … −1.06

Our forecast Kalshi market price at 7:59 AM CT Times are Central

StartMatchupWho wins MarginTotalFair odds

SAT 7:00P
MLB

TB Tampa Bay Rays 51%

CLE Cleveland Guardians 49%

← TB CLE →

Kalshi market price: CLE 48¢ · TB 52¢

Margin about even

Total 7.6

Fair odds TB −106 · CLE +106

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 16	Likely range
1	MILMilwaukee Brewers	+0.51	110−60	+0.00	+0.29 … +0.74
2	LADLos Angeles Dodgers	+0.35	103−67	+0.00	+0.15 … +0.55
3	NYYNew York Yankees	+0.26	95−71	+0.00	+0.08 … +0.46
4	CHCChicago Cubs	+0.22	89−75	+0.00	+0.05 … +0.41
5	TBTampa Bay Rays	+0.21	102−66	+0.00	+0.03 … +0.39
6	SDSan Diego Padres	+0.18	94−74	+0.00	+0.01 … +0.37
7	ATLAtlanta Braves	+0.15	97−72	+0.00	−0.01 … +0.33
8	BOSBoston Red Sox	+0.13	87−77	+0.00	−0.02 … +0.31
9	PHIPhiladelphia Phillies	+0.12	89−76	+0.00	−0.04 … +0.30
10	CLECleveland Guardians	+0.07	90−80	+0.00	−0.08 … +0.23
11	ARIArizona Diamondbacks	+0.05	86−76	+0.00	−0.11 … +0.22
12	DETDetroit Tigers	+0.03	76−86	+0.00	−0.13 … +0.19
13	PITPittsburgh Pirates	+0.02	82−80	+0.00	−0.14 … +0.19
14	TORToronto Blue Jays	+0.02	79−83	+0.00	−0.13 … +0.19
15	CHWChicago White Sox	+0.01	88−81	+0.00	−0.15 … +0.17
16	MIAMiami Marlins	−0.01	80−82	+0.00	−0.17 … +0.16
17	NYMNew York Mets	−0.01	74−88	+0.00	−0.17 … +0.14
18	BALBaltimore Orioles	−0.03	79−82	+0.00	−0.19 … +0.13
19	HOUHouston Astros	−0.05	81−83	+0.00	−0.22 … +0.11
20	TEXTexas Rangers	−0.06	80−82	+0.00	−0.23 … +0.10
21	STLSt. Louis Cardinals	−0.07	77−85	+0.00	−0.24 … +0.10
22	SEASeattle Mariners	−0.09	76−86	+0.00	−0.26 … +0.07
23	WSHWashington Nationals	−0.09	77−85	+0.00	−0.27 … +0.08
24	MINMinnesota Twins	−0.13	77−85	+0.00	−0.31 … +0.04
25	CINCincinnati Reds	−0.14	75−87	+0.00	−0.32 … +0.03
26	KCKansas City Royals	−0.18	69−93	+0.00	−0.36 … −0.00
27	SFSan Francisco Giants	−0.18	65−97	+0.00	−0.38 … −0.01
28	LAALos Angeles Angels	−0.32	62−100	+0.00	−0.54 … −0.12
29	ATHAthletics	−0.44	64−98	+0.00	−0.66 … −0.23
30	COLColorado Rockies	−0.56	58−104	+0.00	−0.80 … −0.35

Our forecast Kalshi market price at 7:59 AM CT Times are Central

StartMatchupWho wins MarginTotalFair odds

SAT 12:00P
NHL

NJ New Jersey Devils 42%

WSH Washington Capitals 58%

← NJ WSH →

Kalshi market price: WSH 52¢ · NJ 48¢

Margin WSH by 0.6

Total 6.0

Fair odds WSH −140 · NJ +140

SAT 2:30P
NHL

CAR Carolina Hurricanes 61%

WPG Winnipeg Jets 39%

← CAR WPG →

Kalshi market price: WPG 38¢ · CAR 62¢

Margin CAR by 0.8

Total 5.9

Fair odds CAR −154 · WPG +154

SAT 3:00P
NHL

VAN Vancouver Canucks 26%

TB Tampa Bay Lightning 74%

← VAN TB →

Kalshi market price: TB 78¢ · VAN 22¢

Margin TB by 1.8

Total 6.8

Fair odds TB −289 · VAN +289

SAT 5:00P
NHL

SEA Seattle Kraken 44%

FLA Florida Panthers 56%

← SEA FLA →

Kalshi market price: FLA 64¢ · SEA 36¢

Margin about even

Total 6.1

Fair odds FLA −126 · SEA +126

SAT 6:00P
NHL

NYI New York Islanders 49%

TOR Toronto Maple Leafs 51%

← NYI TOR →

Kalshi market price: TOR 55¢ · NYI 45¢

Margin about even

Total 6.2

Fair odds TOR −105 · NYI +105

SAT 6:00P
NHL

BUF Buffalo Sabres 49%

MTL Montreal Canadiens 51%

← BUF MTL →

Kalshi market price: MTL 56¢ · BUF 44¢

Margin about even

Total 6.7

Fair odds MTL −104 · BUF +104

SAT 6:00P
NHL

SJ San Jose Sharks 43%

DET Detroit Red Wings 57%

← SJ DET →

Kalshi market price: DET 55¢ · SJ 45¢

Margin DET by 0.6

Total 6.2

Fair odds DET −134 · SJ +134

SAT 6:00P
NHL

OTT Ottawa Senators 55%

PHI Philadelphia Flyers 45%

← OTT PHI →

Kalshi market price: PHI 42¢ · OTT 57¢

Margin about even

Total 5.4

Fair odds OTT −125 · PHI +125

SAT 6:00P
NHL

NYR New York Rangers 48%

CBJ Columbus Blue Jackets 52%

← NYR CBJ →

Kalshi market price: CBJ 55¢ · NYR 45¢

Margin about even

Total 6.1

Fair odds CBJ −108 · NYR +108

SAT 6:00P
NHL

DAL Dallas Stars 62%

CHI Chicago Blackhawks 38%

← DAL CHI →

Kalshi market price: CHI 36¢ · DAL 64¢

Margin DAL by 1.0

Total 5.8

Fair odds DAL −166 · CHI +166

SAT 7:00P
NHL

STL St. Louis Blues 51%

NSH Nashville Predators 49%

← STL NSH →

Kalshi market price: NSH 50¢ · STL 50¢

Margin about even

Total 6.0

Fair odds STL −104 · NSH +104

SAT 8:00P
NHL

BOS Boston Bruins 54%

LA Los Angeles Kings 46%

← BOS LA →

Kalshi market price: LA 56¢ · BOS 44¢

Margin about even

Total 5.7

Fair odds BOS −118 · LA +118

SAT 9:00P
NHL

EDM Edmonton Oilers 46%

UTAH Utah Mammoth 54%

← EDM UTAH →

Kalshi market price: UTAH 56¢ · EDM 44¢

Margin about even

Total 6.9

Fair odds UTAH −116 · EDM +116

SAT 9:00P
NHL

PIT Pittsburgh Penguins 41%

VGK Vegas Golden Knights 59%

← PIT VGK →

Kalshi market price: VGK 68¢ · PIT 32¢

Margin VGK by 0.5

Total 6.7

Fair odds VGK −145 · PIT +145

Team strength. 0 = an average team. Higher is better. Shaded bar = how sure we are

#	Team	Rating	Record	Change since Oct 16	Likely range
1	CARCarolina Hurricanes	+0.55	6−2	+0.00	+0.21 … +0.94
2	COLColorado Avalanche	+0.52	5−3	+0.04	+0.18 … +0.91
3	TBTampa Bay Lightning	+0.26	5−2	+0.01	−0.01 … +0.59
4	VGKVegas Golden Knights	+0.25	7−2	−0.00	−0.01 … +0.54
5	MINMinnesota Wild	+0.19	5−3	+0.01	−0.07 … +0.49
6	DALDallas Stars	+0.19	3−4	+0.00	−0.08 … +0.49
7	BUFBuffalo Sabres	+0.18	4−4	+0.01	−0.08 … +0.48
8	WSHWashington Capitals	+0.16	4−3	+0.00	−0.10 … +0.46
9	OTTOttawa Senators	+0.16	6−2	+0.00	−0.10 … +0.46
10	UTAHUtah Mammoth	+0.14	6−2	−0.00	−0.11 … +0.42
11	BOSBoston Bruins	+0.12	6−2	+0.02	−0.13 … +0.39
12	EDMEdmonton Oilers	+0.11	5−2	−0.00	−0.15 … +0.39
13	MTLMontreal Canadiens	+0.10	3−4	−0.00	−0.14 … +0.37
14	STLSt. Louis Blues	+0.03	3−4	+0.00	−0.23 … +0.30
15	FLAFlorida Panthers	+0.01	4−4	−0.00	−0.25 … +0.26
16	NYRNew York Rangers	−0.00	6−3	+0.00	−0.25 … +0.26
17	PITPittsburgh Penguins	−0.01	3−5	−0.02	−0.27 … +0.25
18	WPGWinnipeg Jets	−0.01	4−3	+0.00	−0.27 … +0.25
19	CBJColumbus Blue Jackets	−0.05	2−3	−0.01	−0.33 … +0.22
20	NYINew York Islanders	−0.06	3−4	−0.00	−0.35 … +0.20
21	NJNew Jersey Devils	−0.06	4−3	+0.00	−0.34 … +0.20
22	ANAAnaheim Ducks	−0.08	4−3	−0.02	−0.35 … +0.17
23	SEASeattle Kraken	−0.10	5−3	−0.00	−0.38 … +0.15
24	DETDetroit Red Wings	−0.11	2−5	−0.00	−0.40 … +0.14
25	NSHNashville Predators	−0.13	2−5	−0.00	−0.45 … +0.12
26	TORToronto Maple Leafs	−0.14	3−5	+0.00	−0.43 … +0.12
27	LALos Angeles Kings	−0.18	0−5	−0.00	−0.50 … +0.09
28	PHIPhiladelphia Flyers	−0.19	0−9	−0.00	−0.49 … +0.07
29	SJSan Jose Sharks	−0.29	4−3	−0.01	−0.64 … +0.01
30	CGYCalgary Flames	−0.38	1−6	−0.00	−0.76 … −0.06
31	CHIChicago Blackhawks	−0.46	3−5	−0.00	−0.85 … −0.11
32	VANVancouver Canucks	−0.71	2−7	−0.01	−1.16 … −0.29

NFL · Oct 17

NBA · Oct 17

MLB · Oct 17

NHL · Oct 17